MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 25, 6:22 AM CDT ...New AVIATION...249
FXUS64 KMOB 251122
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
622 AM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024
...New AVIATION...
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 622 AM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024
VFR conditions should generally prevail over the next 24 hours.
Any lingering patchy fog that developed this morning should
dissipate within the next couple of hours. Light and variable
winds this morning should become predominantly southeasterly to
southerly by this afternoon. Patchy fog development may once again
be possible late tonight into the early morning hours on Saturday.
/96
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 507 AM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024/
..New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
NEAR TERM...
(Now through Saturday night)
Issued at 507 AM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024
A general zonal upper-level flow pattern is expected to continue
through much of the period as an upper trough progresses
eastwards; remaining north of our area. At the surface, an
elongated high pressure, stretching across the Deep South, remains
in control of our local weather. A frontal boundary is expected
to push southward, however, it looks to stall over the Tennessee
River Valley as the upper trough accelerates and essentially
leaves the front behind. With the front remaining well to our
north, dry and unseasonably warm conditions will continue through
the near term period. Highs north of I-10 will reach the upper 80s
to around 90 degrees. These temperatures are roughly 10 to 15
degrees above average for this time of year. In fact, the KMOB
climate site may potentially tie or break the record high for both
Friday and Saturday (10/25 record: 88 degrees; 10/26 record: 87
degrees... both days are currently forecast to reach 88 degrees).
Highs closer to the coast will be a bit cooler - in the low to mid
80s. Lows will dip into the mid to upper 50s inland and low to
mid 60s along the coast. Patchy, early morning fog cannot be ruled
out each night thanks to increased boundary-layer moisture out
ahead of the front, light winds, and clear skies. A Low Risk of
rip currents is expected through the weekend. /96
SHORT AND LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 507 AM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024
Rain chances look to remain near zero through the end of the
month. Shortwave trough moves east across the region Sunday and
Monday, but no rainfall is expected as atmosphere remains just too
dry overall to support any precipitation (although we could see
an increase in mid to upper level clouds). While this trough
won't bring rain chances across the area, it will knock daytime
temperatures down slightly (but still above normal). Deep layer
ridging will rebuild across the area Tuesday through Thursday.
Highs on Sunday still mainly in the mid 80s (with a few upper 80s)
for most locations, but for Monday through Thursday look for highs
to generally be in the low to mid 80s. Overnight lows moderate
slightly, from the upper 50s and lower 60s (some mid 60s at the
coast) Sunday and Monday nights to the low top mid 60s for most
areas (upper 60s to near 70 at the coast) Tuesday and Wednesday
nights. Look for an increasing rip current risk along area beaches
beginning early next week. DS/12
MARINE...
Issued at 507 AM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024
A light diurnal wind pattern is expected through the
weekend, with onshore winds developing during the day then becoming
offshore at night. A light to moderate easterly flow develops on
Monday, increasing to moderate to occasionally strong through
midweek. Seas are also expected to build through midweek. /96
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 88 59 88 60 87 61 84 62 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensacola 85 64 86 64 85 65 81 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Destin 84 67 84 67 85 66 81 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Evergreen 89 57 89 57 85 57 82 57 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Waynesboro 88 56 88 56 85 57 85 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Camden 88 56 87 56 83 56 82 58 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Crestview 88 56 89 56 87 57 83 57 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 25, 6:22 AM CDT ...New AVIATION...---------------
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