LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 8, 6:29 PM CDT ...New AVIATION...311
FXUS64 KLIX 082329
AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
629 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 352 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024
A quick synoptic analysis shows an upper level trough draped across
the Great Lakes and extreme northeastern US, Hurricane Milton just
north of the Yucatan and broad ridge across the remainder of the US.
The CWA falls on the eastern edge of the ridge and western edge of
the trough. As the trough pushed farther southeast over the last 24
hours, drove weak cold front through the local area. Much drier air
has and will continue to remain in the area as surface ridge
building in from the north maintains drier air advection. Dewpoints
about 15 degrees lower than previous days means much cooler morning
lows as well as no more muggy conditions for now.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday night)
Issued at 352 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024
Gradual eastward shift as the week progresses of the trough and
ridge building in it's wake means several days of quiet weather
locally. Although temps may not be that much cooler than they are
today, and even above climo for highs, the continued lower dewpoints
will lend to very pleasant feeling conditions. No appreciable changes
for the remainder of the extended forecast period.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 628 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024
VFR conditions expected through the forecast period, and likely
well beyond that point.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 352 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024
Tight local pressure gradient is being created by Hurricane Milton
and surface ridge building in from the north will maintain 15 to 25
knot winds in the open Gulf waters and weaker winds closer to the
coastlines through next few days. Conditions will gradually fade
late this week as Milton tracks east across FL into the open
Atlantic Ocean. The pressure field will breakdown beyond that which
should yield low/no impact marine conditions for a few days.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 55 85 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
BTR 59 89 63 90 / 0 0 0 0
ASD 60 88 63 88 / 0 0 0 0
MSY 67 86 70 86 / 0 0 0 0
GPT 63 88 65 87 / 0 0 0 0
PQL 63 92 63 90 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM Wednesday to 4 PM CDT Thursday
for GMZ550-552-555-557.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM CDT Thursday for GMZ570-572-575-
577.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM Wednesday to 4 PM CDT Thursday
for GMZ552-555-557.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM CDT Thursday for GMZ572-575-577.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...ME
LONG TERM....ME
AVIATION...RW
MARINE...ME
Source:
LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 8, 6:29 PM CDT ...New AVIATION...---------------
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