[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at May 23, 17:21z for portions of ILN

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at May 23, 17:21z for portions of ILN

768 
WUUS02 KWNS 231722
PTSDY2

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1221 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2024

VALID TIME 241200Z - 251200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... TORNADO ...

0.02   31889847 34189634 35699442 38919183 41119210 41269220
       44109091 44528901 44428777 43988733 42968729 42098721
       41628696 40158707 37998730 34818919 33569067 32319343
       31729538 30929688 30819737 30999795 31229826 31539855
       31889847
0.05   43488786 42808740 42488792 41978952 41849100 42259137
       43449080 43698933 43488786
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   31907959 32678349 32768714 32788990 32259361 32189409
       31799516 31139589 29939717 29809803 29859867 30159918
       30629926 31249914 31569895 32639827 34219690 34859632
       38329484 39949406 41549307 44449104 45088883 44438648
       43528489 41188361 38628250 35778118 34347912 33237762
0.15   35139502 36649392 38309301 40319271 41599189 42099084
       42388862 41878730 40178658 38608672 36628804 34149174
       33099299 33029325 31949563 30879687 30799750 31019825
       31509861 31859852 33069747 34009660 35139502
SIGN   31839850 34109641 35169495 34689378 33679329 33059325
       31999556 30929685 30849740 30869770 31049820 31459858
       31839850
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   31907959 32678349 32768714 32788990 32259361 32189409
       31799516 31139589 29939717 29809803 29859867 30159918
       30629926 31249914 31569895 32639827 34219690 34859632
       38329484 39949406 41549307 44449104 45088883 44438648
       43528489 41188361 38628250 35778118 34387925 33297770
0.15   35999437 38199306 40289272 42179150 42969003 43108746
       42508607 41978529 41168504 39098594 37458648 36068701
       34118778 33458886 33009045 33099308 31949563 30879687
       30799750 31019825 31509861 31859852 33069747 34009660
       35489464 35999437
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   41118506 37778637 36138696 34148781 33458883 33049032
       33109315 31999553 31499613 30879688 30789752 31019826
       31519861 31839853 34029657 35429467 38069311 40259276
       42239146 43449080 43758928 43488790 43038739 42788676
       42468600 41988533 41118506
MRGL   31927960 32678368 32768672 32758996 32179412 31799516
       30529657 29929718 29789814 29859871 30159917 30679926
       31259912 32529836 34879631 39709420 44419110 45088887
       44448649 43538493 42298415 38818257 35788120 34227900
       33437791
TSTM   43028116 40937963 39067563 38577389 99999999 30698034
       31438510 31558739 32068941 32119105 31829384 31609432
       30499596 29519706 29069786 29029870 29499936 29899951
       30669960 32009913 34019759 36409683 42019590 45729602
       49699667 99999999 49400577 46760607 45410922 44491287
       43911637 43251867 43772001 44792035 45731857 46831719
       47731744 48931887 49571932

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NE
FWA 45 E OWB 15 W BNA 45 SSW MSL 25 WSW CBM 35 SSW GWO 20 WSW ELD 25
SSW TYR 40 SSE CRS 35 WNW CLL 25 SSW TPL 50 W TPL 30 SE BWD 25 E BWD
10 WNW DUA 20 WNW FSM 50 SSE SZL 15 NW IRK 25 NNE CID 35 WNW LNR 40
WSW OSH 35 N MKE 25 ENE MKE 40 SW MKG 30 NW AZO 20 SSE AZO 10 NE
FWA.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSE
CHS MCN 30 NNE SEM 50 S GWO 25 SW SHV 40 SSE TYR 15 WSW CLL 40 SE
AUS 10 NW BAZ 25 NNW SAT 45 SE JCT 30 ENE JCT 40 SSW BWD 25 NNW SEP
30 W MLC 35 WSW CDJ 35 SSE EAU 40 ENE AUW 15 NW MBL 45 W MBS 15 E
JXN 30 N HTS 10 ENE HKY 40 N CRE 60 S ILM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 NW ERI 35 SSE FKL
10 WSW DOV 70 SSE ACY ...CONT... 75 ESE SSI 20 ENE DHN 20 WNW GZH 40
N PIB 35 NNE HEZ 45 S SHV 35 NE LFK 25 ESE CLL 45 N VCT 45 SSE BAZ
35 SE HDO 15 NW HDO 40 NNW HDO 15 NE JCT 15 NW BWD 40 WSW ADM 25 SE
PNC 20 NE TQE 30 WSW AXN 65 N HCO ...CONT... 90 NNE GGW 25 NNW MLS
45 SW BIL 25 WSW MQM 25 NNW BOI 30 SSE BNO 55 WNW BNO 55 NE RDM 15 E
PDT PUW 10 NNE GEG 45 NE OMK 75 N OMK.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at May 23, 17:21z for portions of ILN

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