[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 18, 19:58z for portions of MOB

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 18, 19:58z for portions of MOB

841 
WUUS01 KWNS 182000
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0258 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2024

VALID TIME 182000Z - 191200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   25877974 26058029 26678039 27488064 28888116 29378166
       29498216 28708308 99999999 28998658 30268533 31728186
       32037884
0.02   44969053 46859048 47388863 46288856 44548980 44199023
       44969053
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   29368626 30198525 31568226 32047907 99999999 25697973
       25778034 25788043 25838060 25878072 25948091 26128095
       26388090 26638089 26918091 27418115 27598131 27738161
       27848179 27848235 27108286
0.05   35868771 35908549 36088265 36178143 36127823 35847723
       35237753 34797930 33788347 32678559 32068723 32048834
       32328927 33089026 34489003 35468913 35868771
0.05   48118682 46568744 44718851 41579130 41309313 42439268
       43119227 43889197 44859164 45949160 47409199 48939298
0.15   49038789 46258800 44128979 43799038 44479077 46669082
       48689132
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   28839142 29419107 29958978 30568770 31028757 31198809
       31608885 33089026 34489002 35458916 35858770 35908545
       36448368 36678105 36677843 36497666 36257532 99999999
       25697974 25768027 25788041 25878068 25948090 26128096
       26338091 26638090 26948092 27428114 27608132 27758163
       27838179 27848234 27078285 26858306
0.05   47718619 46918676 45358750 43688865 43118925 40799171
       38959412 37609647 37129750 37249832 37919840 38409762
       40039497 40819398 41819314 42379269 43129228 43889197
       45479145 47019147 48639214
0.05   40180319 40540160 40190056 39369981 38749967 38210007
       37930071 37760277 37950404 38290449 38830472 39540420
       40180319
0.15   48408792 46278799 44658939 45329017 46768980 48609031
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   48418791 46258800 44128979 43799038 44479077 46669082
       48679132
MRGL   28839142 29419107 29958978 30568770 31028757 31198809
       31608885 33089026 34489003 35458916 35868771 35908544
       36448368 36678105 36677843 36497666 36257532 99999999
       25697974 25788043 25948091 26938092 27598131 27838179
       27848234 27118284 26958310
MRGL   39540420 40180319 40540160 40190056 39369981 38749967
       38210007 37930071 37760277 37950404 38290449 38830472
       39540420
MRGL   47718619 46918676 45358750 43688865 40799171 38959412
       37609647 37129750 37249832 37919840 40039497 40819398
       42349272 43129228 44899164 45949160 47409199 48939298
TSTM   46438366 44928416 43258546 41608598 40438747 40178923
       40269080 39139264 37999511 37409630 36659766 36489924
       36430179 35760521 36040642 37080676 37440734 37530857
       37791004 37431312 36941631 35921786 35931841 36581907
       37561995 38232012 38822001 39391822 40691510 41371119
       41610715 41810011 41959813 41559642 41319546 41579445
       42609343 42759336 43749241 45509190 47189273 49109394
       99999999 49421130 48481217 47551357 47111560 47171709
       47801893 48482014 49472110 99999999 29089413 30239321
       30819240 32559260 34019215 37289053 39328715 41448360
       41608209 41818060 42467970 43057812 42967701 42127639
       41077687 39557813 38637882 38037872 37447800 37437729
       37467661 37487599 37527403 99999999 24897995 25198139
       25648248 25618269

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 NNE
CMX 30 SW MQT 25 ENE VOK 10 SSW VOK 45 SE EAU 10 NNE ASX 60 NNE ELO.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SW
HUM 25 WSW HUM 30 S ASD 30 WNW PNS 40 SW GZH 35 NNE MOB 30 ENE PIB
30 SSW GWO 30 WNW UOX 15 SW MKL 55 SSW CKV 20 W CSV 45 NNE TYS 40
SSW PSK 20 W AVC 30 WNW ECG 50 E ECG ...CONT... 35 ESE MIA 10 W MIA
40 WNW MIA 55 WNW PBI AGR 30 WNW AGR 20 ESE PIE 25 SW SRQ 45 SW SRQ.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW
LIC AKO IML MCK HLC 45 S HLC 30 N DDC GCK 20 SSW LAA 30 WSW LHX PUB
COS 35 WNW LIC.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 NE
MQT 45 NE MQT 30 SW ESC 20 SSW OSH 30 W BRL 30 ESE MKC 55 E ICT 35
NW PNC 15 ESE P28 30 WSW HUT 20 N STJ 15 N LWD 20 SW ALO 40 N ALO 10
W EAU 55 SW ASX 30 WNW BFW 30 NE INL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E ANJ 30 WSW APN
25 N GRR 20 ESE SBN 15 NNE DNV 25 SW BMI 30 NE UIN 30 NW COU 30 NE
CNU 45 NNW BVO 25 NE END 40 WSW AVK 25 SW GUY 10 NNW LVS 30 E 4SL 55
E DRO 30 NE DRO 15 N CEZ 35 WNW 4BL 20 S CDC 25 NW DRA 20 NNW NID 45
WNW NID 40 ESE FAT 35 ENE MER 45 S TVL TVL 30 ESE NFL 35 ESE EKO 10
NW EVW 15 S RWL 35 NW BBW 35 W OFK 20 SW TQE 25 E OMA 40 W DSM 40 S
MCW 25 S MCW 15 SSE RST 50 NNW EAU 15 SSE HIB 45 NNW INL ...CONT...
75 NE CTB 15 SE CTB 50 NNE MSO 35 SSW 3TH 30 N PUW 45 NE EPH 30 W
OMK 80 NE BLI ...CONT... 40 ESE GLS LCH 40 S ESF 35 W MLU 15 SW PBF
35 S FAM 15 SE HUF 15 SE TOL 20 NW CLE 30 SW ERI 30 NW JHW 25 WSW
ROC 35 ESE ROC 20 WSW BGM 10 SSE IPT 15 NW MRB 25 N SHD 15 WSW CHO
40 W RIC RIC 40 E RIC 40 SW WAL 85 ESE WAL ...CONT... 65 SSE MIA 40
NNW MTH 55 SW APF 70 WSW APF.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 18, 19:58z for portions of MOB

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