[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at May 23, 16:19z for portions of PAH

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at May 23, 16:19z for portions of PAH

117 
WUUS01 KWNS 231621
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2024

VALID TIME 231630Z - 241200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   39339441 38009566 37859577 36249671 34909579 33999404
       34309225 34419120 34039083 33359075 32709108 32039250
       30569798 30579933 31650018 34070038 37789998 40220112
       41980104 44639990 45370032 45560277 45770321 46080313
       46580192 47139957 47129859 47049765 46859677 46659650
       46079649 45349643 44819576 44609381 43849124 42349126
       40969222 40079371 39339441
0.05   37939977 39499996 40730030 41150048 41780037 42240019
       42909855 42859568 42109469 40789469 40009537 39599583
       39309639 39269707 38539740 37079765 35429786 34539804
       32609881 32509947 33009975 34629992 36719975 37939977
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   36507536 34637876 34457978 34218211 34548464 34548691
       33778858 32529039 31439229 31089569 30549789 30589930
       31490033 32850067 34660073 36980024 40530163 41480183
       44720167 45030197 44960320 44880496 45000544 45470545
       46520352 47110185 48099729 48039541 47709466 47089426
       46499461 45679494 44529501 43329405 41549351 38849253
       38439069 38348943 38678766 38888056 40377621 42687258
       44577145 45107137 45837120
0.15   38109468 36269671 34919578 34689470 34869191 34699140
       34479115 33929100 33459137 32889179 32299256 31669398
       31359607 30849783 30759923 31600015 32930045 34700038
       37050006 40180122 41640122 43260060 44629988 45370035
       45520275 45790322 46090314 46570194 47089971 47379801
       47489696 46889621 46539600 46119630 45779742 44809772
       44099753 43079668 41899599 41259573 38109468
SIGN   45909746 43929837 42809843 41659822 40639712 40049668
       38549676 36259669 34899577 34209532 33589528 32849545
       32109572 31379620 30889778 30799921 31610013 32960038
       34430027 36979989 38490044 39290074 39910104 40340107
       41580106 43460010 44789958 45489991 46040090 46420082
       46740000 47039831 47079716 46769665 46329681 45909746
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   36527535 34657876 33878257 34368516 34308682 33728811
       32758911 31809055 31429229 31089569 30559786 30589934
       31480033 32830065 34670072 37010027 40550163 41500181
       44700167 45390238 46630159 47519954 47639750 47109425
       45589404 43889123 42319127 40949222 38839250 38439069
       38338936 38678767 38868061 40437609 42477271 44567151
       46107120
0.15   37030004 40180120 41620119 43010073 44639987 45489989
       45980046 46550032 46839984 46979853 46999804 46609727
       45859723 45249741 44159778 43479655 43579489 43169330
       42199296 41309311 39839359 39039409 38129468 36899610
       35699730 34689778 34059780 33289659 33269557 33519458
       34709141 34489114 33599086 32519141 32189192 31669397
       31409598 30839786 30769924 31560011 32950044 34740039
       37030004
0.15   35448718 36828790 37598684 38298488 37728369 36768283
       35688258 35078453 35208581 35448718
0.15   43156833 44196982 45567030 46477041 47596947
0.30   41939992 42959736 42829588 42149512 41509495 40789502
       40069651 39969853 40549998 41340031 41939992
SIGN   41560056 42630015 43199950 43229893 42829580 42569443
       41759385 40239494 40009655 40019860 40450009 41560056
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    41999985 42299898 42919728 42839577 42179511 41579496
       40729510 40019647 39979846 40469998 41340031 41999985
SLGT   46090314 46570194 47089971 47379801 47489696 46889621
       46539600 46119630 45819730 45209748 44109765 43579673
       43489481 43199339 42199294 41319309 39839358 39039409
       38129468 36259671 34929580 34689471 34879196 34699140
       34479115 33599086 32519141 32189192 31669397 31389598
       30849783 30759924 31139967 31550011 32930045 34750040
       37020004 40180122 41250122 41620119 43010073 44629988
       45370035 45520275 45790322 46090314
SLGT   43216839 44176982 45427027 46527040 47486960
SLGT   35468724 36858792 37618682 38278487 37738376 36798287
       35748254 35018460 35268610 35468724
MRGL   36507537 34647876 33878257 34368517 34308682 33728811
       32758911 31809055 31429231 31079570 30549789 30589933
       31480033 32840065 34660073 37010025 40520161 41480183
       44700167 45030201 44880496 45000544 45470545 46520352
       47110185 48099729 48039541 47709466 47089426 45579405
       43869124 42359127 40969223 38839251 38439069 38348943
       38678766 38888056 40417615 42597263 44637152 45847125
TSTM   26438312 27688219 27688181 26938130 25688028 24188133
       99999999 36407491 34627695 33527893 33518147 33868374
       34188550 33158702 31188899 30729063 31039346 30309708
       30349940 31380056 32780104 34120106 37170064 39440305
       40020425 40490445 40900471 41530393 42550290 43470275
       44230368 43630638 44170754 45360717 46990505 49650121
       99999999 49269236 47399298 46038870 45908677 45638445
       45128392 44668411 44358582 44198666 43398739 41388974
       39659137 38789093 38778954 39668730 40008276 40787878
       41137796 41347746 41437659 41467547 41697437 42307385
       43917312 45317250 99999999 49621065 47770933 46961034
       46481257 47251544 47881947 48531997 49712013

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW
BUB 20 SW ONL YKN 30 WNW SLB 20 NE DNS 35 SE DNS 15 E SDA 25 SE BIE
45 S HSI 35 ENE MCK 25 NE LBF 40 WNW BUB.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE
2WX 45 ESE DIK 50 WNW JMS 45 NE JMS 35 SSE GFK 15 WNW DTL 20 SSW DTL
45 WNW AXN 55 NW VVV 25 NW ATY 30 NE MHE FSD 25 WSW FRM MCW 35 SW
ALO OXV CDJ 30 ESE MKC 50 S OJC 35 N CQB MLC 25 SSW RKR 20 NE LIT 45
NE PBF 50 ENE PBF 10 NE GLH 35 E MLU 25 SSE MLU 50 W IER 50 SSE CRS
30 SW TPL 35 ENE JCT 40 N JCT 25 ENE SJT 55 NW ABI 25 NNW CDS 50 E
LBL 30 SE IML 30 WNW LBF 30 SSW MHN 15 NW VTN 25 NE PIR 10 SSE MBG
35 E 2WX 20 NE 2WX 40 NNE 2WX.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 S
BHB 10 S AUG 70 NE BML 115 W CAR 85 WNW CAR.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNE
MSL 25 WNW HOP 20 ESE OWB 20 NW LEX 25 WNW JKL 35 NW TRI 20 SE HSS
35 E CHA 55 WNW CHA 55 NNE MSL.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE
ECG 25 SSE FAY 45 E AHN RMG 25 S HSV 20 ENE CBM 35 NW MEI 45 N MCB
ESF 25 NNW UTS 20 NNW AUS 25 E JCT 10 NE SJT 65 WNW ABI 30 WNW CDS
40 E LBL IML 55 SW MHN 45 N PHP 65 S Y22 45 SSE 4BQ 30 S 4BQ 4BQ 35
ENE BHK 40 SSW N60 10 NNW GFK 35 E TVF 20 NE BJI 45 SE BJI STC LSE
30 W DBQ 15 SE OTM 15 W COU 30 SW STL 25 ESE BLV 45 N EVV 40 W EKN
40 ENE CXY 30 SW EEN 15 W BML 80 NE EFK.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSW SRQ 30 NE SRQ
30 W AGR 45 NE FMY 10 S MIA 40 SE EYW ...CONT... 70 E ECG 30 S EWN
10 S CRE 30 ENE AGS 25 WSW AHN 20 WSW RMG 35 SSW BHM 30 SE PIB 35
SSW MCB 15 W POE 35 E AUS 25 ESE JCT SJT 45 NE BGS 40 E PVW 20 ENE
LBL 35 ENE LIC 35 ENE DEN 30 E FCL 20 SSE CYS 30 SW BFF 20 SSE CDR
45 SSE RAP 35 WNW RAP 50 N CPR 25 ENE WRL 40 NNW SHR 15 SW GDV 95 N
MOT ...CONT... 65 NE INL HIB 30 WNW IMT 20 NE ESC 15 ENE PLN 15 W
APN 35 NE HTL 20 ENE MBL 20 WSW MBL 40 NE MKE 40 E MLI 25 SSW UIN 30
W STL 25 NE BLV 15 N HUF CMH 30 SSE DUJ 20 NNW UNV 30 WNW IPT 20 NE
IPT 15 NE AVP 20 E MSV 30 WSW PSF 25 NNW RUT 30 NNW EFK ...CONT...
85 NNW HVR 50 N LWT 40 W LWT 30 WSW HLN 25 S 3TH 40 N EPH 20 WNW OMK
90 NNW OMK.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at May 23, 16:19z for portions of PAH

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