ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 8, 1:33 PM EDT855
FXUS61 KILN 081733
AFDILN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
133 PM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
Dry conditions and abundant sunshine are on tap through the
the workweek, with slightly below normal temperatures. A small
chance of rain may return this weekend, but a drier than normal
pattern is expected through at least the middle of the month.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
High pressure and a dry airmass will remain in place across the
region today. Afternoon highs will be in the low 70s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
The expansive sfc high should settle into the OH Vly tonight
into Wednesday, continuing the stretch of dry conditions with
mostly clear to completely clear skies. Tonight will be another
night where there may even be a few spots that bottom out in the
upper 30s, and this could again lead to some very patchy frost
in low-lying, sheltered, rural areas by sunrise. But similar to
this morning, most locales will stay just warm enough that frost
potential should remain rather low for the majority of the
area.
Rinse and repeat for Wednesday. Sunny with temps in the lower to
mid 70s.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Wednesday night through Thursday night will mark the end of the
recent cooler temperatures and shift into a warming pattern through
Sunday. On Sunday, there is a strong indication for a surface low to
track ene through the lower Great Lakes with a trailing cold front
ushering in another period of cooler and more fall-like
temperatures.
The warming trend beginning Friday is due to the strong high
pressure center moving east of the CWA, triggering a southerly wind
and subsequent influx of warmer air. Saturday can be tricky on
temperatures as a cold front will approach from the northwest and
stall in a w-e orientation, located roughly along the I-70 corridor.
This now stationary front will set the region up for another strong
surface low forming underneath the leading edge of an upper trough
with abundant energy. The front should cross Sunday afternoon if
timing this far out can be trusted.
A low chance of rain exists with the frontal passage on Sunday and
Sunday evening.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
High pressure and a dry airmass will provide for mainly clear
skies through the period. The exception will be for some river
valley fog across our southeast later tonight into early
Wednesday. This could lead to a few hour period around daybreak of
MVFR vsby restrictions at KLUK.
OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...KC
NEAR TERM...JGL
SHORT TERM...KC
LONG TERM...Franks
AVIATION...JGL
Source:
ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 8, 1:33 PM EDT---------------
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