Author Topic: [Alert]ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 7, 3:32 PM EDT  (Read 24 times)

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ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 7, 3:32 PM EDT

819 
FXUS61 KILN 071932
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
332 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry conditions and abundant sunshine are on tap through the
the workweek, with slightly below normal temperatures. A small
chance of rain may return this weekend, but a drier than normal
pattern is expected through at least the middle of the month.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
Northwest mid level flow with surface high pressure nosing into
the area overnight. Dry airmass with the few fair weather
cumulus clouds that have developed giving way to clear skies
early this evening. Expect mainly clear skies to prevail
overnight only a few thin high level clouds.

Good radiational cooling conditions are expected tonight as
winds become light with mainly clear skies. This setup will
allow for temps to dip to lows from the upper 30s and lower 40s.

Can not rule out some very patchy frost in low-lying, sheltered,
rural areas, but most locations will stay warm enough that frost
potential looks to be low for the majority of the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
Northwest flow aloft with surface high pressure building into
the area Tuesday. In dry airmass expect to see abundant sunshine
with temperatures topping out from the upper 60s to the lower
70s. 

High pressure will continue to offer dry weather and slightly
below normal temperatures Tuesday night. Low temperatures to
range from 40 to 45. 

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
High pressure remains over the Ohio Valley on Wednesday and
Wednesday night leading to clear conditions and near average
temperatures. The surface high drifts east of the area Thursday
through Saturday which will allow southerly flow develop across the
region. Moderating temperatures accompany the southerly winds while
mostly clear conditions persist.

There is a signal for a low pressure system developing on Sunday
which may bring the next cold front through the region by next week.
A chance of rain exists ahead of the front on Sunday into Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Dry airmass with surface high pressure building in from the
west. Expect mostly sunny skies with only a few fair weather
cumulus clouds mainly across the northern TAF sites.

Mainly clear skies overnight with only a few thin high level
clouds. VFR conditions to persist at all but at KLUK where some
river valley fog will likely lead to VSBY reductions during the
predawn hours Tuesday. Any fog that forms will improve Tuesday
morning with VFR conditions thru the remainder of the day.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...AR
NEAR TERM...AR
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...Campbell
AVIATION...AR

Source: ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 7, 3:32 PM EDT

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