Author Topic: [Alert]PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 3, 11:48 PM CDT  (Read 189 times)

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PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 3, 11:48 PM CDT

528 
FXUS63 KPAH 040448 AAA
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1148 PM CDT Thu Oct 3 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry and sunny weather continues through next week.

- Warmer than average temperatures tomorrow through the end of
  the weekend.

- Cool down behind a cold front for next week.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 254 PM CDT Thu Oct 3 2024

Aloft the pattern is fairly weak and quasi-zonal until late
weekend. Sfc high pressure is just off to our east and allowing
for more southerly flow at the sfc. This will push our
temperatures to above average tomorrow through Sunday with highs
in the lower to mid 80s. Dew points will also trend higher and
into the 60s through this time period. Another sfc high pressure
moves through the Great Lakes Friday into Saturday and helps to
continue our southerly flow at the sfc. Aloft a trof comes
through the upper midwest on Sunday and pushes a cold front
through our area Sunday afternoon and night. This will bring a
nice cool down Monday and through next week. Temperatures will
come back down into the lower to mid 70s with dew points back
down into the 40s. So overall, the dry and sunny weather
continues through next week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1148 PM CDT Thu Oct 3 2024

Ground fog is already forming in spots. Additional fog formation
is relatively likely and continued the trend for IFR'ish
visibilities in the CGI/MVN/MDH type areas with MVFR elsewhere.
Moisture profiles appear moderately favorable but do suggest it
may stay as more of a ground fog event.

After sunrise quick mixing should bring everything back to VFR
with light winds.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$


DISCUSSION...SHAWKEY
AVIATION...JGG

Source: PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 3, 11:48 PM CDT

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