CLE issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 14, 1:38 AM EDT361
FXUS61 KCLE 140538
AFDCLE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
138 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure over the New England states extends toward the
Great Lakes region. This system will remain anchored over the
eastern United States through at least Wednesday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
High pressure across the region will continue to support dry
conditions through Saturday night. High clouds will continue to
filter in and out of the area as the remnant low of Francine
fizzles over the lower Mississippi River Valley. The area will
be on the back side of the high, which will support some weak
warm air advection and high temperatures slightly above normal
in the 80s for Saturday. Afternoon lake breezes could knock down
temperatures along the lakeshore, especially Cleveland and
east. Dew points are not high enough in the return flow to have
significant fog concerns at this time. Overnight lows will be in
the upper 50s to lower 60s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Quiet weather continues into the short term period as the
upper-level ridge and high pressure influence the region.
Continued above normal temperatures expected with highs in the
low to mid 80s and lows in the mid to upper 50s.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Starting to feel like a broken record but quiet weather
continues into the long term period as the upper-level ridge
and high pressure continue. Above normal temperatures expected
with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s and lows in the mid to
upper 50s. A tropical system develops off the Carolinas early
next week and lifts northwest, though rapidly dissipates as it
encounters the high pressure over our local area. Currently
only have a 20% PoPs across the area on Wednesday as the most
likely scenario is for isolated showers based on the latest 12Z
ensemble guidance.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/...
Widespread VFR conditions will persist as high pressure
continues to influence the area. Some high clouds may move
across the area throughout the morning, but ample sunshine will
prevail through the period. Winds through the period will
predominately be out of the east-southeast at 5-10 knots with
the exception of KERI, KCLE, and possible KTOL which will again
be impacted by a lake breeze this afternoon.
Outlook...VFR expected through Tuesday. Low pressure approaching
from the southeast will bring the next potential for any notable
clouds, precipitation, and non-VFR conditions on Wednesday.
&&
.MARINE...
Fairly repetitive conditions expected through the forecast
period as high pressure remains anchored over the Northeast
United States and a high pressure ridge extending westward
across the Great Lakes region. In general, expecting southeast
winds of 5-10 knots at night with northeast winds of 10-15 knots
during the afternoon. The afternoon northeast winds will be
locally enhanced by lake breeze winds in the western and central
basin, with near 20 knots possible in the nearshore zones east
of The Islands to near Geneva-on-the-Lake. Afternoon choppy
conditions expected each day in these zones with 2-3 ft waves.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Sefcovic
NEAR TERM...Sefcovic
SHORT TERM...Saunders
LONG TERM...Saunders
AVIATION...Campbell
MARINE...Saunders
Source:
CLE issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 14, 1:38 AM EDT---------------
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