[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 14, 12:52z for portions of IND

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 14, 12:52z for portions of IND

804 
WUUS01 KWNS 141253
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0752 AM CDT TUE MAY 14 2024

VALID TIME 141300Z - 151200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   29568816 30248791 30918701 33288716 36258759 38138752
       38818623 38328474 36948336 35668290 34768177 34388059
       34327979 34457912 34617811 34477751 33907657 99999999
       28147925 27648054 26998161 26388255
0.02   42930224 43320177 44040140 44000068 43560000 42819979
       42229986 41690006 41450073 41540123 41900172 42170225
       42430232 42930224
0.05   29138441 29898397 30268218 30518062 99999999 28437958
       26898332
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   34840173 34990111 34580058 31899916 31219894 30759920
       30739966 31000017 32010108 33570187 34840173
0.05   37999993 37250128 37010273 37360465 38030548 38510554
       39000571 39660472 40470349 41880324 43370294 44430116
       44049996 42749942 41580002 39879982 37999993
0.05   29158823 30078798 31738750 32948765 35038895 37208870
       39008690 39188516 38108370 37238277 35788188 34137962
       33367896 32937832 99999999 26507931 26468322
0.15   34558734 35218736 36088681 36238621 35838461 35058427
       34318429 34098595 34558734
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   33510199 34970184 35250076 33399978 31379879 30849890
       30519934 30579986 31490091 32280148 33510199
0.05   42091196 43700971 43180729 43300528 43710381 44470206
       44580037 42909871 40909860 38639931 37729973 36980108
       36810305 37180504 38630615 39830772 40851027 42091196
0.05   29398825 30748804 32828793 34098891 35548931 37738889
       39108689 39288439 38658287 37128222 36448162 35768066
       35217927 34807796 34437728 33977661 99999999 26467929
       26488095 26108180 26038279
0.05   45787095 44847062 44067064 43847168 43947309 44347380
       45487358
0.15   27267921 27127994 27238044 27608090 27668141 26878312
       99999999 29258535 29958454 30268390 30428292 30818064
       30807995
0.15   36998506 36738362 36358344 35418385 34938348 34988229
       34708179 34348171 33808234 33628366 34048604 34578730
       35168752 36048730 36778664 36998506
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   36048730 36778664 36998506 36738362 36358344 35418385
       34938348 34988229 34708179 34348171 33808234 33628366
       34048604 34558734 35168752 36048730
SLGT   27217949 27127994 27238044 27608090 27668141 26898307
       99999999 29258535 29958454 30268390 30798075
MRGL   45787095 44847062 44067064 43847168 43947309 44347380
       45487358
MRGL   34970184 35250076 31379879 30849890 30519934 30579986
       31490091 32280148 33510199 34970184
MRGL   43700971 43180729 43300528 43710381 44470206 44580037
       42909871 40909860 38639931 37729973 36980108 36810305
       37180504 38630615 39830772 40851027 42091196 43700971
MRGL   26467944 26398098 26108188 26048268 99999999 29488824
       30748804 32828793 34098891 35548931 37738889 39108689
       39288439 38658287 37128222 36448162 35768066 35217927
       34807796 33977661
TSTM   48336914 44336903 43456962 41837415 40917650 39977854
       39287937 38488000 37937977 37777867 37927737 38237434
       99999999 25507945 25918079 25838245 99999999 28609178
       30738927 32198930 33489118 33579266 34039279 34549269
       37339443 38929500 40629382 41439268 41559096 41868844
       42008691 42068398 42328288 42918184 99999999 49589851
       47739772 45559687 42399649 38819671 37149598 35879605
       35139730 33729905 31599840 30749847 30349876 30319985
       30700134 31510250 32580253 33200251 34360297 34480405
       34240491 33360689 33520893 34291116 34971257 35891328
       36701401 36971588 36861671 36601737 36311794 36261820
       36251853 36381885 36651921 36881952 37341995 38472096
       39022115 39682122 39882072 39602016 39491886 40051708
       40361523 40251381 39831291 40351213 41531264 43611383
       44641424 45511470 46141491 46561439 47651292 48021297
       49761400

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W
BNA 20 SW BWG 55 W LOZ 35 SE LOZ 45 NW HSS 30 SSE TYS 50 NW AND GSP
20 SE SPA 45 SSE SPA 35 NW AGS 30 SW AHN GAD 20 SE MSL 30 NNE MSL 35
W BNA.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NE
PBI 30 NNE PBI 30 S VRB 25 E AGR AGR 50 SW SRQ ...CONT... 40 SSW AAF
35 ENE AAF 30 ESE TLH 50 ESE SSI.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 N
BML 30 ENE BML 35 NNW PWM 25 NW LCI 30 NNW RUT 20 E SLK 70 ENE MSS.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW
AMA 50 SE BGD 30 SSE BWD 55 ENE JCT 25 E JCT JCT 25 WNW SJT BGS 15
SW LBB 20 SSW AMA.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E
JAC 45 WNW CPR 40 N DGW 45 WSW RAP 35 NW PHP 15 NNW PIR 30 N ONL 15
WSW GRI 30 WSW RSL 15 ESE DDC LBL 25 NNE CAO 40 W TAD 45 E GUC 45
WNW EGE 50 NW VEL 20 ESE MLD 50 E JAC.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE
PBI 50 ENE APF 10 WSW APF 55 W APF ...CONT... 70 E BVE 15 ENE MOB 35
SSW TCL 15 SSW TUP 20 W MKL 20 E MDH 15 WSW BMG 15 N LUK 25 NW HTS
45 NNE TRI 45 E TRI 40 E HKY SOP 20 W OAJ 75 ESE ILM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 NNW CAR 35 WSW
BHB 35 ESE PWM 20 NW POU 30 SE IPT 25 SSW AOO 35 NE EKN 30 SSW EKN
30 ENE SSU 30 SSW CHO 30 N RIC 65 E SBY ...CONT... 55 ESE MIA 30 WNW
MIA 45 WSW APF ...CONT... 85 SSE 7R4 25 NNW GPT 35 WSW MEI 10 W GLH
25 NNE ELD 35 SSE HOT 25 E HOT 15 NNE JLN 15 WNW OJC LWD 25 ENE OXV
25 WNW MLI 35 NNE MMO 25 WSW BEH 15 SW ARB 20 S MTC 55 ENE MTC
...CONT... 90 NW HCO 30 WSW GFK 25 NW VVV SUX 20 S MHK 25 N BVO 25
SSW TUL 25 SE OKC 35 WSW SPS 35 ESE BWD 55 NW AUS 60 NNW SAT 15 SSW
JCT 70 SW SJT 35 SSW MAF 40 E HOB 50 SW LBB 20 E CVS 40 W CVS 45 ENE
4CR 25 ENE TCS 60 NE SAD 55 SSW INW 25 NNW PRC 55 NE IGM 35 SW SGU
20 NNE DRA 40 WNW DRA 65 NNE NID 45 NNW NID 50 NW NID 60 NW NID 55
ESE FAT 30 ESE FAT 15 ENE FAT 30 E MER 30 E SAC 40 NNE SAC 65 ESE
RBL 55 WNW RNO 20 WNW RNO NFL 40 SSW BAM 45 SE EKO 35 SSE ENV 25 S
DPG 30 SSW SLC 40 NW OGD 25 ENE SUN 35 SSW SMN 50 NW SMN 35 E P69 30
SSW MSO 70 N 3DU 50 SSW CTB 100 N GPI.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 14, 12:52z for portions of IND

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