The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 5, 19:55z for portions of ILN021
WUUS01 KWNS 051956
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0255 PM CDT MON AUG 05 2024
VALID TIME 052000Z - 061200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 28708311 32228236 33698098 34108003 34067892 33797824
33467787 99999999 29238051 27678133 26748272
0.02 42088749 41628779 41448829 41388889 41949204 42849562
43799632 44179635 44789524 44839382 44649245 43508924
42898800 42088749
0.02 42967363 43527390 43687309 44317053 44067032 43667042
42947120 42547264 42967363
0.05 43009429 43349508 43789532 44189521 44589425 43979111
43148943 42498939 41999003 43009429
0.05 30188051 29918139 29928185 30248232 31178235 32158183
33627989 33687894 33407862
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 43177946 44847108 45287007 45576875 44966777 44326749
43966756 99999999 42616985 41517352 40697696 40298053
40478445 40708734 41168932 41769135 42859560 43339668
43659684 44099700 44459667 44839575 45049429 44959174
43708770 42898470 42758314 42968203
0.15 41438787 41718913 43019433 43349512 43759535 44179521
44589428 43178758 42648712 41988725 41618751 41438787
0.15 43017730 43217552 43577335 44456963 44266903 43626918
42897041 42387203 41667431 41477571 41557635 42147751
42557769 43017730
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 43137940 44887110 46546719 99999999 42686963 41537347
40677697 40288048 40458442 40718739 41158926 41899170
42839559 42979596 43399676 43809692 44189696 44429675
44889570 45039422 44959176 43688763 42938480 42758312
42958204
0.05 49251127 47461136 45781114 43601072 42171231 41911372
41971560 42491665 43541741 45231815 46761709 49291299
0.15 42897045 41677429 40807960 40818236 41278293 41798258
41778067 42097931 42917823 43247551 43657308 44566974
44266903 43616914 42897045
0.15 43319509 43779533 44189522 44589423 43188758 42658711
41988725 41628750 41438785 41698912 43019435 43319509
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 44589424 43178758 42638710 41988726 41618750 41438783
41708913 43019436 43339508 43779533 44189522 44589424
SLGT 41247707 40807963 40828258 41298288 41798258 41768067
42107927 42877815 43227557 43687304 44187096 44506964
44246907 43556924 42917036 42557144 41667433 41247707
SLGT 30148065 29888146 29898186 30188230 31138242 32148184
33637988 33687893 33407862
MRGL 29218051 27678133 26748273 99999999 28708311 29918285
32198237 33688098 34098001 34087899 33797824 33487788
MRGL 42696958 41547345 40687695 40288049 40458441 40698733
41178932 41789139 42889559 43309660 43629688 44099700
44369683 44839591 45049432 44949177 43688760 42918477
42748314 42978193 99999999 43167943 44837120 46526724
MRGL 49251125 47481135 45791115 43601074 42171231 41921371
41971556 42521667 43531742 45221815 46751712 49291299
TSTM 42266912 40647530 39707939 39288258 39928629 40689049
42449551 43739917 44430060 45140113 45950121 46510066
47079921 47139607 46729393 45579026 44878816 44338606
44208402 44498142 99999999 28918480 31438485 32238518
33388475 34768301 35877948 36827697 36997615 36947501
99999999 30970620 31210466 31220232 30790106 29700038
28200052 99999999 32291642 32671638 33061610 32941511
32981456 33331428 33981429 34521453 35301451 36141402
37781362 39221350 40161421 40001605 40321686 41831775
42991883 44501861 44942113 45442201 46162202 46462170
46822074 47072012 47901962 48181970 49722045 99999999
49840871 48330935 47060867 46060639 44790426 44080430
43740489 42860777 42080852 41010876 40970780 41720650
41920498 41370394 40300236 40380126 40050028 39200039
37920168 36440335 34890518 34300622 33520685 32150743
31060783
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW
MKT 20 NE MKE 35 ESE RAC 40 NNW VPZ 30 WNW VPZ 45 W VPZ 30 NW MMO 35
NNW FOD 10 NNE SPW 15 NE OTG 25 SSW RWF 30 NNW MKT.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W
IPT 40 NE PIT MFD 40 NNW MFD 45 NW CLE 35 SW ERI JHW 30 E BUF 10 WNW
UCA 10 NNW RUT 20 ESE MWN 15 NNE AUG 35 E AUG 55 E PWM 25 ESE PSM 25
WNW BOS 25 W POU 10 W IPT.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE
SGJ 10 SW SGJ 30 ENE GNV 35 N GNV 10 S AYS 30 E VDI 40 SSW FLO CRE
25 SE CRE.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E
DAB AGR 45 SSW SRQ ...CONT... 60 NNW PIE 25 NE CTY VDI 15 NNW OGB 20
WSW FLO 30 N CRE 40 SSW ILM 55 S ILM.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 ESE
PSM 25 ESE POU 35 N CXY 10 NE HLG 40 NNW DAY 30 NW LAF 35 WSW MMO 20
ESE CID 25 NW SLB 20 SSE FSD 10 WNW FSD 15 SSW BKX BKX 40 SE VVV 40
SSW STC 15 WNW EAU 30 S MTW 15 NW LAN 20 WNW MTC 50 ENE MTC
...CONT... 40 WNW BUF 10 N BML 40 NE HUL.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NE
CTB GTF BZN JAC MLD 45 S BYI 30 E OWY 45 NNW OWY 60 W BOI 30 NNW BKE
PUW 55 NNW CTB.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NE HYA ABE 30 E
MGW 20 WNW UNI 15 N IND 35 E BRL 20 SW SLB 10 ESE 9V9 15 WNW PIR 45
SW MBG 45 E Y22 20 SSE BIS 25 WNW JMS 20 NNW DTL 25 NNE BRD 40 W RHI
25 N GRB 10 ENE MBL 35 ESE HTL 90 ENE BAX ...CONT... 60 SSE AAF 35
ENE DHN 25 SW CSG 25 SW ATL 25 NW AND 30 ESE GSO 45 W ORF ORF 65 E
ORF ...CONT... 60 S ELP 45 S GDP 40 ENE FST 50 SW SJT 40 NE DRT 80
NW LRD ...CONT... 25 S CZZ CZZ 35 WNW IPL 30 ENE IPL 25 N YUM 30 SE
BLH 35 NE BLH 20 SSE EED 35 W IGM 60 N IGM 30 WNW CDC 55 WSW U24 40
SSW ENV 35 N P68 20 S BAM 55 S REO 45 S BNO 45 WSW BKE 45 S DLS 30
ESE PDX 50 NE PDX 55 W YKM 20 NNW YKM 25 S EAT 40 S OMK 20 SSW OMK
95 NNW OMK ...CONT... 100 NNE HVR 25 SE HVR 40 E LWT 35 SW MLS 65 SW
2WX 60 W RAP 55 SE GCC 35 ESE RIW 45 NE RKS 45 SSE RKS 35 NNW CAG 35
E RWL 45 WSW TOR 40 SSW BFF 40 WSW IML 20 ESE IML 20 ESE MCK 30 WSW
HLC 50 W GCK 10 W CAO 50 S LVS 35 WNW 4CR 30 NE TCS 20 ESE DMN 80 S
DMN.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 5, 19:55z for portions of ILN---------------
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