MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 27, 2:33 PM CDT ...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...852
FXUS64 KMOB 271933
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
233 PM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024
...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024
Scattered to occasionally numerous showers and thunderstorms will
develop each day, initially along the coast during the late night
and early morning hours, then increasing in coverage over inland
area during the afternoon and evening hours. VFR conditions are
generally expected through the most of period, but there will be
brief MVFR/IFR conditions in and near showers and storms, along
with variable and gusty winds as high as 25 to 30 knots. Calm or
light and variable winds become southeasterly to southerly at 5-10
knots in the afternoon. DS/12
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Sunday)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024
The omega block pattern over the eastern US breaks down tonight and
especially into Sunday as the upper low over the eastern Plains
States lifts northeastward but shortwave energy around the base of
this low carves a sharpening upper trough that moves into the
Southeast States on Sunday. This process will push the upper
ridging southward over the Gulf, with only the northern periphery
of the ridge along the Gulf coast. At the surface, high pressure
remains centered over the mid Atlantic states, ridging
southwestward, but a very weak trough will linger across the
immediate Gulf coast region.
With this setup, a typical diurnal convective pattern will persist
through the weekend. Scattered to locally numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the region this evening will decrease in coverage
somewhat overnight, but will redevelop along the coast again late
tonight into Sunday morning before developing inland again during
the day on Sunday. A few of the stronger storms have the potential
of creating gusty surface winds up to the 35 to 40 mph range. However
the main concern will be the risk of locally heavy rainfall and
potential resultant minor flooding of low lying, poor drainage and
and urban areas as the showers and storms should be very
efficient rain producers (PWATs continue in the 2.0 to 2.2 inch
range).
Low temperatures tonight area expected to be in the low to mid 70s
inland and the upper 70s to near 80 along the coast. High
temperatures on Sunday will be near to slightly below normal,
ranging from about 88 to 92 degrees across the area. DS/12
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 75 91 76 91 76 92 76 93 / 20 70 30 60 20 50 20 40
Pensacola 78 89 78 90 78 91 78 92 / 40 70 40 70 30 60 20 50
Destin 79 90 79 90 79 90 79 91 / 40 70 50 80 40 70 30 40
Evergreen 72 90 74 91 74 92 73 94 / 30 70 40 80 30 70 20 40
Waynesboro 73 92 73 93 74 94 74 97 / 40 80 20 70 20 50 10 30
Camden 74 89 74 90 73 92 74 95 / 50 80 40 80 30 70 20 40
Crestview 73 91 74 91 74 93 73 94 / 20 70 40 80 30 70 30 50
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 27, 2:33 PM CDT ...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...---------------
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