[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 17, 19:58z for portions of LMK

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 17, 19:58z for portions of LMK

384 
WUUS01 KWNS 171959
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0258 PM CDT WED JUL 17 2024

VALID TIME 172000Z - 181200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   41327514 42487359 42537193 41487265 39767523 39737660
       40407625 41327514
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   42150582 43500596 43910572 44000518 43840427 42750250
       41060157 39520127 38130158 37680208 36680340 36060445
       36200484 36590523 37910508 38900509 40050523 42150582
0.05   40397628 42477361 42517195 41507266 39767527 39747662
       40397628
0.15   40380375 40990355 41150262 40680189 39480163 38540192
       38290273 38880311 40380375
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   45987063 46136858 45786694 99999999 36627543 35537904
       35388099 34938605 35218758 36498750 37238457 37718393
       37998382 38478384 39348417 39948393 40308340 40458270
       40878086 41787967 42167692 45207212
0.05   36180183 35020222 33690183 33000081 32799955 33039792
       33479649 34049515 34019311 33929183 33559124 32889159
       32729297 32499453 31969622 31389846 31410037 32140247
       33050334 34050502 35640515 36600521 37960507 39130510
       39960521 42200583 43480596 43920572 44010520 43810429
       42740249 41280138 39720111 38100118 36180183
0.15   37237531 37067620 37467862 38107883 39037840 42977373
       43637204 43706978 42467021 40337290 40087274
0.15   40360373 41030353 41130262 40670188 39470162 38550191
       38310271 38930312 40360373
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   37237531 37067620 37467862 38107883 39037840 42977373
       43637204 43706978 42467021 40337290 40087274
SLGT   41030353 41150262 40680189 39470162 38550191 38290273
       38880311 40380375 41030353
MRGL   43920572 44010520 43840427 42750250 41280138 39720111
       38100118 35020222 33690183 33000081 32799955 33039792
       33479649 34049515 33929183 33559124 32889159 32499453
       31969622 31389846 31410037 32140247 33050334 34050502
       36590523 37910508 38940510 40020523 42200583 43480596
       43920572
MRGL   36627543 35537904 34938605 35218758 36498750 37238457
       37718393 37998382 38478384 39348417 39948393 40308340
       40878086 41787967 42167692 45207212 99999999 45987063
       46136858 45796698
TSTM   49410788 48730787 47870762 46970715 46020595 45010327
       44590241 44360014 43499854 41559777 40409771 39489785
       37989810 37909810 36980000 36400106 36220118 36010110
       35500078 34589995 34219848 34359783 34779740 35729686
       37159616 37519581 37849394 38149138 38858869 40528745
       41238643 41738544 41858539 42658425 43608364 44498386
       45568392 46578384 99999999 27229691 27989766 28499840
       29009927 29570052 30190257 30560307 31590395 32040452
       32340537 32020728 31810825 31440880 30940859 99999999
       32051688 32881720 33711726 34161720 34381691 34501630
       34561596 34841553 35641529 36601521 37481573 38341661
       38621716 38901731 39311735 40851718 42061758 43051817
       43951904 44081989 44302089 44802187 45802234 46552280
       47222275 48142282 49442275

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S
WAL 10 N ORF 35 ENE LYH 10 SSE SHD 35 SW MRB 15 NNE ALB 15 E LEB 25
E PWM 40 E BOS 35 SSE ISP 50 SSE ISP.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W
SNY 20 E SNY 20 NW IML 10 NNE GLD 50 SSE ITR 15 N LAA 40 SE LIC 30
WNW AKO 30 W SNY.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW
GCC 30 SE GCC 60 WSW RAP 30 E CDR 40 WNW LBF 40 NE GLD 30 WNW GCK 30
WSW AMA LBB 65 NE BGS 25 NNE ABI 20 NNE MWL 20 SSE GYI 35 NNE PRX 20
SSE PBF 15 WNW GLH 35 NE MLU 15 NE GGG 10 ESE CRS 40 SE BWD 10 ENE
SJT 20 NW MAF 25 NNW HOB 40 E 4CR 40 WSW RTN 40 SW PUB 20 WNW COS 25
NW DEN 45 SSW DGW 50 NNE CPR 30 SSW GCC.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE
ORF 25 SSW RDU 45 ENE HSV 30 N MSL 10 SSW CKV 30 WNW LOZ 30 WNW JKL
40 NW JKL 50 NE LEX 20 NE LUK 15 E DAY 35 NW CMH 30 SSW YNG 30 NNE
FKL ELM 20 NNE EFK ...CONT... 95 NNE BML 35 W HUL 45 ESE HUL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 NW GGW 65 WNW GGW
50 WSW GGW 70 WNW MLS 30 S MLS 40 SSE 2WX 50 NE RAP PIR 30 SW MHE 25
WNW OLU 40 ESE HSI 10 WSW CNK 15 WSW HUT 15 SW HUT 55 E LBL 30 SE
GUY 35 SSE GUY 25 NE BGD 35 ESE BGD 20 ENE CDS 15 N SPS 40 ESE FSI
40 SE CHK CQB 25 NNW BVO 20 WSW CNU 55 NW SGF 20 E VIH 20 NE SLO 25
NNE DNV 35 S SBN 35 S AZO 25 SSE AZO 20 ESE LAN 25 ENE MBS 25 W OSC
35 NNW APN 25 ENE ANJ ...CONT... 50 SE CRP 20 NW CRP 45 W NIR 25 SSW
HDO 25 ENE DRT 25 WNW 6R6 25 SSW FST 45 WSW INK 20 NE GDP 50 NW GDP
30 ESE DMN 45 SW DMN 45 E DUG 70 ESE DUG ...CONT... 45 SSW CZZ 10 N
SAN 20 SSE RAL 20 NE RAL 35 SSW DAG 35 SE DAG 50 ESE DAG 50 W EED 30
SSW LAS 35 N LAS 60 NNE DRA 30 NE TPH 40 N TPH 40 S U31 15 SW U31 25
NW BAM 40 SSE REO 35 NNW REO 25 N BNO 55 NW BNO 15 ENE RDM 50 NW RDM
20 NE PDX 30 S OLM 20 NNE OLM 30 E CLM 45 NNW BLI.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 17, 19:58z for portions of LMK

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