The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 17, 12:51z for portions of ILN478
WUUS01 KWNS 171252
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 AM CDT WED JUL 17 2024
VALID TIME 171300Z - 181200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 42150582 43500596 43910572 44000518 43800428 42920284
41240202 39090175 37680208 36680340 36060445 36200484
36590523 37910508 38900509 40050523 42150582
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 36627543 35537904 35368104 35798219 37188373 38878330
41787967 42167692 45207212 99999999 46577043 45166847
43896785
0.05 34000293 33860380 34050502 35640515 36600521 37960507
39130510 39960521 42200583 43480596 43920572 44010520
43810429 42740249 41280138 39720111 38100118 36180183
34000293
0.05 33429822 34449638 35259309 35249160 34389127 33359185
32049608 31939710 32139803 32839842 33429822
0.15 37237531 37067620 37467862 38107883 39037840 42977373
43627200 43567108 42797111 40317290
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 37227536 37057622 37367807 37467862 38107883 39037840
42977376 43617199 43567108 42797111 40287291
MRGL 42170583 43510595 43920574 44010524 43820428 42730249
41280138 39720111 38100118 36180183 34000293 33860381
34020500 35650515 36590522 37960507 39130510 40000522
41650568 42170583
MRGL 46577043 45156845 43896784 99999999 36627543 35537904
35368104 35798219 37208374 38858330 41797965 42167690
45207211
MRGL 33349185 32049606 31939711 32139803 32839843 33409822
34449637 35259309 35259159 34409127 33349185
TSTM 29560223 30710424 31760554 32030727 31670809 31120809
99999999 32351699 32881720 33711726 34161720 34381691
34501630 34561596 34841553 35771545 36881544 37301612
38151719 39431776 40831748 42141773 42951843 43442011
44022145 44802208 46132304 47222352 48132347 49242329
99999999 49220718 47660692 46270553 45270281 43219943
41409791 39679715 38869694 38269632 38189569 38159448
38239318 39078897 40528613 41548490 42608486 43848577
45008615 47618590
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S
WAL 10 N ORF 45 WSW RIC 35 ENE LYH 10 SSE SHD 35 SW MRB 15 N ALB 15
E LEB 15 E LCI 25 SW PSM 35 SSE ISP.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW
DGW 50 NNE CPR 30 SSW GCC 25 SSE GCC 65 WSW RAP 30 ESE CDR 40 WNW
LBF 40 NE GLD 30 WNW GCK 40 SSW GUY 35 SE CVS 45 SW CVS 40 E 4CR LVS
40 WSW RTN 40 SW PUB 30 NW COS 25 NW DEN 25 N LAR 45 SSW DGW.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 W
CAR 30 NE BGR 45 SE BHB ...CONT... 45 ESE ORF 25 SSW RDU 10 NNW CLT
30 NE AVL 20 ENE LOZ 55 NW HTS 30 NNE FKL ELM 20 NNE EFK.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW
LLQ 20 E CRS 20 NNE ACT 10 SE SEP 20 W MWL 45 SSE SPS 35 N DUA RUE
35 S BVX 40 ENE PBF 20 SSW LLQ.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S 6R6 25 NNW MRF
45 W GDP 30 ESE DMN 45 SSW DMN 80 SSW DMN ...CONT... 30 SSE SAN 10 N
SAN 20 SSE RAL 20 NE RAL 35 SSW DAG 35 SE DAG 50 ESE DAG 50 W EED 25
SW LAS 35 ENE DRA 45 N DRA 10 NW TPH 30 W U31 15 ESE WMC 30 SSE REO
40 NW REO 60 W BNO 20 SW RDM 45 E SLE 40 E AST 25 NE HQM CLM 45 NW
BLI ...CONT... 75 NNW GGW 40 SSW GGW 20 SE MLS 40 ESE 2WX 40 S 9V9
30 W OLU 30 ENE CNK 25 SW MHK 10 WSW EMP 30 ESE EMP 50 SSE OJC 40
SSE SZL 30 N SLO 40 WNW MIE 40 NNE FWA 20 SW LAN 40 SE MBL 35 NW TVC
105 NW ANJ.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 17, 12:51z for portions of ILN---------------
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