Author Topic: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Jul 16, 12:57z for portions of PBZ  (Read 241 times)

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Jul 16, 12:57z for portions of PBZ

408 
WUUS01 KWNS 161259
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0757 AM CDT TUE JUL 16 2024

VALID TIME 161300Z - 171200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   44267338 43707234 42497335 41957539 42457706 43237718
       43907620 44327464 44267338
0.02   42220050 42799982 43019825 42909736 42409636 42099597
       41279593 40299750 40850022 42220050
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   37770464 38810471 41210401 42390317 43230214 43760122
       44049952 43499693 42519571 40479543 40159423 39869187
       38528550 36708586 35229431 34879736 34900059 34930271
       35780374 36630435 37770464
0.05   44367421 44477315 44287150 42727168 40177357 39207489
       38627608 38277880 38138207 38548297 39518296 40218207
       42147927 43297903 44367421
0.15   42759988 43029834 42929734 42379632 42099597 41309591
       40339672 40019806 40520001 41380098 42210054 42759988
0.15   38909589 39589585 39999435 39759185 38969133 38529039
       38188918 37478889 36758934 36509142 36629430 37359479
       38219427 38539470 38909589
0.15   38960159 38129881 37299858 36979926 36800198 37030367
       38030374 38680303 38960159
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   31311224 32621191 33381151 33551067 32660911 31080895
0.05   38277458 37827680 36968389 35958965 35249424 34869738
       34880042 34960268 35820381 36580432 37750464 38800471
       41210399 42440317 43210216 43780119 44039946 43599724
       43229621 42769561 42289535 40639519 39778839 39918451
       40608326 42348164 99999999 45587101 44117055 43107079
       41547199 40427256
0.15   42240052 42759984 43039834 42949737 42409635 42079600
       41319590 40309675 40019807 40520003 41390097 42240052
0.15   44277152 42717172 40147360 39237496 38687638 38457845
       38558024 38858176 39108205 39568224 40148177 42167923
       43297903 44427525 44477312 44277152
0.15   36978642 36529142 36619428 37379479 38209427 38519468
       38899589 39599581 40009434 39769186 39419000 38968646
       38438591 38028549 37278560 36978642
0.15   38950160 37669742 36709753 36359792 35750002 35830124
       36410336 36860368 38070374 38670305 38950160
0.30   44227325 43637243 42847261 42447398 42477644 42717716
       43287706 43827600 44197465 44227325
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    43287706 43847599 44187469 44227325 43647242 42837261
       42447398 42487645 42727717 43287706
SLGT   44487312 44277152 42727169 40157361 39227496 38697640
       38457846 38558027 38878176 39108205 39578223 40128178
       42157923 43117908 43297904 44427524 44487312
SLGT   40009429 39759185 39418997 38958647 38058551 37278562
       36968644 36529144 36619429 37359478 38209427 38529469
       38909591 39589580 40009429
SLGT   41390099 42240052 42759987 43039833 42939737 42409634
       42129599 41299591 40319672 40019809 40520002 41390099
SLGT   36890369 38070373 38670305 38960161 38570032 37659742
       36719753 36359791 35750002 35830127 36410338 36890369
MRGL   45617102 44177056 43107079 41557199 41147221 40437252
       99999999 38337419 38017572 37807686 37498001 36918426
       35948969 35229435 34869740 34880063 34930268 35820381
       36580431 37760464 38770471 41200399 42410316 43220215
       43780120 44039950 43829833 43509689 43239621 42739556
       42289535 40639517 39778838 39928449 40608326 42348168
MRGL   31321225 32681189 33371153 33561070 32670911 30960895
TSTM   32201697 33281710 33851701 34471667 34831605 35431584
       36541573 37161607 37591652 37601731 37221818 37051900
       37341968 38182028 40042110 40912149 41582229 41942299
       42742392 43402470 99999999 45582429 45562284 45122023
       44051854 42951680 42131545 41921413 42221286 43691236
       45201081 46031107 46921209 47641414 48131551 48581714
       49261853 99999999 49280924 46700733 45740652 45350556
       45380503 45850461 47000356 47570067 48189755 48509632
       49659472 99999999 47688607 47439034 46979232 46209300
       45389320 44509286 43749207 43179073 42928904 43158736
       43898609 44698457 45768258 99999999 25929839 26829806
       28409729 30609454 31889296 32629224 33109235 33419297
       33609361 33699727 33620036 33250441 32930563 32630619
       32180647 31700626 31500577 31210488 30990379 30250200
       29690105 28790059 28400058

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE
ROC 10 S ART 30 WSW SLK 20 SSW BTV LEB 20 WSW EEN 25 SSW ALB ITH 40
SE ROC 35 ENE ROC.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM BTV 10
W MWN 30 ESE EEN 35 SSE JFK 25 SW ACY 30 N NHK 20 N CHO 35 SW EKN 35
SE UNI 15 SE UNI 25 N UNI 15 NNE ZZV JHW 20 NW BUF 30 NNW BUF 40 SSW
MSS BTV.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE
STJ 35 WSW UIN 35 SSW SPI 15 SSE BMG 15 SE SDF 50 ENE BWG BWG 30 ESE
UNO 25 E GMJ 20 NW JLN 50 SSE OJC 25 S OJC 20 SW TOP 35 SSW FNB 35
ENE STJ.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW
LBF 30 ENE MHN 15 NNE ANW 40 NNE ONL YKN SUX 25 NNE TQE OMA BIE 40
NW CNK 35 NE MCK 25 NW LBF.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW
CAO 10 W LHX 45 NNW LAA 30 S GLD 50 NNE GCK ICT 25 W PNC END 55 WNW
CSM 10 NE BGD 15 W CAO 45 NW CAO.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N
BML 35 E MWN PSM 15 NNE GON 15 SSW GON 40 SE ISP ...CONT... 70 E SBY
15 WNW WAL 30 NE RIC 10 N ROA 15 SW LOZ 15 WSW DYR 10 S FSM 35 ESE
CHK 35 NNW CDS 55 NE CVS 45 NNW TCC 15 SE RTN 35 SSW PUB COS 45 E
CYS 30 S CDR 55 ENE CDR 30 SE PHP 20 NNW 9V9 15 WNW MHE 10 SW FSD 35
SE FSD 20 WNW SLB 20 N DNS 15 ESE SDA 20 SSW CMI 15 W DAY 35 SE FDY
60 ESE MTC.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 SW
TUS 50 ESE GBN 30 E PHX 65 SW SOW 35 ESE SAD 50 SE DUG.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE SAN 40 N SAN
25 ESE RAL 25 SSE DAG 40 E DAG 60 SW LAS 15 ESE DRA 35 N DRA 45 SE
TPH 35 SSW TPH 15 SE BIH 40 WSW BIH 40 N FAT 50 SSW TVL 60 E RBL 50
ESE MHS 20 N MHS 30 SSW MFR 50 NNE 4BK 25 W OTH ...CONT... 45 SSW
AST 10 W PDX 55 SE DLS 35 NNE BNO 50 SW BOI 40 ENE OWY 40 SSE TWF 30
W MLD 20 NW IDA 40 SSW LVM 20 NNE BZN 25 N HLN 45 S GPI 35 N 3TH 70
NNE GEG 70 NE OMK ...CONT... 55 NNE HVR 70 WNW MLS 55 SSW MLS 10 SW
4BQ 20 E 4BQ 40 SSW BHK 40 WNW DIK 35 E N60 25 NW GFK 30 NNW TVF 55
NNE RRT ...CONT... 105 NE MQT 20 S GNA 10 NW DLH 55 ESE BRD 35 N MSP
30 SE MSP 25 ESE RST 30 W LNR 20 SE MSN 30 ENE MKE 25 SSE MBL 25 N
HTL 65 NE APN ...CONT... 20 SSW MFE 45 NNE MFE 25 E NIR 45 SSE LFK
15 NE IER 15 WNW MLU 30 ESE ELD 15 NW ELD 25 ENE TXK 35 W GYI 55 S
CDS ROW 30 ENE ALM 15 SSW ALM 25 NNW ELP 10 SE ELP 40 ESE ELP 45 S
GDP 45 NNE MRF 20 NE 6R6 25 NNW DRT 45 SSE DRT 70 SSE DRT.


Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Jul 16, 12:57z for portions of PBZ

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