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398 FXUS64 KMOB 122022AFDMOBArea Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service Mobile AL322 PM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE....NEAR TERM...(Now through Saturday)Issued at 322 PM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024A broad upper level ridge over the western Atlantic will continueto build westward through Saturday. At the sfc, a light west to southwest flow will maintain higher precipitable water values around 2 inches, mainly along the coast. Slightly drier air will exist inland with values around 1.8 inches. This will lead to similar conditions on Saturday with highs in the mid/upper 90s inland to low/mid 90s near the coast. Heat index values will climbinto the 105 to 108 range during the afternoon across the southern third of the area. A heat advisory may be required acrossportions of the area. Otherwise, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop near the coast during the morning and spread inland through the afternoon. Severe storms are not expected, however frequent lightning, gusty winds and brief heavy rain can be expected with the storms. /13 &&.SHORT AND LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)Issued at 322 PM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024Summer marches on this week with continued heat but also some rain chances showing up towards the end of the week. High pressure will nose into the area Sunday through Tuesday leading to a rather standard summertime pattern. Rain chances will remain confined mostly to the seabreeze and land breeze circulations and then slowly spreading inland with outflow boundaries. Given the relatively benign flow and net subsidence over the area, coverage should remain rather scattered to isolated. Heat will be the main talk as moisture slowly builds and with the lack of cloud cover highs will be able to climb into the mid to upper 90s leading to heat indices around 105. The overall pattern will change by the middle of the week as a rather deep trough for this time of year digs into the eastern US. Deep southwesterly flow will develop a loft as moisture increases across the area. RAin chances will likely be on the rise as a subtle boundary slowly drifts southward into the central Alabama. If anything, this pattern appears to be a rather soggy period with the potential for several rounds of heavier rain as PWATS climb into the 2.25 to 2.5 inch range. The good news is that it would keep the temperatures down a bit with only highs in the low 90s. BB/03&&.MARINE...Issued at 322 PM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms. /13&&.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...Mobile 75 95 75 95 76 94 77 94 / 10 50 10 50 10 50 10 50 Pensacola 78 94 79 94 79 93 80 93 / 10 40 10 50 20 50 20 50 Destin 80 93 81 92 80 91 81 92 / 10 30 10 40 20 40 20 50 Evergreen 72 97 74 97 75 96 75 95 / 10 30 0 40 10 50 10 70 Waynesboro 73 98 74 98 75 96 75 97 / 20 30 10 40 10 50 10 50 Camden 72 97 75 98 76 96 75 96 / 10 20 0 30 10 40 10 70 Crestview 74 98 75 97 75 96 76 96 / 10 40 0 40 10 50 10 70 &&.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...AL...None.FL...None.MS...None.GM...None.&&$$This product is also available on the web at:www.weather.gov/mob
