MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 10, 10:58 PM CDT ...New AVIATION...863
FXUS64 KMOB 110358
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1058 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024
...New AVIATION...
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1055 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024
VFR conditions prevail overnight. Re-development of showers and
storms is possible over the nearshore waters and along the
coast in the morning while transitioning inland through the
afternoon on Thursday. Light winds will turn southerly to
southwesterly as the sea breeze pushes inland in the late
afternoon hours. 07/mb
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 637 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024/
..New AVIATION...
AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 633 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024
VFR conditions will generally prevail tonight and into the
overnight hours. Brief reductions in ceilings and visibilities are
possible as early as 11-12z along the coastline as showers and
storms develop over the Gulf. Showers and storms may begin to
impact inland terminals by early Thursday afternoon. 07/mb
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 213 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024/
.New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
NEAR TERM...
(Now through Thursday)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024
A weak frontal boundary remains draped just off the Gulf Coast,
where earlier showers and thunderstorms have dissipated. Isolated
showers will remain possible south of I-10 through the afternoon
hours, but most of the activity is expected to remain offshore and
chances are relatively low. North of I-10, drier air has filtered in
behind the boundary as high pressure builds southward. This will
keep rain chances minimal, with clouds slowly eroding through the
afternoon hours. Given the slower warm up due to the clouds,
temperatures will be a bit more mild today, as highs warm into the
upper 80s to lower 90s.
The surface boundary will remain in the vicinity through the end of
the period, with a similar trend in rain chances through Thursday.
Expect another round of showers and thunderstorms to develop during
the predawn hours on Thursday, mainly south of I-10, with showers
and thunderstorms dissipating in the afternoon as a shortwave lifts
northeast of the area. After a mild overnight period, with lows
falling into the low to mid 70s, highs on Thursday will climb into
the upper 80s to lower 90s once again. /73
SHORT/LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 509 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024
The forecast area will remain on the periphery of a mid level trough
moving through the Ohio and TN Valleys and mid level ridging to our
southeast. Several shortwaves are expected to move through the
southwest flow aloft, with moisture continually filtering into the
region. This will keep scattered thunderstorms in the forecast
through Friday, with the better chances along our southern areas.
The trough will weaken over the weekend as it moves eastward, while
high pressure builds at the surface and aloft. Diurnally driven
thunderstorms will remain possible through the middle part of next
week, with the highest coverage in the afternoon. Temperatures
through the period will be seasonably warm, with highs each
afternoon warming into the lower to mid 90s, and overnight lows
falling into the lower 70s over our interior counties to upper 70s
along the coast. Excessive heat will become a concern towards the
latter half of the weekend, as heat indices approach 110 degrees and
overnight lows remain above 75 degrees. /73
MARINE...
Issued at 213 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024
Light to moderate southwesterly to westerly flow
prevails through tonight. Light westerly to southwesterly winds
return on Thursday and will generally persist through the weekend.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 74 92 75 94 76 96 75 97 / 20 40 10 40 10 40 10 40
Pensacola 77 92 77 93 78 94 78 94 / 20 40 20 40 10 40 10 40
Destin 79 92 79 93 80 93 80 93 / 20 30 20 30 10 30 10 40
Evergreen 71 94 71 96 72 97 73 97 / 0 20 0 20 0 20 10 30
Waynesboro 71 95 72 97 73 98 73 98 / 0 20 0 20 0 20 10 30
Camden 69 94 70 96 72 97 73 97 / 0 10 0 10 0 10 0 30
Crestview 72 95 72 97 74 97 74 97 / 10 30 10 30 10 30 10 40
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 10, 10:58 PM CDT ...New AVIATION...---------------
If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
