Author Topic: [Alert]LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 11, 4:19 AM CDT ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...  (Read 272 times)

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LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 11, 4:19 AM CDT ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

560 
FXUS64 KLIX 110919
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
419 AM CDT Thu Jul 11 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 416 AM CDT Thu Jul 11 2024

The moisture axis that will be with us for a while will move north
and south a bit each day. This will cause sh/ts to develop farther
north some days and not others, but sh/ts are expected daily over
the south half of the area. This will be the case for the next few
days as well as into the extended. Again, these storms will have
ample opportunity to produce very heavy rainfall in short periods of
time that could cause some isolated flooding issues from day to day.
The good thing is sh/ts will help keep heat advisories out of the
headlines for now.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 416 AM CDT Thu Jul 11 2024

A diurnal swing in precip will occur daily with respect to this
boundary. Some nocturnal sh/ts should also get going each morning as
well over or near the coast. The rainfall, mainly during the
daylight hours, with these storms will be heavy so isolated flooding
rain will be possible each day through the remainder of the week.
The environment will be conducive to waterspout/landspout
development daily as well, which should be most likely during the
morning hours.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 416 AM CDT Thu Jul 11 2024

VFR conditions should start the day but most terminals will have a
high chance of receiving a TSRA and IFR conditions temporarily with
the exception of MCB and BTR which will have their highest chances
during the afternoon hours.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 416 AM CDT Thu Jul 11 2024

Winds and seas have fallen back to normal summer like values and the
light and variable to light southerly flow will remain through the
rest of the week. But storm chances will be high daily and any of
these could produce strong winds and rapidly higher seas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  92  72  93  73 /  40  10  60  10
BTR  95  76  95  77 /  60  20  70  10
ASD  92  76  94  76 /  70  20  70  10
MSY  91  78  93  79 /  80  30  80  10
GPT  91  76  93  77 /  60  20  50  10
PQL  95  75  97  76 /  40  20  40  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TE
LONG TERM....TE
AVIATION...TE
MARINE...TE

Source: LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 11, 4:19 AM CDT ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

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