[Alert]PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 3, 6:43 AM CDT

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PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 3, 6:43 AM CDT

326 
FXUS63 KPAH 031143
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
643 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Seasonably normal temperatures and dry weather is forecast for
  the weekend through much of next week, with a warming trend
  late week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 641 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Updated the aviation section for the 12Z TAF issuance.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Precipitation has ended across the Quad State at this time. Low
clouds remain in southern portions of Western Kentucky. Despite
the heavy rainfall Friday, sufficient surface winds during the
night should keep visibility decreases minimal. Today, high
pressure moves through the Great Lakes area, keeping
northeasterly flow across the Quad State and limiting highs to
the mid-70s. While clouds move in from the southwest, the front
and better precipitation potential will be across TN or further
south, resulting in a dry forecast for the entire Quad State. On
Sunday, a second cold front reinforces dry cooler air as a 
broad area of high pressure moves towards the Midwest from the 
Northern Plains. 

Dry weather and high pressure is favored for the entire workweek
ahead. The coolest mornings will be Tuesday and Wednesday with
morning lows in the 40s. A ridge axis moves through Tuesday 
which will allow for a bit more of a southerly flow afterwards,
and a slow warming trend as a subsequent ridge builds over the
Quad State late week. Models point towards late next weekend as
the next chance for rain.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 641 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Overcast MVFR to IFR cigs remain in southern portions of Western
Kentucky and the Missouri Bootheel this morning. Low cloud
activity diminishes later in the day, with high clouds moving
across the region tonight. Winds will remain out of the
northeast at 6-10kts today, becoming light tonight.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...ATL
DISCUSSION...ATL
AVIATION...ATL

Source: PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 3, 6:43 AM CDT

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