MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 23, 12:15 AM CDT ...New AVIATION...550
FXUS64 KMOB 230515
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1215 AM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1212 AM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026
- Above normal temperatures continue today as highs top out in
the lower to middle 90's and heat indices as high as 102.
- A cooler and drier airmass moves into the area late this week
into the weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1039 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026
The upcoming forecast is certainly a sight for sore eyes as we
have a genuine cool front push across the area from the northeast
to bring "cooler" and drier air into the region Thursday. We
tough it out for another day as highs warm into the lower to
middle 90's and lows in the lower to middle 70's. However, as we
head into Thursday we see that push of cooler, drier air working
its way into the area from the northeast. This is all thanks to a
backdoor cold front pushing across the area associated with
ongoing CAD (Cold Air Damming) across the Carolinas/Georgia. This
should bring us back to near to perhaps slightly below normal highs
and lows for this time of the year. Highs will generally be in
the middle to upper 80's and lows in the lower to middle 60's late
week into the weekend. Friday night into Saturday morning will
likely be the coolest night as lows over the interior may dip into
the upper 50's.
There isn't much else to talk about, overall the forecast is dry
although ahead of and along that front Wednesday night into
Thursday I can't rule out an isolated shower or storm that tries
to get going. Otherwise, we stay dry through the rest of the week
into the weekend. The rip current risk will remain Low through
Thursday before increasing to a Moderate risk Thursday night into
Friday as easterly winds along the coast strengthen in the wake of
the front. MM/25
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1215 AM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026
Some patchy fog is possible over interior areas overnight, and a
couple of showers or storms may develop Wednesday afternoon into
the early evening. VFR conditions are otherwise anticipated
through Wednesday evening. Calm or light and variable winds
overnight become northeasterly around 5 knots by mid Wednesday
morning, with a switch to an easterly or southeasterly direction
at 5-10 knots near the immediate coast in the afternoon. /29
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 138 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026
A light diurnal flow prevails through Wednesday, with winds becoming
onshore flow each afternoon then offshore at night. A light
to moderate northeasterly flow develops Thursday and briefly becomes
a bit stronger on Friday. Seas will be around 1 foot, then slowly
build to 2 to 4 feet Thursday into Friday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 93 72 90 67 / 10 0 20 0
Pensacola 92 74 87 69 / 10 10 10 0
Destin 91 74 87 70 / 10 10 0 0
Evergreen 92 68 87 62 / 0 10 10 0
Waynesboro 93 69 89 63 / 0 0 10 0
Camden 92 69 86 62 / 0 20 10 0
Crestview 92 70 87 64 / 10 10 10 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 23, 12:15 AM CDT ...New AVIATION...---------------
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