The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 15, 5:59z for portions of PBZ967
WUUS01 KWNS 150601
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
VALID TIME 151200Z - 161200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 38228319 38298380 38588451 38908481 39508534 39768548
39988557 40508559 40798550 41028533 41218503 41308468
41308424 41228383 40918320 40398270 39658204 39258190
38938196 38628217 38368255 38228319
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 36530222 36490274 36470330 36570382 36840415 37750472
38670504 41780544 42680564 43150535 43540462 43550403
43480351 43030297 42480244 40730201 38210173 37290175
36840182 36730192 36530222
0.15 37120275 37100323 37260359 37650399 38200433 39200457
41170475 41790475 42190451 42400398 42430369 42350333
42080313 41590287 40770261 39020238 38050229 37420232
37340236 37120275
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 31598010 31758147 31308249 30358404 30258493 30478551
31148570 31868537 32738476 33968422 35558418 36598439
38118549 38968699 39138963 38949160 38649536 36669995
36150171 36000332 36240416 36720477 37280489 39110541
41940585 43040643 43570662 44100643 44390582 44550508
44490380 44150273 43150127 42340023 41969885 41749685
41619324 41889005 42198859 42618620 42538500 42268396
41218208 40248114 38537956 36777837 35447743 34317570
0.15 41138628 41528638 41928588 41918534 41748455 40938321
38728125 35887917 35297884 34697896 34377923 34098001
34088073 34228172 34598246 35038273 35648289 36448321
38078403 39448530 40808617 41138628
0.15 36760348 37040397 37510429 38200459 39250481 40360493
41220497 41850496 42370469 42690388 42710271 42410200
41920171 40690147 38540123 37370128 36950162 36750269
36760348
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 41928588 41918534 41748455 40938321 38728125 35887917
35297884 34697896 34377923 34098001 34088073 34228172
34598246 35038273 36448321 38078403 39448530 40808617
41528638 41928588
SLGT 41850496 42370469 42690388 42710271 42410200 41920171
40690147 38540123 37370128 36950162 36750269 36760348
37040397 37510429 38200459 39250481 41220497 41850496
MRGL 31628036 31758147 31308249 30358404 30258493 30478551
31148570 31868537 32738476 33968422 35558418 36598439
38118549 38968699 39138963 38649536 36669995 36150171
36000332 36240416 36720477 39110541 41940585 43040643
43570662 44100643 44390582 44550508 44490380 44150273
42340023 41969885 41749685 41619324 41889005 42618620
42538500 42268396 41218208 38537956 35447743 34387581
TSTM 32251651 32741685 33601723 34661767 35351781 36901777
39951694 41221702 42691852 43511928 43762035 43202139
43402214 44352235 46712249 48342234 49532243 49822248
99999999 30971234 31931223 33211022 34310944 35090897
36200730 37560768 38710882 39501081 40381172 40421256
39961290 38631234 37421185 36561110 35781062 35241046
34361061 33811112 33821224 33701403 33221477 32491486
31881463 99999999 46858342 46158406 45748542 45718674
45658776 45508861 45268952 44679038 43879006 43848878
43498663 42758356 42208105 41607933 40697811 39207747
37597756 36307592 35567419 99999999 49551688 49551688
48701745 48241740 47781699 48011425 48001287 47851034
46830778 45370550 44680269 43970119 44679800 45459695
47049660 48839741 49989896 99999999 28479065 29829057
30479027 32368757 34388606 36338568 37538650 38198841
38119138 38149527 34820174 33160313 31960292 30270247
29260095 27980070
&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25
SW AZO 25 SSE AZO 35 S JXN 25 ESE FDY 30 NE CRW 20 W RDU 20 N FAY
20 SSW FAY 30 ENE FLO 20 WSW FLO 25 ENE CAE 40 WNW CAE 15 ENE AND
30 SSW AVL 45 NNW HSS 30 E LEX 55 S MIE 50 ENE LAF 15 SSW SBN 25
SW AZO
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50
N CYS 35 NW TOR 45 NNE TOR 20 ESE CDR 50 ENE AIA 35 WSW MHN 15 NE
IML 50 NNW GCK 30 NW LBL 15 ESE EHA 35 S SPD 30 NW CAO 25 SE TAD
15 N TAD 0 - PUB 30 N COS 10 WNW CYS 50 N CYS
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
60 SE SAV 30 SSW SAV 0 - AYS 20 E TLH 35 N AAF 20 NNE PFN 20 SW
DHN 40 N DHN 20 NE CSG 25 NNE ATL 20 SSW TYS 40 SSW LOZ 15 ESE SDF
25 WSW BMG 30 NE ALN 35 SSE TOP 25 NNW GAG 35 NNW BGD 30 SSW CAO
40 SSE RTN 15 W RTN 40 WNW COS 45 NNW LAR 10 NNE CPR 45 N CPR 55
SSE SHR 15 W GCC 25 ENE GCC 50 NW RAP 15 ENE RAP 20 SW ANW 20 NE
BUB 35 NE OLU 20 NNW OXV 40 NE MLI 35 NNE BEH 25 SW LAN 10 WNW ARB
20 SW CLE 30 SSE EKN 35 NW EWN 60 S HSE
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S CZZ 20 E SAN
25 SSE RAL 20 SE EDW 25 SSW NID 45 SE BIH 35 NNE U31 45 N BAM 35
WNW REO 20 WSW BNO 50 SE RDM 75 S RDM 80 NNE MFR 50 SE SLE 25 SE
OLM 35 SSE BLI 50 N BLI 70 N BLI ...CONT... 115 SW TUS 75 SSE GBN
40 NW SAD 30 E SOW 30 SSW GUP 25 WNW 4SL 30 N DRO 30 SSW GJT 10
SSW PUC 30 SSE SLC 25 NE DPG 15 S DPG 40 ENE MLF 25 SE BCE 30 SE
PGA 55 N INW 20 NE INW 35 W SOW 60 ENE PHX 30 NNW PHX 40 E BLH 25
S BLH 20 SW YUM 55 S YUM ...CONT... 50 ENE ANJ 25 SE ANJ 30 WNW
PLN 15 E ESC 20 SE IMT 30 SW IMT 25 NNE AUW 35 WSW CWA 10 ESE VOK
15 SW OSH 30 NW MKG 20 SSE FNT 45 W ERI 40 S JHW 20 SW UNV 30 ESE
MRB 15 WNW RIC 15 E ECG 85 ENE HSE ...CONT... 135 NNE GEG 135 NNE
GEG 75 N GEG 45 N GEG 25 ENE GEG 20 S GPI 50 SSW CTB 55 SSW HVR 80
NNE BIL 0 - 4BQ 45 NNE RAP 20 ESE PHP 25 NNE HON 25 WNW VVV 15 NE
FAR 20 WNW HCO 130 N DVL ...CONT... 75 S HUM 20 NNE HUM 30 WNW ASD
35 W SEM 30 N GAD 45 NW CSV 40 N BWG 25 ESE MVN 20 E VIH 35 NNE
CNU 30 S AMA 35 N HOB 20 NE INK 20 NW 6R6 10 SSW DRT 80 WNW LRD
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 15, 5:59z for portions of PBZ---------------
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