[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Jul 21, 12:57z for portions of BOX

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Jul 21, 12:57z for portions of BOX

178 
WUUS01 KWNS 211258
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0757 AM CDT TUE JUL 21 2026

VALID TIME 211300Z - 221200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   35787449 36097631 36877894 36858112 36128476 36658744
       37278834 37918800 40408417 42158222 
0.02   45507473 44167348 42647198 40727162 
0.05   36707449 36667565 36657644 36947730 37367747 38037749
       38647730 39217784 39377829 39277959 38418031 37828124
       37368359 37218484 37528583 38258593 39038517 39988243
       40528183 41148146 41618103 41878048 42018001 41987944
       41967897 41997855 43597543 43577460 42957410 42197340
       41797271 41327266 41147321 40717337 40067336 
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   38627422 38037724 37498084 37038320 35808770 35428992
       35699078 36329101 37069046 38458818 40598408 41688241
       43168122 99999999 44977701 43357406 41667315 39757254
0.15   38218790 40228319 40968132 42347829 42507666 41957548
       41297495 40597471 40097458 39627455 39217492 39017546
       38647716 38367891 37638245 37058595 36988718 37298790
       38218790 
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   45647302 44137188 40757092 
0.05   34897476 34677763 34388386 34808738 34529019 34889174
       35589236 36279228 38978894 41038590 43248195 
0.15   36307489 35637743 35728295 35898627 35478998 35689070
       36329103 37039050 38738784 40988392 42918091 
0.15   44917583 43237378 41697262 39707257 
0.30   37107387 36887593 36687956 36368459 36348712 37408756
       38488641 38948590 40888262 42977871 42967711 42707571
       41747429 40727316 38847271 
0.45   38147418 37847519 37447670 37477823 37547892 37927959
       38008033 37758194 37708338 37788430 37888489 38078517
       38498524 38798488 40228242 41328029 41647917 41717771
       41467490 40457385 39727336 
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    38047453 37447670 37477823 37547892 37927959 38008033
       37758194 37708338 37788430 37888489 38078517 38498524
       38798488 40228242 41328029 41647917 41717771 41467490
       40457385 39837344 
SLGT   44917583 43237378 41697262 40137258 99999999 36257507
       35637743 35728295 35898627 35478998 35689070 36329103
       37039050 38738784 40988392 42748117 
MRGL   45487290 44137188 40757092 99999999 34877500 34677763
       34388386 34808738 34529019 34889174 35589236 36279228
       38978894 41038590 43248195 
TSTM   31901405 33361473 34501556 35091638 35361751 35681858
       36381953 37762055 38762118 39572139 40142145 40512171
       40552214 40392292 40562350 41172395 41592408 43082420
       44412395 45102343 45372292 45532221 45522131 45342045
       45121987 44981897 45051807 45871609 46481468 46661337
       46750971 46550594 46340238 46160112 45799992 45119917
       44239866 42969820 42189753 41599586 41029265 41069026
       41688831 42408667 42858640 43478642 44238639 44798612
       45428544 46718367 99999999 29289369 32829419 34949466
       36499439 37899372 38639383 38939433 39299550 39479657
       39329767 38929807 38289831 37669813 37129798 36559807
       36039842 35769917 35639990 35560115 35320198 34740290
       34050354 33550361 32890348 32200321 31120254 30480225
       29270198 

&&
THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
50 E WAL 35 E RIC 45 SSE CHO 20 NE LYH 45 NNW LYH 15 N SSU 45 SSW
CRW 10 N JKL 25 SE LEX 20 WSW LEX 30 ESE SDF 35 NE SDF 35 SW LUK
30 ENE CMH 20 ENE YNG 35 S JHW 60 N UNV 15 SSW MSV 15 SSW JFK 60
SSE JFK

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65
N ART 10 SW GFL 15 S BDL 55 SSE ISP ...CONT... 60 E ECG 30 ESE RWI
15 SSW HSS 30 SE BNA 30 N MEM 10 SSW JBR 15 NNW ARG 20 N POF 50
NNW EVV 15 WSW FDY 70 NW ERI

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
50 NW EFK 30 WSW MWN 45 SE BID ...CONT... 45 SE HSE 10 S OAJ 40 NW
AHN 15 ENE MSL 40 SSW MEM 30 ENE LIT 45 S FLP 10 ENE FLP 20 N SLO
40 W FWA 65 NE MTC

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE YUM 15 S BLH
55 WSW EED 30 NE DAG 25 SSE NID 30 ENE BFL 30 SSE FAT 35 N MER 25
NE SAC 60 SE RBL 40 E RBL 40 NE RBL 30 NNE RBL 40 WNW RBL 35 ESE
EKA 15 NNE ACV 15 SSE CEC 25 S OTH 15 SSE ONP 25 WNW SLE 20 SW PDX
20 E PDX 10 SW DLS 40 ESE DLS 65 SW PDT 50 S PDT 20 NW BKE 30 SW
P69 40 SW MSO 10 W 3DU 25 NNE 3HT 10 NNW MLS 30 NNW Y22 45 SSW BIS
30 NE MBG 45 WSW ABR 25 WSW HON 40 NE ONL 15 NNW OFK 20 N OMA 10
WSW OTM 30 SSE MLI 30 NE MMO 20 NNW BEH 25 SSW MKG 25 NNW MKG  0 -
MBL 35 N MBL 35 WSW PLN 35 ENE ANJ ...CONT... 50 SSE BPT 35 NW SHV
0 - RKR 20 ESE GMJ 50 NNW SGF 15 WSW SZL 20 SE MKC 15 NNE TOP 25
NNE MHK 15 S CNK 25 WNW SLN 30 WNW HUT 30 SSW HUT 35 ESE P28 15
NNW END 35 SW END 30 N CSM 45 S GAG 15 SE BGD 15 WNW AMA 35 NE CVS
25 SSW CVS 60 SSW CVS 20 NW HOB 30 N INK 25 ENE FST 30 N 6R6 55
SSE 6R6

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Jul 21, 12:57z for portions of BOX

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