[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 20, 6:02z for portions of CLE

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 20, 6:02z for portions of CLE

279 
WUUS01 KWNS 200604
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0102 AM CDT MON JUL 20 2026

VALID TIME 201200Z - 211200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   46658233 44188426 42528653 41588784 41228927 40799095
       40939181 41639375 42179510 42709537 43049518 43869394
       44639271 46829220 47699268 48869224 
0.05   44289254 46229136 46549040 46978904 46988827 46708741
       46528710 46448645 46188617 45728656 44308637 43558659
       43098744 42178920 41818981 41279096 41319205 41769284
       42199347 42619383 42879403 43239387 44289254 
CIG1   46548895 46488805 45538731 44028791 43158856 42168916
       41419058 41689137 41999214 42569249 43279218 43849144
       45599066 46548895 
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   46478253 44118433 42738607 41388799 40799026 40619158
       40739362 41219650 41969778 42159821 42649843 43519688
       44689467 45689350 46429334 47289375 48499370 49269370
0.15   47798488 45038640 42528779 41958874 41669024 41399121
       41439222 41669382 41859431 42249464 42609478 43189463
       44059344 44739247 46979219 47659255 49179237 
CIG1   43558821 41968858 41429125 41509283 41609382 41899439
       42659474 43209459 44769245 46229236 46719200 46629030
       46858879 46508772 45068737 43558821 
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   43158163 40778441 39548665 39108767 38928904 39129098
       39999327 40629564 41129654 41909782 42329838 42649850
       43129764 44719462 45719345 46439343 47539387 49349367
0.05   33747647 34578080 35068333 36078327 36938243 37567880
       36897523 
0.15   46708231 42748471 41758618 41038714 40398805 39719101
       40309241 41049528 41649661 42199731 42609728 43179567
       44009372 44759266 46799221 47619258 49109249 
0.15   36117586 35557550 34717639 34497741 34547812 35218031
       35818060 36368060 36697992 36427732 36117586 
0.30   44408732 43628733 42978761 42638800 41918887 41329082
       41439208 41589297 41819368 42049411 42489426 42859424
       43349349 43959202 44839145 45539099 46349013 46788930
       46958859 46928771 46378718 45438719 44408732 
CIG1   43439410 44139280 45789108 46529009 47158846 46968748
       46118698 44708712 43918703 43058721 42178773 41838821
       41139029 40639143 41249347 41789459 42299490 42809492
       43439410 
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    42859424 43349349 43959202 45539099 46349013 46788930
       46958859 46928771 46378718 43628733 42978761 41918887
       41329082 41439208 41589297 41819368 42049411 42489426
       42859424 
SLGT   36368060 36697992 36427732 36117586 35557550 34717639
       34497741 34547812 35218031 35818060 36368060 
SLGT   45968276 42748471 40398805 39719101 40309241 41049528
       41649661 42199731 42609728 43179567 44009372 44759266
       46799221 47619258 49009250 
MRGL   33887718 35068333 36078327 36938243 37567880 36907528
MRGL   43038177 40778441 39548665 39108767 38928904 39129098
       39999327 40629564 42159821 42329838 42649850 44699466
       45689350 46439343 47539387 49079370 
TSTM   31071257 33131307 34441394 35901539 36851630 37071699
       36991748 36701812 36731851 37391944 38482029 39502019
       41761905 43211701 44181446 44181223 44250929 44130762
       44190563 44210352 44100173 44739846 45279818 45709830
       46300082 47420357 49530633 99999999 42818039 41548100
       40018254 39318517 38878562 38178507 38058371 38858133
       39668011 40117898 40777759 42027643 42157577 41867496
       41377466 40097490 39197519 38987512 38427409 99999999
       28959275 31339263 34329314 38199413 40149588 40749806
       40730058 40580294 39880415 39010486 37440498 35510469
       34640408 34560250 33940174 33120172 31400218 29060227

&&
THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
20 N FOD 15 NNW MCW 25 E RST 50 NNE EAU 15 S IWD 45 ENE IWD 15 SSW
CMX 30 NNW MQT 20 ESE MQT 40 SSE MTW 20 NE RAC 25 SSE RFD 20 WSW
MLI 30 NE OTM 20 NNE OXV 20 N DSM 35 S FOD  0 - FOD 20 N FOD

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40
WNW GSO 40 N GSO 20 E RZZ 20 ESE ECG 25 NNE HSE 45 ESE EWN 25 SSE
OAJ 20 NW ILM 35 E CLT 45 NNE CLT 40 WNW GSO

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70
NNE APN  0 - LAN 30 NNE CMI 20 SSE UIN 15 NNE IRK 20 NNE SDA 25
WSW TQE 15 NNE OFK 25 SSE YKN 35 S OTG 20 SSE MKT 30 ESE MSP  0 -
DLH 20 NE HIB 50 NE INL

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
50 ESE ILM 50 NW AND 30 WNW HSS 30 N TRI 25 NE LYH 50 E ORF

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
60 ENE MTC 40 WSW FDY 25 N BMG 30 SW HUF 20 NNW SLO 40 NW STL 20
NE CDJ 15 SW SDA 35 SE ONL 20 SE ONL 15 NE ONL 25 ENE RWF 30 ENE
STC 35 E BRD 50 WNW HIB 35 NNW INL

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 130 S GBN 25 WNW
GBN 45 ESE EED 20 SW LAS 20 NW DRA 70 S TPH 55 ESE BIH 50 SSE BIH
45 S BIH 45 NNE FAT 35 SSW TVL 20 W RNO 75 ESE LKV 45 WSW BOI 50 N
SUN 25 S MQM 25 SW COD 20 ENE WRL 10 SSW GCC 25 WNW RAP  0 - PHP
25 NNW HON 15 SE ABR 20 NNE ABR 35 S BIS 35 ESE SDY 90 N GGW
...CONT... 50 NNW ERI 25 NW YNG 20 E CMH 45 WNW LUK 50 N SDF 25
WNW LEX 40 NNW JKL 35 S PKB 10 W MGW 25 ESE LBE 15 ESE UNV 30 S
ITH 10 ESE BGM 15 NW MSV 25 SSE MSV 15 SSW TTN 15 ENE DOV 20 ESE
DOV 75 SSE ACY ...CONT... 70 SSW 7R4 20 WSW ESF 10 SSW HOT 50 SW
SZL 15 WNW FNB 20 SE GRI 30 S LBF 30 NNE AKO 40 ENE DEN 15 NNW COS
40 WNW TAD 30 ESE LVS 45 SW TCC 50 ENE CVS 15 S PVW 40 S LBB 40 S
MAF 70 S 6R6

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 20, 6:02z for portions of CLE

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