[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 19, 1:09z for portions of CLE

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 19, 1:09z for portions of CLE

292 
WUUS01 KWNS 190111
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0809 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026

VALID TIME 190100Z - 191200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   39967364 39317552 39137732 39207813 39327934 39828085
       40608142 41018046 41127885 41187758 41247664 42217603
       42327419 42137306 41817149 41707096 41267010 40806971
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   49390591 46680890 45591037 44161223 43501313 43841436
       44361499 45851504 48021319 49831186 
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   49350567 48740651 48130692 47090707 46350740 45760817
       45480916 45221024 45021105 44341197 43491311 43801434
       44331501 45831512 48011349 49821195 
0.05   39967360 39287557 39127721 39327931 39798086 40718153
       41228128 40958012 41027913 41097760 41317669 42277587
       42497545 42437401 42137301 41897196 41707093 41227013
       40876978 
0.15   49300772 47890891 47510903 46920913 46550926 46210949
       46000977 45751034 45521118 45331262 45791324 46781346
       49651096 
0.15   40017932 40298009 40838007 40907904 40937790 41047720
       40907655 40687641 40277675 40157767 40017932 
CIG1   49020799 47930888 47560903 46910913 46630923 46270945
       46000981 45761034 45501121 45341262 45771327 46781347
       49021153 49020799 
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   40838007 40937790 41047720 40907655 40687641 40277675
       40157767 40017932 40298009 40838007 
SLGT   49300772 47890891 46920913 46550926 46210949 46000977
       45751034 45521118 45331262 45791324 46781346 49511108
MRGL   39957362 39287557 39127721 39207813 39327934 39798086
       40718153 41228128 41018040 41217710 41317669 42217603
       42497545 42437401 42137301 41707093 41267010 40806971
MRGL   49350567 48740651 48130692 47090707 46350740 45760817
       45021105 43491311 43801434 44331501 45831512 48011349
       49521221 
TSTM   42218216 41738206 41418088 41367909 41647715 43007520
       44437304 45867145 99999999 27438848 29518819 31478747
       33438764 34628815 36019011 36219174 35979397 35889500
       36019523 37459470 38059334 38519197 39199083 39919144
       40389294 40719451 41559463 42099319 41529104 41158877
       40948629 40868470 41248338 42198246 99999999 49399776
       49029822 48819910 48720016 48720146 48520208 48180237
       47780252 47440239 47140192 46350026 45109902 44229885
       43309925 42970080 43080391 42640619 41630716 40370678
       38230639 37800594 36880464 35960318 35680141 35590069
       35719968 35649859 35349814 34239766 31899903 30290027
       29130141 99999999 31081188 32931372 34571529 35611615
       36721673 37581695 39431703 43621671 45621619 46911524
       48681370 49441318 

&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25
NNE PIT  0 - UNV 20 SW IPT 30 SE IPT 40 NE CXY  0 - CXY 30 N HGR
20 SSE LBE 15 SSE PIT 25 NNE PIT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90
NNW GGW 65 NNE LWT 20 ESE LWT 35 SSE LWT 20 SE 3HT 30 S 3HT  0 -
LVM 20 S BZN  0 - DLN 35 WSW BTM 15 WNW 3DU 85 NE CTB

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
50 S JFK 10 NNW DOV 20 NNW DCA 15 SSW MRB 40 NE EKN 30 SSW HLG 15
SSW CAK 20 NNE CAK 20 SE YNG 10 WSW IPT 15 ENE IPT  0 - BGM 35 NE
BGM 25 SSW ALB 15 W BAF  0 - EWB  0 - ACK 35 SSE ACK

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
85 N OLF 35 N GGW 15 WSW GGW 80 SSW GGW 65 NE BIL 20 E BIL 25 N
WEY 45 NNW PIH 20 N SUN 65 NNW SUN 30 SE P69 40 ESE GPI 65 N CTB

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE MTC 25 NNW
CLE 15 NW YNG 15 NW DUJ 30 NNW IPT 15 SE UCA  0 - BTV 75 NNE EFK
...CONT... 145 SSE BVE 80 S MOB 25 W GZH 15 N TCL 30 WSW MSL 35
ENE JBR 35 N BVX 10 E FYV 25 NE MKO 25 NNE MKO 25 NNW JLN 50 SSE
SZL 10 ESE JEF 40 NW STL 15 WSW UIN 30 NW IRK 30 WNW LWD 50 SE DNS
45 NNE DSM 30 W MLI 15 SSW MMO 55 S SBN 25 ESE FWA 20 NE FDY 35 SE
MTC ...CONT... 60 NW HCO 70 NNE DVL 50 N DVL 60 ENE MOT 30 NNW MOT
40 WNW MOT 55 NW N60 70 N DIK 50 NNE DIK 40 SSW N60 40 SE BIS 40
SW ABR 35 WSW HON 35 S 9V9 15 WNW VTN 45 WNW CDR 25 SE CPR 10 S
RWL 50 N EGE 35 SE GUC 25 N ALS 15 NW RTN 35 S CAO  0 - BGD 40 E
BGD 40 S GAG 40 ENE CSM 20 NNW CHK 35 W ADM 10 NW BWD 35 WSW JCT
35 WSW DRT ...CONT... 90 SW TUS 55 ENE YUM 40 WSW EED 65 NE DAG 40
W DRA 35 SSE TPH 10 ESE U31 25 W BOI 50 N MYL 50 S 3TH 35 NE GPI
65 NNW CTB

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 19, 1:09z for portions of CLE

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