The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 17, 5:32z for portions of PAH853
WUUS02 KWNS 170534
PTSDY2
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1232 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026
VALID TIME 181200Z - 191200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2
... TORNADO ...
0.02 45217540 44037388 39747214
0.02 38267433 37997589 38547724 39697827 39878034 39868346
40218511 40808553 41538513 42658347 43248178
0.05 38857402 39247590 40287741 40607961 40318114 40668223
41278261 42308188
0.05 43847788 42657565 41327423 39617359
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 38227458 37537706 38057840 39867811 40917503 40587369
40027332
0.05 46681424 47241323 47241249 47051169 46341144 45411153
44261213 43551297 43781427 44471495 45891499 46681424
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 36367400 34927756 34028021 33708168 33858274 34178362
34888444 36268508 37118667 38909000 39539111 40129156
40679165 41009134 42508741 44398130
0.05 45767211 44077123 43397081 42257059 40887034
0.05 45901500 46721411 47231323 47261253 47041174 46401147
45411153 44281214 43541302 43831430 44401494 45901500
0.15 36937449 36777496 35947718 35507884 35547961 35918024
36768039 37698065 38218088 38608171 38498325 38778594
39578799 40418873 41088829 41628692 43258153
0.15 45497364 43727310 42367236 39937181
0.30 45017641 44257552 43207473 42087460 40717420 39167344
0.30 38447413 38057542 37917647 37957727 38187798 38487822
38967828 39527847 39737896 39867942 39728095 39748180
40268272 40668297 41358302 42228214
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 45487364 43727310 42367236 40357191 99999999 36677523
35947718 35507884 35547961 35918024 36768039 37698065
38218088 38608171 38498325 38778594 39578799 40418873
41088829 41628692 43188176
MRGL 45477196 43397081 40887034 99999999 35987494 34927756
34028021 33708168 33858274 34178362 34888444 36268508
39539111 40129156 40679165 41009134 42508741 44278168
MRGL 46681424 47241323 47261253 47051169 46341144 45411153
44261213 43541302 43781427 44401494 45901500 46681424
TSTM 28549032 30058999 33508879 35289060 36079355 37009456
38869471 40609409 43039010 45288689 46798253 99999999
49619998 46299938 43830063 43420339 43260483 42190578
39930514 37900409 35870187 33900046 31860097 28840180
99999999 30941136 33171278 33991392 34221524 34621585
36321578 39551668 40131612 41441563 43601609 45521619
47711434 49811121
&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75
NNW BTV 15 NNW RUT 25 NE BAF 60 SSW BID ...CONT... 55 ESE ORF 40 E
RWI 25 S RDU 25 NNW SOP 20 SW GSO 30 SSE PSK 20 WSW SSU 30 NNE BKW
20 NNW CRW 40 WNW HTS 40 NNW SDF 15 ENE MTO 10 ESE BMI 30 SE MMO
10 NNE VPZ 65 NE MTC
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
40 NNE EFK 20 N PSM 30 SSW ACK ...CONT... 65 NE HSE 0 - OAJ 30
WSW FLO 30 NE AGS 35 ESE AHN 20 NW AHN 45 ESE CHA 20 N CSV 30 S
UIN 20 WNW UIN 30 WSW BRL 20 NW BRL 25 SE RAC 75 ENE BAX
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
20 SSW MSO 40 N 3DU 50 NNW HLN 35 SSW GTF 30 SE HLN 30 SW BZN 25
SSE MQM 50 NNW PIH 20 N SUN 70 NNW SUN 35 ESE P69 20 SSW MSO
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSE HUM 15 ENE
MSY 20 WSW CBM 40 S JBR 25 WSW HRO 10 SSW JLN 0 - OJC 10 W LWD 15
SSE LNR 30 SSE ESC 90 ENE ANJ ...CONT... 115 NNW DVL 55 SW JMS 40
SSW PIR 45 NNW CDR 45 NE DGW 45 SSW DGW 20 NW DEN 35 SE PUB 30 WNW
BGD 40 SSW CDS 40 SE BGS 65 SW DRT ...CONT... 75 SW FHU 15 NNW GBN
55 ENE BLH 50 NW BLH 55 ESE DAG 25 SSE DRA 30 ENE U31 45 N P68 45
N EKO 0 - BOI 45 N MYL 40 S GPI 100 NNE CTB
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 17, 5:32z for portions of PAH---------------
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