The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 17, 12:59z for portions of MOB088
WUUS01 KWNS 171301
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2026
VALID TIME 171300Z - 181200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 37539729 37909705 38699587 39279489 40289375 41259293
41819266 42479293 43109358 43989409 44509403 45039382
45239335 45279293 45079221 44699108 43798976 43328899
42848689 42668530 42648409 42758270 42368206 41298168
40428176 39478217 38888353 37798971 37099561 37219703
37539729
0.02 27809590 29289548 30549490 30739437 30829292 30949162
31608939 31278863 29618815
0.05 42289035 42128753 42018476 41878360 41578325 41408313
41118315 40458316 40068346 39718395 39448472 38798671
38338962 38029230 37859397 37999430 38389451 38729442
39239387 40209267 40829208 41809148 42159107 42289035
0.10 40959081 41009064 41299038 41539003 41838933 41858801
41878659 41718373 41338358 40908367 40128474 39448573
39038750 38908904 38959193 39349229 39849205 40959081
0.15 40478578 40118581 39708581 39448636 39328763 39258893
39519013 39779050 40329060 40659039 40879016 41028981
41188950 41288914 41338864 41378785 41378656 41328621
41108599 40808584 40478578
CIG1 42279038 42108728 41918363 41548295 41128262 40578269
39948339 39568438 39258543 38818652 38338951 38029216
37839391 38079436 38379451 38649441 38869427 40149274
40779209 41789146 42139108 42279038
CIG2 40549063 40839046 41069021 41238996 41458933 41628866
41658833 41708770 41658633 41628551 41388526 40738519
39738568 39468623 39248777 39178885 39228974 39329008
39639052 40079068 40549063
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 40108138 39418219 38828361 38058670 37768842 36749308
36209823 36149895 36289926 36469944 36929933 37739817
38539707 40629448 41839416 43389515 44389508 44939429
45209307 45139203 43458634 42538263 42208209 41988174
41698161 40108138
0.15 37869680 40009387 41249274 42229272 42969335 43369382
43719403 44109388 44139327 43989207 43198936 43048833
42598541 42238412 41868339 41508306 41128313 40548330
40128365 39728425 38598753 37939217 37389421 37079614
37249672 37869680
0.30 38818964 38009368 38169403 38649411 39589167 40699108
41429016 41498906 41258771 40258579 39508610 38818964
CIG1 37829796 40459395 42199331 43459405 44099396 44369270
42398746 41578465 41188421 40298440 39338657 37229556
36879710 37099780 37829796
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 36959933 38539714 40689450 41859420 43199503 44039552
45299498 45509354 44989131 43518646 43378551 43318433
43848219 43288122 41818028 41037991 40187978 39468011
38918055 38298186 37668294 37138495 36998955 36639142
36209398 36019611 35799778 35809890 36019915 36289926
36959933
0.05 28189578 29189549 30529490 30719440 30809299 30909181
31409029 31638941 31248860 29658823
0.15 38309632 39299488 40049383 41189290 41789272 42259274
42619303 43089295 43379231 42938822 42818639 42788437
43048244 42288164 40878124 40108141 38888258 38118403
38018633 37588981 36849296 36809554 37269675 37829689
38309632
0.30 41838746 41768491 41678363 41238353 40838373 40038413
39398436 38938494 38518705 38149132 37789315 37759404
38059439 38419435 39019423 40289272 41099225 41479190
41709109 41848939 41838746
0.45 39138950 39719049 40289101 41219011 41348911 40908728
40528485 39638458 39208542 38928754 38928830 39138950
CIG1 37829687 39569389 41189278 41979196 42079093 42118878
42078517 41928289 41448245 40558272 39888348 39068512
38518686 38498861 38418946 37509377 37279515 37179625
37219667 37829687
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MDT 40879016 41288914 41378656 41328621 41108599 40808584
40478578 39708581 39448636 39258893 39519013 39779050
40329060 40879016
ENH 39019423 40289272 41099225 41479190 41709109 41848939
41878659 41678363 41238353 40038413 39458434 39068512
38518705 38418946 37789315 37759404 38059439 39019423
SLGT 42288164 40878124 40108141 38888258 38118403 38018633
37588981 36849296 36809554 37269675 37829689 38309632
40039384 41189290 41759273 42249274 42969335 43369382
43719403 44109388 44139327 43989207 43198936 42868717
42788437 43048244 42608197
MRGL 27939586 29289548 30549490 30739437 30939172 31638941
31248860 29618815
MRGL 42798091 41818028 41037991 40187978 39468011 38918055
38298186 37668294 37138495 36998955 36209398 35799778
35809890 36019915 36289926 36469944 36959933 38539714
40689450 41859420 44039552 45299498 45509354 44989131
43518646 43378551 43318433 43848219 43518161
TSTM 45256669 44436941 43227186 41757328 40497431 39907531
39697664 39357822 38707939 37788078 37038264 36458372
35938417 35518422 35058404 34478319 34268236 34398065
35027702 35667575 36027485 99999999 26939678 27289706
28019724 29349709 30509662 31509566 32549409 33359219
34718906 35038786 35518756 35938776 36118850 35669113
35079648 34969824 35159936 35459978 35999994 36580013
37129999 37859903 39139727 39769650 40399618 40989628
41619693 42889936 43480116 44430417 45440839 45801123
46361334 47231512 48251661 49441728 99999999 31691322
32861357 33661379 34371385 35101342 35861224 36171144
36191023 35530872 34330726 32240603 30230515 99999999
36221828 36271877 36731933 37331990 38032042 38632058
38932043 39152005 39001941 38301868 37191782 36701775
36421782 36221828 99999999 48719202 48519292 48069344
47689333 47429256 47109028 46488653 46388463 46558374
&&
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
30 WNW PIA 25 WSW MMO 25 SSW SBN 25 SSE SBN 45 SSE SBN 35 WSW FWA
25 NW MIE 25 E IND 20 SSW IND 40 S DEC 35 SW SPI 40 ESE UIN 40 SE
BRL 30 WNW PIA
THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
20 ESE MKC 15 NW IRK 10 E OTM 30 SSW CID 35 WNW MLI 30 SSW RFD 20
SSW BEH 10 NE TOL 15 NNE FDY 10 NNE DAY 25 N LUK 40 W LUK 40 NE
EVV 25 ESE BLV 40 NNE SGF 50 NNE JLN 60 SSE OJC 20 ESE MKC
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60
N CLE 10 ESE CAK 30 ENE ZZV 30 SW UNI 30 E LEX 35 WSW SDF 30 NNW
CGI 35 SE SGF 25 E BVO 40 NNE PNC 30 ENE ICT 10 WSW EMP 20 NW CDJ
15 SE OXV 35 NNE OXV 30 SW ALO 15 S MCW 30 WNW MCW 20 ENE FRM 10
SSE MKT 35 E MKT 20 E RST 0 - MSN 35 ENE RAC 10 E LAN 35 NNE MTC
45 E MTC
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
60 SSE PSX 10 N LBX 35 ESE UTS 40 SSE LFK 45 NW BTR 10 NNW PIB 45
NNW MOB 75 S MOB
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
60 NW ERI 20 SSW ERI 25 S FKL 20 WSW LBE 15 SW MGW 40 W EKN 15 WSW
CRW 25 ENE JKL 50 W LOZ 15 S CGI 15 NE FYV 30 NNW OKC 35 NNE CSM
40 ESE GAG 30 E GAG 20 ENE GAG 40 WNW AVK 35 ESE SLN 30 W LWD 35
NW DSM 25 N OTG 45 SSE AXN 25 E STC 10 NE EAU 25 NNW MKG 35 N GRR
20 SW MBS 40 E BAX 70 ESE BAX
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE EPM 20 ENE
AUG 20 W CON 40 N BDR 15 SSW EWR 0 - PHL 35 N BWI 15 WSW MRB 25
ESE EKN 20 E BKW 40 NNW TRI 45 NNE TYS 10 NW TYS 25 SSW TYS 55 S
TYS 25 W AND 25 SE AND 40 NE CAE 0 - EWN 30 NNW HSE 70 NE HSE
...CONT... 75 SE CRP 45 SE CRP 25 NE CRP 35 NNW VCT 15 WSW CLL 55
NNW UTS 15 WNW SHV 30 SW LLQ 35 NNW TUP 25 NW MSL 55 N MSL 50 SSW
CKV 40 NNE MKL 30 WSW JBR 40 WNW MLC 20 WSW CHK 15 SW CSM 35 WNW
CSM 25 SSW GAG 30 NW GAG 45 S DDC 45 NNW P28 30 NE SLN 40 SSE BIE
30 ENE BIE 30 SW OMA 25 ENE OLU 40 ENE ANW 45 SSE PHP 60 WNW RAP
25 SSE BIL 0 - BZN 25 SSW 3DU 30 SSE 3TH 60 NE GEG 125 N GEG
...CONT... 90 SSW GBN 50 W GBN 55 E BLH 50 ESE EED 30 ESE IGM 10
SW GCN 40 ENE GCN 85 NNE INW 0 - GUP 30 NW ONM 35 NE ELP 70 W MRF
...CONT... 50 NW NID 60 NNE BFL 20 E FAT 40 NNW FAT 50 N MER 35
WSW TVL 25 W TVL 15 N TVL 30 ENE TVL 65 NNW BIH 30 ESE BIH 55 SE
BIH 50 N NID 50 NW NID ...CONT... 55 N ELO 20 E INL 35 S INL 30 NW
HIB 15 ENE HIB 40 N IWD 60 NNE ESC 15 WSW ANJ 30 E ANJ
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 17, 12:59z for portions of MOB---------------
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