MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jun 10, 6:36 AM CDT ...New UPDATE, AVIATION...347
FXUS64 KMOB 101136
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
636 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 633 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
- Heat index values will increase late in the week into the
weekend with values of 100 to 105 expected.
- Risk for rip currents increases to MODERATE late this week into
the weekend for the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 636 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
The forecast is on track with no changes planned. /29
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026
Dry, warm weather conditions continue to prevail across the
region. Similar to yesterday, can't rule out an isolated shower or
storm inland during the afternoon hours today through Friday
along the afternoon sea breeze boundary. Upper ridging will
continue to suppress better coverage for rain chances into late
week and the weekend. Upper ridging does weaken by late week,
which should help us get back to our more typical summer pattern
with subtle shortwaves this weekend bringing isolated to
scattered afternoon storms.
Overall expect temperatures to stay in the lower to middle 90's
each afternoon, hottest during the week. Afternoon heat indices
may approach 100 to 105 degrees Friday into the weekend. Overnight
lows will also be increasingly oppressive as moisture continues
to build into the area. Lower to middle 70's daybreak
temperatures these next couple mornings will become middle to
potentially even upper 70's for daybreak temperatures this
weekend, warmest nearer the coast. All that to say there will
likely be some accumulated heat stress with no meaningful relief
from the heat late week into the weekend. A low risk of rip
currents today becomes a Moderate risk by Thursday night through
the weekend. MM/25
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 636 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
Patchy thick fog will quickly burn off early this morning leaving
VFR conditions. VFR conditions are expected to prevail for the
remainder of the period, although patchy fog may redevelop again
late tonight. A southerly to southeasterly flow at 5-10 knots
develops this morning, then becomes light and variable by early
this evening. /29
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 240 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
A light to occasionally moderate easterly to southeasterly flow
becomes southeasterly to southerly on Thursday then turns
southwesterly to westerly Thursday night. A southerly to
southwesterly flow becomes established again for Friday afternoon
into the weekend. /29
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 91 71 90 73 / 10 0 0 0
Pensacola 90 76 89 76 / 0 0 0 0
Destin 88 76 88 77 / 10 0 0 0
Evergreen 93 72 94 72 / 10 0 0 0
Waynesboro 93 71 94 73 / 0 0 0 0
Camden 91 72 93 73 / 10 0 0 0
Crestview 94 72 93 72 / 10 0 0 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jun 10, 6:36 AM CDT ...New UPDATE, AVIATION...---------------
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