The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Enhanced Convective Risk at May 9, 1:22z for portions of JKL425
WUUS01 KWNS 090124
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0822 PM CDT WED MAY 08 2024
VALID TIME 090100Z - 091200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 40989479 41719599 43159736 44389704 44509603 44559506
43599257 41959129 41369129 40889239 40989479
0.02 36697803 36027675 35507646 34467707 34017958 32748475
32448852 31369470 30069704 29969826 30979865 32669750
35579554 37339441 39069200 39398846 39068418 36697803
0.05 36968432 36468373 35648011 34818015 34358073 33798303
33638534 33328834 31769400 30619650 30399751 30609797
31229814 36529467 38919106 38889003 38608769 38268605
36968432
0.10 36169441 37089213 37639051 38058911 36968531 36318416
35688365 34718383 34388516 34238788 35319105 35169359
33859485 32869596 33119646 34789541 35219511 35539486
36169441
0.15 34788735 35448663 35828592 35558531 35018523 34688578
34648713 34788735
SIGN 35239507 36089440 36969215 37938914 36878531 36298429
35618367 34778387 34408526 34268787 35369095 35249366
33889486 32949603 33159639 34479554 34899529 35239507
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 33157850 33668290 32748837 29779691 29749841 30949906
31189888 33469710 34499643 36189532 39139372 40679425
41739599 43449777 44389832 44989792 45019649 44789495
42559070 41118894 39918299 37818296 36948020 36357398
0.05 40597212 41827233 42067225 42426972
0.15 31749404 30379657 30169767 30339803 31049838 32059772
35079565 37479434 37609427 38549375 38919277 39188841
38318538 36938358 36278066 36077980 35297934 34407937
34087943 34058551 31749404
0.30 36319471 37779195 38048892 36928508 35748353 35088389
34348516 33789097 32329544 32349621 32529656 32759702
34669581 36319471
0.45 36469077 36669179 36879205 37079218 37379148 37549047
36948802 36148636 35548526 34958519 34658572 34598636
34598714 35028795 36469077
SIGN 31069823 33239681 35239549 36209477 37719207 38028888
36848499 35748345 35078389 34248522 33538842 31819422
30479669 30269766 30449785 31069823
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 33157850 33668290 32748837 29779691 29749841 30949906
31189888 33469710 34499643 36189532 39139372 40679425
41739599 43449777 44389832 44989792 45019649 44789495
42559070 41118894 39918299 37818296 36948020 36357398
0.05 40597212 41827233 42067225 42426972
0.15 31749404 30379657 30169767 30339803 31049838 32059772
35079565 37479434 37609427 38549375 38919277 39188841
38318538 36938358 36278066 36077980 35297934 34407937
34087943 34058551 31749404
0.30 36319471 37779195 38048892 36928508 35748353 35088389
34348516 33789097 32329544 32349621 32529656 32759702
34669581 36319471
0.45 36469077 36669179 36879205 37079218 37379148 37549047
36948802 36148636 35548526 34958519 34658572 34668679
35008741 35258780 36469077
SIGN 31069823 33239681 35239549 36209477 37719207 38028888
36848499 35748345 35078389 34248522 33538842 31819422
30479669 30269766 30449785 31069823
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MDT 37379148 37549047 36948802 35548526 34958519 34658572
34598714 36469077 36669179 37079218 37379148
ENH 36319471 37779195 38048892 36928508 36318416 35748353
34698383 34348516 33789097 32329544 32349621 32759702
36319471
SLGT 35079565 38549375 38919277 39188841 38318538 36938358
36077980 35297934 34087943 34078189 33798303 33348812
31749404 30379657 30169767 30339803 31049838 35079565
MRGL 40597212 41827233 42067225 42426972
MRGL 33157851 33518161 32748475 32448852 32198995 29779691
29749841 30949906 33469710 36189532 39139372 40679425
41719599 43449777 44389832 44989792 45019649 44789495
43599257 42559070 41118894 39918299 38598297 36757818
36467515
TSTM 26388046 25668061 25578136 27488202 29198217 29948182
29678128 28448085 27288057 26388046 99999999 31097889
31738439 31189082 31039299 29599558 29019803 29319878
29719935 30609951 31629915 32659859 38709526 39239495
39699507 40079539 40609654 40979917 41850130 43310335
44350347 45140243 46060034 46579767 46429513 45509142
44138788 42888442 41008128 40547924 41007751 41237732
41867760 42337825 43607970 44407983 99999999 46197105
45666949 45116806 44416682 99999999 41240903 41581020
42591086 43751059 44050996 43820906 42660797 42020762
41430792 41220842 41240903
&&
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE
TBN 15 S FAM 35 WNW HOP 30 SSW CSV CHA 40 WNW RMG 20 WSW HSV 25 NNE
ARG 10 SE UNO 30 NW UNO 45 SE TBN.
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S
GMJ 10 E TBN 20 S MVN 55 W LOZ 35 NNW TYS 25 ESE TYS 60 NNW AHN RMG
20 N GLH TYR 25 NNE CRS 10 SW DAL 20 S GMJ.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE
MLC 15 SW SZL 30 WNW COU 20 SSW MTO 20 ENE SDF 30 ESE LOZ 10 ESE GSO
SOP 20 ESE FLO 45 WNW CAE 20 ESE AHN 30 SE CBM 50 SSW SHV 20 SW CLL
10 S AUS 20 W AUS 55 W TPL 15 NNE MLC.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW
BID 15 ESE BDL 20 ENE BDL 60 NNE HYA.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE
CRE 25 ENE AGS 20 NE CSG 15 ENE MEI 60 NW PIB 60 SE AUS 15 NNE SAT
50 NE JCT 30 SW GYI 30 E TUL 30 NNW SZL 15 WNW LWD 10 ESE TQE 25 SSE
MHE HON 40 W ATY 20 S VVV 15 NNE RWF 25 S RST 10 N DBQ 20 SW MMO 10
SW CMH 30 NW HTS 10 WNW AVC 60 ENE ECG.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW PBI 25 WSW MIA
50 SSE APF 35 E SRQ OCF 30 W SGJ 20 S SGJ 25 NNW MLB 30 SSW VRB 30
SW PBI ...CONT... 140 SSE CHS 20 NW ABY 20 W MCB 10 E POE 20 WSW HOU
45 SE SAT 25 E HDO 25 NNW HDO 15 ENE JCT 15 SW BWD 30 WSW MWL 30 WSW
OJC 10 S FLV 10 WSW STJ 10 E FNB 20 SE LNK 20 NNW EAR 20 SW MHN 35
NNW CDR 30 NW RAP 55 SSW Y22 35 N MBG 45 WSW FAR 40 NNE AXN 45 N EAU
10 W MTW 10 NE LAN 10 NE CAK 20 NNE LBE 20 ENE UNV 20 W IPT 40 WSW
ELM 40 NNE BFD 65 NW BUF 115 NNW BUF ...CONT... 105 NNE EFK 65 NNW
BGR 45 ENE BGR 35 SSE EPM ...CONT... 25 S RKS 50 ENE EVW 40 W BPI 15
NNE JAC 50 NE JAC 50 S COD 40 SE RIW 25 NW RWL 45 SW RWL 45 SE RKS
25 S RKS.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Enhanced Convective Risk at May 9, 1:22z for portions of JKL---------------
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