Author Topic: [Alert]MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 25, 2:45 PM CDT ...New Discussion, Marine...  (Read 180 times)

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MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 25, 2:45 PM CDT ...New Discussion, Marine...

536 
FXUS64 KMOB 251945
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
245 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

...New Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 244 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

A large positively tilted trough will slowly move east through the
end of this week. Ahead of this trough, a cold front will slowly
move east into the area this evening and eventually move east of
the area by Friday evening. Ahead of this system, a deep and
moist southwest flow will continue to pump moisture into the area.
This will continue to create scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms this evening. The coverage of showers and
thunderstorms will decrease from west to east by Friday afternoon
as the front moves east across the area and a drier airmass moves
into the area. Most of the rain on Friday will be along and east
of I-65. Dry conditions will continue through the middle of next
week. High temps will warm back into the upper 80s and low 90s
this weekend through next week with lower humidity. /13


&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

A primarily broken band of pre-frontal clouds is streaming
eastward across the Gulf coast to start the TAF period. Bases are
a mix with a few to scattered lower bases generally 1 to 3 kft
below broken bases at mid levels. A broken and weakening area of
precipitation has shifted to east of the I-65 corridor initially.
There are indications that new development, possible convection
will occur mid to late afternoon and spread eastward this evening.
Brief gusty winds and reductions to vsby likely with passage of
tsra. Frontal boundary makes passage by around midnight and brings
a light northwest component for winds in its wake. /10

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 244 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

A light west to southwest wind flow will become northerly by
Friday night as a cold front moves across the marine area. A
generally light northerly flow will continue through next week as
high pressure builds northwest of the marine area. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      68  86  63  88  63  89  65  91 /  40  10   0   0   0   0   0  10
Pensacola   72  85  69  88  67  89  68  89 /  60  40  10  10   0   0   0  10
Destin      73  84  71  86  70  88  71  88 /  80  70  10  10   0   0   0  10
Evergreen   67  87  62  89  60  90  63  91 /  50  20   0   0   0   0   0  10
Waynesboro  63  85  61  86  59  87  62  89 /  10  10   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      65  85  63  86  62  88  63  88 /  30  10   0   0   0   0   0  10
Crestview   68  85  63  88  62  90  63  90 /  70  50  10  10   0   0   0  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 25, 2:45 PM CDT ...New Discussion, Marine...

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