The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 21, 19:27z for portions of PAH472
WUUS03 KWNS 211928
PTSDY3
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0227 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2025
VALID TIME 231200Z - 241200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3
... ANY SEVERE ...
0.05 35389720 35879639 36479548 36769353 37248873 37628709
37748576 36788497 35198593 33609076 32669353 32169618
31739793 31839937 32359972 35389720
0.15 33039572 33269681 33589697 34029687 34589634 34789504
34609335 34139316 33389393 33269436 33039572
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 34029687 34589634 34789504 34609335 34139316 33389393
33249433 33039572 33269681 33589697 34029687
MRGL 35389720 36479548 36769353 37248873 37628709 37748576
36788497 35198593 32669353 32169618 31739793 31839937
32359972 35389720
TSTM 40247241 38967588 37767733 35748020 34778218 33528520
32398878 31048916 29128916 27618890 99999999 28858343
30948089 31318019 99999999 27639631 28789741 29629849
30079995 30110111 30140253 29770364 29190529 99999999
31591291 33751271 34381115 34450732 34820447 35600228
36540180 39170165 40990143 41480105 41680041 41589916
41069685 40879415 41689156 43079022 43748834 44138684
45398526 45758367 46358230 99999999 38642394 39142187
39322036 38821926 37961851 36861801 35811774 35101794
34461857 33681942 33351996
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE
ADM 40 WSW MLC 30 SW RKR 15 WNW HOT 25 S HOT TXK 25 SW TXK 45 SSW
PRX 30 N DAL 20 WSW GYI 20 SSE ADM.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E
OKC 30 NE TUL 20 ESE UMN 10 N PAH 10 SSE OWB 30 S SDF 55 WSW LOZ 45
WNW CHA 25 NE SHV 15 NE CRS 35 SSE SEP 25 W BWD ABI 25 E OKC.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE ISP 25 WSW DOV
20 N RIC 30 SSW GSO 10 SSE GSP 35 NNW LGC MEI 30 SSE PIB 20 SE BVE
125 SSE BVE ...CONT... 55 SSW CTY 35 ESE SSI 75 E SSI ...CONT... 75
E CRP 30 W VCT SAT 35 SSW JCT 50 NNW DRT 20 WNW 6R6 45 SSE MRF 110
SW MRF ...CONT... 95 S GBN 45 WNW PHX 50 SSW INW 40 NW ONM 55 WSW
TCC 35 SSE DHT 20 WSW GUY 15 SSE GLD 35 NNE IML 30 NW LBF 40 NNE LBF
15 S BUB 15 NNW LNK 20 NNW LWD 15 SSE CID 10 S LNR 20 SSE OSH 30 WSW
MBL 25 WSW PLN 45 N APN 100 E ANJ ...CONT... 50 SW UKI 45 NNW SAC 35
WSW RNO 40 E TVL 40 N BIH 40 SSE BIH 10 NNW NID 15 N EDW 30 WSW PMD
40 SSW OXR 75 SW OXR.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 21, 19:27z for portions of PAH---------------
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