[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 13, 5:44z for portions of PAH

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 13, 5:44z for portions of PAH

741 
WUUS01 KWNS 130545
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1244 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025

VALID TIME 131200Z - 141200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   43908902 43428765 42698706 42078628 41418594 40208615
       39118700 39528828 40638903 42549010 43608986 43908902
0.05   31010941 32541003 33100956 33410852 34120815 34800819
       35650844 36730928 37581000 38501043 39201065 39841034
       40290928 40240675 40830439 42280330 43420342 44740402
       46050379 47410263 48050168 48060033 47619975 45759932
       43289983 42000033 40310163 39000222 37480275 35960291
       34330276 32960314 32220372 31810431 31080681
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   30820843 32000919 32570885 32950778 33430733 34300735
       35180783 36490875 37400980 38211031 39121056 39781036
       40250910 40290818 39690797 38960818 38020854 37330807
       36730687 36940585 37650512 39970451 40690383 41660273
       43340215 44230220 45630172 46360143 46500038 46239947
       45719935 44749954 43259982 41990033 40140130 38950161
       37150185 33220285 32070343 31620435 30880661
0.05   43008922 42708761 42098701 41068665 40138668 39138698
       38378760 38528836 39108910 39798940 41799005 42549010
       43008922
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MRGL   31010941 32541003 33100956 33410852 34120815 34800819
       35650844 37581000 38211031 39201065 39841034 40290928
       40240675 40830439 42280330 43420342 44740402 46050379
       47410263 48050168 48060033 47619975 45759932 43259982
       41990033 40140130 38950161 37150185 33220285 32070343
       31620435 30980631
MRGL   43608986 43908902 43428765 42698706 42078628 41418594
       40208615 38378760 38528836 39108910 39798940 41799005
       42549010 43608986
TSTM   44712502 44402423 43382387 43372279 44942132 45512075
       45231975 44641968 43541992 42402013 41272171 41202470
       99999999 49531320 48281186 48141086 49411038 99999999
       49659586 43489680 39749704 36919881 34099985 31910044
       30700088 29950118 29290166 99999999 27970044 26909674
       99999999 28068394 28848240 30188205 31468068 31807975
       99999999 42608144 40988105 39368225 37448400 36728510
       36238571 35868663 36308869 35899031 35759190 36009379
       36549417 37609350 38669273 39639196 40499149 42199177
       43189217 44069252 45599137 45588690 44268297 43668158
       99999999 30871359 33640996 35941006 37701146 38141201
       38861218 40071234 40731274 41271326 41171398 41271523
       42031561 42521405 42731310 43231330 43131473 43661586
       46721699 48251705 49621702

&&
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE
DUG 30 SW SAD 20 NNE SAD 60 NNW SVC 70 W ONM 30 SSW GNT 20 ENE GUP
30 W 4BL 25 SE 4HV 30 WNW U28 25 NE PUC 15 SE VEL 40 NNE EGE 30 SE
CYS 30 WNW AIA 45 NNW CDR 60 SSW 2WX 30 SE BHK 45 N DIK 25 SW MOT 45
ESE MOT 50 SW DVL 50 WNW ABR 45 SW 9V9 40 E MHN 30 SSE IML 30 S GLD
10 NNE EHA 45 NNE HOB 25 NW INK 30 ESE GDP 55 S ELP.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE
VOK 25 WSW OSH 35 NNE MKE 40 E RAC 10 ESE BEH 30 SE SBN 35 NNE IND
25 N EVV 30 ENE MVN 30 NNW SLO 15 ESE SPI 35 NE MLI 35 ENE DBQ 30 SE
VOK.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W ONP 15 SW ONP 20
E OTH 55 SSE EUG 45 S DLS 20 ESE DLS 55 SW PDT 80 ENE RDM 50 W BNO
20 NE LKV 30 E MHS 35 WNW ACV ...CONT... 75 NNW CTB 35 SE CTB 50 NNE
GTF 65 NNW HVR ...CONT... 55 NNW RRT 10 SSW FSD 35 ENE CNK 10 NW AVK
35 SE CDS 40 N SJT 50 SSW SJT 45 NNW DRT 45 W DRT ...CONT... 65 WNW
LRD 75 SE CRP ...CONT... 75 W PIE 25 SSW OCF 30 SW JAX 50 ENE SSI 80
SSE CHS ...CONT... 70 E MTC 20 ENE CAK 10 N UNI 25 N LOZ 55 N CSV 40
WNW CSV 20 S BNA 45 ENE DYR 20 ENE JBR 15 W BVX 20 E FYV 30 SSW UMN
25 NNW SGF 30 WSW COU 45 SE IRK 30 SW BRL 20 N CID 45 NNE ALO 10 N
RST 50 N EAU 15 SE ESC 25 ESE OSC 70 E BAX ...CONT... 135 SSE YUM 45
S SOW 75 NNE INW 40 E BCE 30 NNE BCE 40 SSE U24 30 ESE DPG 40 NNE
DPG 55 NE ENV 30 N ENV 40 NE EKO 30 E OWY 15 W BYI 30 WSW PIH 40 WNW
PIH 35 SW SUN 20 ENE BOI PUW 50 NNE GEG 140 NE OMK.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 13, 5:44z for portions of PAH

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