The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 14, 19:27z for portions of CLE200
WUUS03 KWNS 141928
PTSDY3
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0227 PM CDT THU AUG 14 2025
VALID TIME 161200Z - 171200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3
... ANY SEVERE ...
0.05 42088232 41258348 41248478 41678880 42229098 42759278
43049488 41759766 40859841 40019961 40100021 40980158
42010232 43990406 45000504 46320474 47039854 47239318
46698754 45728227 46048071
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 42128235 41288347 41258466 41668872 42179071 42749270
43049492 42489621 41759762 40919833 40019957 40100025
41010162 41920231 42300267 43680380 45050509 46250482
47069841 47229300 46878901 46208475 45748235 46018086
TSTM 49520328 48440002 48019478 48019101 49188676 99999999
43198034 42368075 42017983 43137728 43667545 43817391
43527338 43137327 42567369 41757504 40497675 39327769
38087884 37287906 36787872 36527820 36417686 36527332
99999999 39139970 37320196 35550313 33680410 32140409
31110339 30890265 31020168 31480110 32299978 32359728
32719592 33629551 35089519 37069480 37849337 38429210
38519111 38509090 38179044 37499004 36238926 35778735
36728478 38268187 38838167 39188250 39288345 39138458
39488647 40378893 41489256 41379607 40929711 39139970
99999999 31461232 32681226 35061243 36651273 37791281
38991230 40481163 40971093 41200947 41670874 42200877
43010986 43961084 44121178 43581323 42701392 41831425
41401480 41141574 40931653 40591734 40051823 39371868
38351813 36941801 36811817 37221905 38362011 40012108
40392197 40922280 41622291 42852214 44062113 44682070
46611730 48151690 49971906
&&
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE
MTC 20 NNE FDY 35 NE FWA 20 N MMO 15 S DBQ 20 NW ALO 15 SE SPW 10
ENE SUX 20 SSW OFK GRI 45 NNE HLC 20 ESE MCK 35 N IML 25 ESE AIA 20
NNE AIA 45 SW RAP 30 SSE 4BQ 30 WSW BHK 15 NE JMS 15 SW HIB 30 SW
CMX 25 SW ANJ 75 NE APN 145 ENE APN.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 N ISN 55 WNW DVL
35 NNE BJI 35 WNW GNA 160 NNE CMX ...CONT... 75 N ERI 35 NW ERI 20
ESE ERI 20 E ROC 35 N UCA 35 NNW GFL 20 NE GFL 25 SE GFL 15 SSE ALB
15 WNW MSV 20 NNE CXY 15 ESE MRB 15 SSE SHD 10 ESE LYH 35 ENE DAN 15
SW AVC 40 WNW ECG 155 SE WAL ...CONT... 20 SSE HLC 20 N EHA 35 NE
TCC 35 NE ROW 15 SE CNM 30 WNW FST 15 E FST 70 SSE MAF 35 WNW SJT 10
SSW ABI 35 S FTW 40 NW TYR PRX 35 W RKR 20 WSW JLN 45 N SGF 15 SSE
JEF 45 WSW STL 35 WSW STL 30 N FAM 30 SE FAM 20 NNE DYR 45 WSW BNA
45 WSW LOZ 15 WSW CRW 35 N CRW 15 W UNI 55 ENE LUK 10 WNW LUK 20 SSW
IND BMI 25 NNW OTM 10 WNW OMA 20 WNW LNK 20 SSE HLC ...CONT... 90
WSW TUS 30 ESE GBN 30 N PRC 55 ESE SGU 15 ENE CDC 30 SSE U24 25 SE
SLC 20 SSE EVW 35 SW RKS 20 ENE RKS 45 S LND 35 NNE BPI 25 NNW JAC
40 SE MQM 55 E SUN 15 NW BYI 45 SSE TWF 60 NW ENV 20 N EKO 30 NE BAM
25 W BAM 20 E LOL 10 SSE NFL 60 WNW TPH 35 SE BIH 40 SSE BIH 40 WSW
BIH 40 S TVL 65 E RBL 20 NE RBL 35 SW MHS 35 NW MHS 50 NE MFR 15 S
RDM 35 NE RDM 15 SW PUW 45 NE GEG 105 N OMK.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 14, 19:27z for portions of CLE---------------
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