PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 11, 6:27 PM CDT156
FXUS63 KPAH 112327
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
627 PM CDT Mon Aug 11 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Typical summer-time heat and humidity will continue through
the next 7 days. Daily highs will primarily be in the low 90s
through Thursday, and may push the mid 90s by the weekend.
- Chances for showers and storms return this week with the
highest chances for scattered showers and storms Tuesday into
Thursday, with lesser chances late in the week and into the
weekend.
- Heat index readings will make it "feel like" 95 to 100 degrees
each day through Thursday. These readings may rise above 100
and close to 105 in some areas Friday through next weekend.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 627 PM CDT Mon Aug 11 2025
Updated the aviation section for the 00Z TAF issuance.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 239 PM CDT Mon Aug 11 2025
Upper level ridging will become centered over the southeast U.S.
this week with broad troughing, now centered across the central
plains, moving eastward into the Great Lakes. High pressure at
the surface off the east coast will allow deeper moisture to
push in from the Gulf this week. Increasing moisture will work
with a weak front to produce scattered showers and storms across
the region Tuesday into Thursday. Highest chances will likely
be Tuesday into Wednesday when the boundary will be closer to
the region.
Upper level heights increase later this week and into the weekend
associated with a building ridge across the southern plains. Weak
impulses aloft will still present isolated chances of storms during
the period. Temperatures will remain in the lower 90s for much of the
week with lows generally in the lower 70s. Hotter temperatures
look to occur over the weekend associated with building heights
aloft with highs in the mid 90's. Increasing humidity will occur
through the week with heat indices in the upper 90s to near
100. Values closer to 105 degrees appear possible over the
weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 627 PM CDT Mon Aug 11 2025
Light winds and VFR cigs are expected through the TAF period.
Showers and a few storms may develop in Northwest Tennessee this
evening and progress northward into far SE Missouri and far SW
Kentucky. Vsby reductions may occur overnight at KCGI,
especially if it rains this evening. Tomorrow, isolated to
scattered showers/thunderstorms develop late in the TAF period,
mainly in the northwestern and eastern portions of the forecast
area.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...ATL
DISCUSSION...AD
AVIATION...ATL
Source:
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 11, 6:27 PM CDT---------------
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