PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 5, 1:17 PM CDT311
FXUS63 KPAH 051817
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
117 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will continue
through late this afternoon.
- Locally dense fog is possible early Wednesday morning.
- Dry conditions are forecast Wednesday through this weekend,
with a small (15-20%) chance of thunderstorms forecast Monday.
- Temperature and humidity levels will remain close to seasonal
averages through the forecast period.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 116 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
Upper-level troughing over the eastern CONUS will gradually
shift east of the region as surface high pressure and mid- and
upper- level heights increase from the west. This means the
ongoing isolated to widely scattered convection across the
region will likely be the last day with mentionable
precipitation chances until early next week. One thing to watch
tonight will be for locally dense fog development, as low
temperatures across the region will fall near or below crossover
temperature thresholds.
Temperature and humidity levels will remain near typical values
for August throughout the next seven days. As the surface high
pressure translates east of the region late this weekend into
Monday, small precipitation chances return to the forecast as
model guidance hints at the arrival of some enhanced tropical
moisture from the Gulf, which will aid in isolated thunderstorm
development.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1204 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
SCT-BKN low VFR to MVFR cumulus decks will gradually lift to
VFR by 20-21z. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorm
development will continue through this afternoon before
diminishing. Fog development is likely again late tonight
(mainly in the 06-13z window), with MVFR to IFR restrictions
expected at all terminals. Winds will be light and variable this
afternoon, becoming calm overnight.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...DWS
AVIATION...DWS
Source:
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 5, 1:17 PM CDT---------------
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