[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 11, 6:21z for portions of CLE

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 11, 6:21z for portions of CLE

025 
WUUS01 KWNS 110622
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0121 AM CDT FRI JUL 11 2025

VALID TIME 111200Z - 121200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   39399576 40319513 41669341 42199209 42868990 43078853
       43158733 43158595 42538492 41878500 41048797 40109050
       39609234 39259374 38789529 39399576
0.05   42289123 42738789 41548749 41158859 40609067 40299283
       41519281 42289123
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   48739101 47209166 45449318 43189566 42029829 40469949
       39810085 39470169 38740219 38150214 38000150 38159839
       39019678 41619369 42419212 42809010 43278633 43438480
       43548397 43298350 42878332 42128400 41508578 41088742
       40708890 39509253 38659432 37769674 36659783 35689991
       35090307 34140273 32450326 31990370 31990451 32720496
       33880521 35500502 36490482 38450542 39950582 41480645
       42260571 42140485 41930355 41680169 42070066 43479972
       45369891 46319769 48259535 49719462
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   30740637 31460540 32090522 33580512 33950517 35370498
       36500482 39520569 41460647 42310576 41970367 41730161
       42100066 43139997 45559874 48259528 49709462 99999999
       48579028 46059224 43779444 42869541 41979447 42869216
       43968639 44068406 43888195 42478190 41218213 41078569
       40438725 38908961 37909331 37049504 36089749 35429913
       33650130 33180245 31960323 30400418 29060438
0.15   39309584 40409516 41029430 41589356 42229196 42789018
       43088812 43208601 42618490 42298490 41888502 41388642
       41218709 41018790 39889017 38669423 38669535 39309584
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   40719472 41549364 42209201 42838993 43168744 43218604
       42598487 41878500 41498601 40988792 39899021 39169268
       38679428 38659530 39319582 40329520 40719472
MRGL   48569027 47199136 45989226 44679354 42859544 42019450
       42869217 43958638 44088421 43848195 42588190 41228219
       41028582 40418732 38928963 37909333 37049508 36049755
       35469909 33640135 33120246 30420418 29010437 99999999
       30890617 31460540 32090522 33490513 33880521 35500502
       36490482 39950582 41460649 42280572 42030417 41670173
       42050068 43379978 45539878 46209778 48249531 49759463
TSTM   46126661 45346806 44806907 43777050 42637099 41667131
       40897255 40317385 39577429 38447380 99999999 43108095
       42748112 42448119 42078130 41748074 41907982 42287949
       42757875 43067814 43217747 43197658 43637579 44867599
       99999999 48968778 47648941 46358997 44599014 44088944
       44198746 44838607 45628476 46268322 46628241 99999999
       27259611 28269769 29519854 30419818 31779533 32609347
       35459143 36389160 36859246 36189487 35749607 35059752
       34079896 32840090 31990228 31080272 29260244 99999999
       30851116 31381086 31681060 32230946 32220894 32300747
       32720643 34730600 36520629 37170787 38140844 39620848
       40790834 41950930 42571026 42871077 44031087 44710973
       44940867 45510749 47190252 47590204 47920217 48110247
       48590356 49150418 49650452

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E
SDA DSM 25 NNW CID 30 SSE LNR 25 ENE MKE 10 ENE MKG 20 SW LAN 40 SE
AZO 20 SE SBN 50 SE MMO 30 W SPI 35 NW COU 25 ESE OJC 35 WSW OJC 20
NNW TOP 30 NE FNB 35 E SDA.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 N
GNA BFW 60 S DLH 20 SW MSP 20 NNW SLB 40 SSW FOD 25 NNE ALO 25 SSW
MBL 30 SE HTL 50 E BAX 45 E MTC 25 SW CLE 35 W FWA 20 W LAF 25 E ALN
45 N SGF 35 WSW JLN 30 SE END 10 NE CSM 25 E LBB 55 SW LBB 10 WNW
MRF 95 SSW MRF ...CONT... 65 S ELP 45 SW GDP 30 NW GDP 25 E SRR 30
ESE 4CR 15 SE LVS 25 SW RTN 50 WNW DEN 45 WNW LAR 35 SSW DGW TOR 45
SW MHN 20 E MHN 35 SW 9V9 20 WNW ABR 60 NNE ABR 40 ENE TVF 65 NNE
RRT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E HUL 55 NE BGR 10
W BGR 15 NW PWM 20 N BOS PVD 30 ENE ISP 20 S JFK 20 ENE ACY 80 SSE
ACY ...CONT... 80 NNW ERI 65 NW ERI 55 WNW ERI 55 NNE CLE 35 N YNG
20 ESE ERI 15 NW JHW 15 S BUF 25 W ROC 10 ENE ROC 25 WNW SYR 30 SSE
ART 55 W MSS ...CONT... 130 NNE CMX 45 E GNA 15 SSE IWD 25 WSW CWA
40 ENE VOK 10 ENE MTW 25 WNW TVC PLN 55 ESE ANJ 95 E ANJ ...CONT...
95 ESE CRP NIR SAT 30 WNW AUS 40 S TYR 25 ENE SHV 25 SSE BVX 30 SSE
UNO 35 WNW UNO 30 SSW GMJ 35 SSW TUL 25 S OKC 25 WNW SPS 55 NE BGS
MAF 15 NE FST 55 SSW 6R6 ...CONT... 70 SW FHU 35 WSW FHU 15 WNW FHU
45 SSE SAD 55 WSW SVC 15 ENE DMN 20 WSW ALM 40 ESE ABQ 50 NE 4SL DRO
40 SW MTJ 35 N GJT 50 WNW CAG 25 NNW RKS 10 W BPI 40 WNW BPI 30 NNW
JAC 35 WNW COD 35 NNE COD 55 ESE BIL 30 NNE DIK 30 W N60 40 WNW N60
55 E ISN 30 N ISN 70 NNW ISN 110 NNW ISN.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 11, 6:21z for portions of CLE

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