The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 7, 12:28z for portions of PBZ575
WUUS01 KWNS 071229
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0728 AM CDT MON JUL 07 2025
VALID TIME 071300Z - 081200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 40400420 41260435 42090422 42680384 43340253 44140053
45209957 45589898 45859798 45939698 45649637 45169626
43619659 42439693 41129784 39780034 39390127 39160191
39130334 40400420
0.05 40210236 40800331 41590355 42390308 42990156 43049988
42689926 41819921 40790034 40350110 40150202 40210236
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 48779010 45959249 41129557 39459565 38299656 37529788
36649956 34780178 34540271 34650349 34870411 35270461
35580483 35970504 37810544 40900579 42830555 43680540
44540487 47700037 49429933
0.15 37280280 37980378 40530438 42170468 43440415 44180352
45700073 47299833 48279721 48469673 48449586 47929547
47109581 44689740 43489906 41589994 40780042 38940174
37400239 37280280
SIGN 39040402 40410379 41250346 42490333 43290321 43930210
44410039 44529961 44259865 43849875 42450012 40770121
39890161 39270236 39040402
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 46227094 46286690 99999999 44876612 44556978 43677323
41827621 39977875 39388025 38228362 37368580 36308856
36279039 36529421 36999711 36969836 34640197 34310350
34480425 34970480 36150508 38610554 40930576 43890535
44780462 47850019 49559927 99999999 48958931 44149347
42709384 40619359 39239367 39189368 38959357 38709320
38329017 39198679 41048316 41538217 42807983
0.15 46159993 47399821 48259737 48469676 48419564 48069521
46989501 45119507 42199680 40899768 39259956 38870046
38260104 37620160 37160211 37140278 37560344 38040381
38720399 40580442 42110461 43330411 44260336 46159993
0.30 43250177 43870094 44200052 45159965 45669896 45859800
45929694 45689644 45169626 44209634 43719681 42939738
42329786 41549847 40959887 39800116 39670230 39900300
42000314 42780261 43250177
SIGN 43820037 44429902 44719848 44769784 44619728 44049685
42319727 41159809 40129973 39440087 38500107 37740147
37410179 37160211 37140239 37140274 37500321 39040343
40920364 41860347 43080286 43510182 43820037
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
ENH 43270169 44210054 45159967 45639896 45859813 45929705
45679642 45089622 44199634 42609763 41949814 41479845
40929886 40250026 40020073 39790127 39670230 39900300
42000314 42780261 43270169
SLGT 44250350 45990022 47209842 48259731 48499673 48419567
48069521 46649496 45079510 42219677 40929761 39229956
38840052 37620160 37160211 37140278 37560344 37980378
38700400 40580442 42110461 43330411 44250350
MRGL 46227087 46266703 99999999 44866633 44546998 43627336
43027445 41737623 39967873 39128099 38788197 38218360
37588529 36298871 36248913 36259007 36349130 36579436
36669506 36939700 36989828 35960005 34680193 34310350
34480425 34970480 35970504 37810544 40900579 42830555
43680540 44540487 47700037 49429930 99999999 48528968
44069351 42419384 40959357 39159373 39029368 38709316
38319016 39188684 40548428 41328248 42797979
TSTM 47778623 45398707 43358801 41649005 40568999 40008952
40108856 40638746 42028543 43098324 43898132 99999999
34578425 34358502 33778553 33228540 32898444 32848311
33628120 34328013 35047895 35707829 36287870 36457925
36418002 36028053 35528134 34908241 34698330 34578425
99999999 31491297 32841181 33811108 34301266 35061302
35611262 36211198 36231106 36031037 35820968 35650890
36110864 36810853 38240939 38750923 38960866 39310793
39960764 40730737 41660677 42650640 43690754 44950801
46260776 47210683 47240438 47490244 48040217 48700398
49580524 99999999 40652411 41852429 42742460 44062298
44522132 44132000 43201916 42351907 41531959 41062066
40572191 40382288 40652411
&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S
PHP 15 SW PIR 45 SE MBG 30 WNW ABR 30 NNE ABR 50 NW VVV 25 N VVV 20
SSE VVV 25 ESE BKX 25 SSW YKN 35 W OFK 35 N GRI 15 NNE EAR 15 E MCK
15 SSW MCK 40 NE GLD 30 N ITR 20 SSE AKO 20 W AIA 25 E CDR 55 S PHP.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW
RAP 35 NNE MBG 20 NNE JMS 20 NNW GFK 20 SSE HCO 30 S ROX 40 NNW BJI
45 WNW BRD 35 N RWF 25 WSW SUX 35 E GRI 20 SE HLC 55 SW HLC 45 NNE
EHA 15 NW EHA 15 SW SPD 35 S LHX 15 WSW LHX 40 ESE COS 35 ENE FCL 25
W TOR 60 NW CDR 25 WNW RAP.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 N
BML 40 ENE HUL ...CONT... 35 E EPM 15 NNW AUG 20 WNW RUT 40 WNW ALB
35 SSW BGM 30 SW AOO 30 SE PKB 35 SSE UNI 50 NNW JKL 50 SSE SDF 45
ENE DYR 20 NE DYR 40 WNW DYR 25 NW ARG 20 E GMJ 20 WNW GMJ 15 NNE
PNC 25 ENE AVK 65 NW CSM 35 NNW PVW 10 WSW CVS 55 W CVS 50 SSE LVS
25 NNE LVS 35 NE ALS 30 SSW LAR 10 WNW DGW 45 S GCC 35 ENE GCC 50 E
N60 90 N DVL ...CONT... 60 NNE GNA 25 ESE MKT 20 ESE FOD 30 NE LWD
30 NNW SZL 20 NNW SZL 20 E SZL 25 SW BLV 10 W BMG 45 N DAY 35 WSW
CLE 50 NNW JHW.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 NE MQT 25 S ESC
30 NNW MKE 25 ENE MLI 20 WSW PIA 15 NE SPI 15 WNW CMI 30 NNE DNV 15
SSE AZO 25 ENE FNT 85 E BAX ...CONT... 55 ENE RMG 10 E RMG 20 NE ANB
25 NW LGC 35 ESE LGC 35 ENE MCN 20 SSW CAE 25 WNW FLO FAY 25 WSW RWI
30 N RDU 10 SSE DAN 20 NNW GSO 35 W GSO 15 S HKY 10 W GSP 35 WNW AND
55 ENE RMG ...CONT... 100 S GBN 45 SSE PHX 60 ENE PHX 30 SSW PRC 45
NW PRC 35 SW GCN 20 NNE GCN 50 SSE PGA 70 NNE INW 55 WNW GUP 10 NW
GUP 40 N GUP 15 WNW FMN 40 SSE CNY 30 E CNY 10 SW GJT 35 ENE GJT 40
S CAG 20 NNE CAG 25 ESE RWL 20 SSE CPR 30 SE WRL 50 WNW SHR 50 NE
BIL 70 NW MLS 20 ENE GDV 50 WSW N60 45 NW N60 40 NNW ISN 105 N OLF
...CONT... 10 S EKA CEC 50 NNW 4BK 15 ESE EUG 20 NNW RDM 60 E RDM 30
SSW BNO 65 WSW REO 50 E AAT 30 S AAT 35 NNE RBL 35 WNW RBL 10 S EKA.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 7, 12:28z for portions of PBZ---------------
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