Author Topic: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 27, 5:03z for portions of MOB  (Read 42 times)

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 27, 5:03z for portions of MOB

075 
WUUS01 KWNS 270505
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1203 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025

VALID TIME 271200Z - 281200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   45700187 46540186 47390165 48900080 48919962 46239808
       44769773 43409793 43119876 43110037 43820096 44890148
       45700187
0.05   45969864 44919834 43929849 43649927 43740017 44850097
       45930105 47230081 47440049 47409959 45969864
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   49619593 48079579 46729530 45339478 44009498 43149562
       42509645 41839795 40809995 38910218 39760357 43010317
       44560440 45060448 46040446 47210325 48720292 49650365
0.15   49339838 47379723 44839663 42909742 42019946 42000118
       43230193 44030314 44860324 45870245 47290207 48300142
       49660127
SIGN   43349794 42649934 42610049 43440125 44210195 44960219
       45990196 47400165 48540068 48529957 46259810 44689775
       43349794
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   49619481 48169547 46159447 43819425 42859532 42109637
       41649761 40849990 38880223 39810361 41600333 42980315
       43990396 44580445 44940724 45320858 46410842 46740575
       47200326 48710289 49750367
0.05   42877988 41617921 39457969 38467883 37947744 37247667
       35957692 35457779 34827975 34718049 33458192 29888145
       28718089 26768007 25958016 25888097 26888179 28278204
       29578279 30118374 30008512 30468658 30348883 29949022
       30259097 31029119 33088851 35068708 37178581 38778310
       39878277 40438350 40038553 40238633 40808673 42468547
       45578210
0.15   49429754 47619674 46229570 45129548 44159570 42769695
       42089827 41190053 41270185 43210193 44020314 44870324
       45840248 47310206 48300140 49710132
0.15   42378204 41798319 41778397 42108429 43048425 44798218
SIGN   44729764 43379782 42829826 42429937 42370063 44240195
       44970217 45990172 46800121 47600029 47579891 46279811
       44729764
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   49419751 48499714 47639673 46269572 45099548 44209568
       42779691 42069828 41190054 41260185 43200192 44020314
       44830325 45840246 47220211 48290138 49670131
SLGT   42368208 41788317 41738398 42088428 43028426 44728223
MRGL   49639482 48159545 47269504 46019441 43839427 43019511
       42109637 41619773 40849989 38880224 39800359 42970316
       44550441 44930719 45320858 46420840 46720593 47190326
       48690291 49460348
MRGL   42837985 41607918 40447947 39457967 38457880 37937744
       37217665 35937690 35407785 34847973 34738046 33458193
       29858144 28298069 26728008 25968016 25878100 26878177
       28228204 29568277 30098373 30028517 30478658 30338882
       29939023 30259096 31019118 33068854 35018710 37178580
       38788312 39888276 40408348 40308428 40048554 40228633
       40818671 42508546 45558213
TSTM   30941099 32811004 34660801 36320690 37280629 38710667
       40600644 41690484 43100458 43860584 44100941 43931176
       44541350 45461443 46231446 47091305 48291058 48300787
       47190575 47680450 49940851 99999999 49089191 47659308
       46349229 44579178 42389328 41539467 40889429 41039170
       41688939 43288754 44608736 45938611 47908453 99999999
       46297175 44647117 43737236 42517582 41407688 39747612
       39627462 40067358 39357155 99999999 26529973 26909813
       29069732 30609626 32239399 32539401 33199380 33239461
       32809601 31469821 31700009 31960115 31740207 30460277
       28640372

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW
HCO 20 SSW HCO 30 SE GFK 30 NNW AXN 40 NNW RWF 40 SW RWF 25 ESE YKN
35 SE ONL 10 ENE LBF 55 NNW IML 60 SSW PHP RAP 55 SSE 2WX 15 WSW Y22
45 SW N60 MOT 95 N MOT.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE
MTC 30 SSE DTW 15 NW TOL 15 SE JXN 25 NE LAN 60 ENE OSC.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNE
RRT 35 E TVF 20 SSW BJI 30 SSW BRD 15 NNE FRM 10 S SPW 20 S SUX 25
WNW OLU 45 SSW BBW 25 S ITR 35 SW AKO 10 NNW CDR 55 ENE GCC 15 NW
SHR 35 S BIL 45 N BIL 20 N MLS 35 NW DIK 50 NE ISN 90 N ISN.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNE
ERI 30 WSW BFD 10 NNW LBE 20 SE MGW 15 NNE SHD 30 NNW RIC 35 NW ORF
45 WSW ECG 10 ESE GSB 35 SW SOP 45 SE CLT AGS 10 SW SGJ 15 NNW MLB
PBI 15 NE MIA 45 W MIA 20 NNE FMY 45 ENE PIE 20 ESE CTY 45 ESE TLH
20 NNW AAF 20 S CEW 15 ESE GPT MSY 45 WNW MSY 45 S HEZ 40 S CBM 30
NW HSV 35 ENE BWG 40 NW HTS 10 SE CMH 40 NW CMH 30 N DAY 15 SSW MIE
35 ESE LAF 30 NNE LAF 20 NNE AZO 75 ENE APN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW FHU 25 W SAD 35
S GNT 20 N 4SL 25 WSW ALS 20 NE GUC 55 E CAG 35 N CYS 45 ENE DGW 35
SSW GCC 35 SSW COD 30 NNE IDA 45 SSE SMN 35 NW SMN 50 SSW MSO 30 N
3DU 40 WSW HVR 60 W GGW 45 W GDV 15 W SDY 110 NNE HVR ...CONT... 75
ENE INL 20 NNW HIB 35 S DLH 25 SW EAU 45 WSW ALO 50 SE DNS 25 NW LWD
35 WNW BRL 40 SSW RFD 30 NE MKE 35 NNE MTW 50 ENE ESC 100 N ANJ
...CONT... 100 NNE EFK BML 10 NNW LEB 25 NNE BGM 10 N IPT 30 W ILG
10 N ACY 40 E NEL 125 S BID ...CONT... 75 SSW LRD 50 N MFE 30 WNW
VCT CLL 20 SSW SHV 10 WNW SHV 20 SSE TXK 40 WSW TXK 45 NW TYR 50 ESE
BWD 35 NE SJT 25 SE BGS 15 SSE MAF 35 SSE FST 120 S MRF.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 27, 5:03z for portions of MOB

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