Author Topic: [Alert]MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jun 24, 12:56 PM CDT ...New Aviation...  (Read 11 times)

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MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jun 24, 12:56 PM CDT ...New Aviation...

811 
FXUS64 KMOB 241756
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1256 PM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 450 AM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025

Today through Wednesday...

A lower coverage of showers and thunderstorms expected today as
the upper ridge expands southward. However, enough moisture will
be present for isolated to scattered showers and storms especially
over western areas. Highs today will be in the low to mid 90s
with heat index values of 100 to 105. Wednesday will again be hot
with highs in the low to mid 90s. Increased moisture on Wednesday
may allow for slightly higher heat index values that may get close
to advisory criteria. However, an easterly wave moving west
across the area between the upper ridge to the northeast and an
approaching upper low across Florida, will bring showers and
thunderstorms into the area from the east during the late
afternoon and early evening hours. These storms will have the
potential of producing damaging winds and large hail due to the
expected steep lapse rates and strong instability values. SPC has
outlooked most of the area in a Slight Risk for Wednesday. /13

Thursday through Monday...

The diurnal pattern continues through the remainder of the week
and over the weekend, with increased rain chances expected each
day as the upper low moves over the southeast states. Scattered to
numerous daytime showers and storms are expected each day with
the highest coverage during the afternoon and early evening hours.
Pulse thunderstorms are possible each afternoon into the early
evening, and we can't rule out a few strong storms with gusty
winds and frequent lightning. High temps will be in the upper 80s
and low 90s. Low temperatures across interior areas throughout the
extended term will be in the lower to middle 70s and the upper
70s along the beaches and barrier islands. A low risk of rip
currents remains in place through the weekend. /13

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1252 PM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025

VFR conditions will persist through the period outside of very
isolated showers and storms this afternoon into early evening
where brief reductions in ceilings and visibilities will occur.
/22

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 450 AM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025

No impacts are expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      73  97  73  95  73  90  73  91 /  10  30  50  50  50  60  30  70
Pensacola   77  97  75  94  76  89  76  91 /  10  40  50  50  50  70  30  70
Destin      80  96  78  92  78  91  79  91 /  20  40  50  60  60  70  40  70
Evergreen   72  98  70  94  71  93  71  92 /  20  40  50  60  40  60  30  70
Waynesboro  72  97  72  96  71  92  70  93 /  20  30  40  40  30  50  20  60
Camden      73  96  72  94  72  91  71  91 /  10  30  50  50  40  50  20  60
Crestview   73  98  71  94  72  92  71  92 /  20  40  50  70  50  80  30  80

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jun 24, 12:56 PM CDT ...New Aviation...

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