Author Topic: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 23, 17:25z for portions of PBZ  (Read 109 times)

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 23, 17:25z for portions of PBZ

885 
WUUS02 KWNS 231726
PTSDY2

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025

VALID TIME 241200Z - 251200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... TORNADO ...

0.02   40990196 40120205 38720197 38270278 38360395 38740478
       39830523 41510538 42550573 42690639 42730696 42970773
       43240794 43700766 44230731 45160657 45780563 45970428
       45550361 44850303 43590273 42390229 40990196
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   43240841 44650750 45930566 46060395 44410097 43380015
       40899993 39960028 38600134 37640288 37210423 37380522
       38060545 40660535 42530665 42730819 43240841
0.15   41240509 42510561 43140647 44310638 44950554 45070487
       45110437 44650301 43550253 43150243 42830236 42300228
       41330204 38800205 38260256 38460415 39140474 39370498
       39860498 40580498 41240509
SIGN   42620563 43120638 43860643 44350629 44750567 44730503
       44090457 43550431 42470385 41740367 40780354 39440312
       38410342 38460411 39330484 39910496 41220504 42620563
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   42736945 42507252 41307647 40168100 39778644 39349111
       38719551 38459865 37610295 37150422 37320524 37650537
       38260549 39350544 40590542 41410589 42480656 42700822
       43290843 44780749 45980576 46120396 45190232 44750067
       44099819 43469437 43199104 43158838 43548604 43878302
       44598074
0.15   41300200 38890202 38280267 38460415 39320492 41220504
       42540557 43150643 44300628 44940562 45110440 44650298
       43470248 42270231 41300200
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   44310638 44950554 45110437 44650298 43470248 42270231
       41330200 40070197 38750204 38250263 38430414 39190478
       39370498 41240509 42510561 43140647 44310638
MRGL   42716968 42507252 41307647 40168100 39778644 39349111
       38719551 38459865 37610295 37150426 37320524 38260549
       40590542 41680606 42490662 42700822 43290843 44780749
       45980576 46120396 45190232 44099819 43469437 43199104
       43158838 43548604 43878302 44298169
TSTM   30270212 30270145 30670002 31909856 33159738 34759726
       35439781 35779955 35690032 35130099 34390149 33340210
       32730236 31990256 31430256 30270212 99999999 30981188
       33841075 37410883 40760645 41480657 42190765 42170985
       42021137 41631312 40961374 39521426 38891465 38781564
       39071623 39981668 41441624 42551497 43111317 44131204
       44991189 47301101 48100796 49660531 99999999 49381550
       47911711 48171862 48811990 49372063 99999999 48999323
       48259695 47769785 47229784 47049634 47089412 46628804
       46718598 47258378

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W
GCC 35 SSW 4BQ 50 SW 2WX 40 N RAP 50 SE RAP 30 ENE AIA 55 ENE SNY 35
SSW IML 35 SSE ITR 15 N LAA 20 ENE PUB 25 N COS 30 S DEN 15 WNW CYS
20 SW DGW 15 N CPR 40 W GCC.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 ESE
PSM 25 NNE BAF 25 E IPT 20 W HLG 10 WNW IND 40 S UIN 25 SSE TOP 30
SSE RSL 30 NW SPD 10 SSE TAD 35 ESE ALS 55 W PUB 25 WNW FCL 30 NW
LAR 30 SSW CPR 25 ESE LND 15 N RIW 25 W SHR 30 S MLS 20 SE BHK 50 S
Y22 20 S HON 15 S FRM 45 W LNR 30 WNW MKE 25 NNE MKG BAX 75 ENE BAX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE 6R6 50 ENE 6R6
20 NW JCT 25 ENE BWD 25 N FTW 35 NNW ADM 10 W OKC 35 NNW CSM 60 E
BGD 40 E AMA 20 NE PVW 30 SW LBB 50 E HOB 20 W MAF 40 NNE FST 15 NNE
6R6 ...CONT... 95 SW TUS 50 SW SOW 15 NW CEZ 55 SW LAR 40 SE RWL 35
NW RWL 30 SSE BPI 50 ESE MLD 55 SW MLD 20 NE ENV 35 ENE ELY 30 SSE
ELY 55 SSE P68 35 SSW P68 45 SSE BAM 35 S OWY 25 W TWF 30 WNW PIH 35
SSE MQM 35 NE MQM 20 SE GTF 60 W GGW 110 N OLF ...CONT... 95 NW GPI
30 NE GEG 45 ESE OMK 30 NW OMK 80 NW OMK ...CONT... 30 NNE INL 25
NNE GFK 35 WSW GFK 45 ENE JMS 25 ENE FAR 45 N BRD 25 WNW MQT 75 E
MQT 60 NNE ANJ.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 23, 17:25z for portions of PBZ

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