MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jun 20, 12:15 PM CDT ...New Aviation...998
FXUS64 KMOB 201715
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1215 PM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 411 AM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025
Tonight through Saturday Night...
Weak upper level troughing will move east of the area today. Isolated
to scattered afternoon showers and storms remain possible today
we settle into the more typical popup thunderstorm Summer time
regime. The main threats will remain heavy rain and frequent
lightning. An isolated stronger storm with gusty winds cannot be
ruled out. Temperatures remain warm in the upper 80s and lower 90s
for highs with lows in the lower to middle 70s. A moderate risk
of rip currents remains in place through today, becoming low
tonight. /13
Sunday through Thursday...
A typical summer diurnal pattern continues through the period as a
large upper high pressure area dominates the eastern half of the
U.S. A low-level surface ridge will persist over the western
Atlantic and southeast states, maintaining a light southerly wind
through the extended. Adequate moisture will be available for at
least scattered showers and thunderstorms each afternoon as
precipitable waters values hold steady between 1.5 to 2.0 inches.
Pulse thunderstorms are possible each afternoon give ample
instability and minimal shear, so we can't rule out a few strong
storms with gusty winds and frequent lightning being the main
threats.
Temperatures will average up to 5 degrees above normal through the
extended, with highs in the middle 90s inland and the lower 90s
along the beaches and barrier islands. Low temperatures interior
areas will be in the lower to middle 70s and the upper 70s along
the beaches and barrier islands. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 PM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025
VFR flight category prevails across the region through Saturday.
Isolated to scattered afternoon showers and storms may reduce
visibility and/or ceiling temporarily by several flight
categories. Winds remain light and variable near or less than 5
knots. MM/25
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 435 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025
No impacts are expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms. /13
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 73 93 74 92 74 92 74 94 / 20 50 20 60 20 60 20 50
Pensacola 76 92 77 90 77 92 76 92 / 20 50 30 70 20 70 20 40
Destin 79 92 80 92 79 92 79 92 / 20 50 40 70 30 60 30 30
Evergreen 71 95 71 94 72 94 71 95 / 20 50 20 60 10 50 10 30
Waynesboro 72 94 72 94 71 94 72 96 / 20 40 10 50 10 40 10 30
Camden 71 92 72 92 72 92 72 94 / 10 40 20 40 10 40 10 20
Crestview 72 94 72 93 72 94 71 95 / 20 70 20 70 20 60 20 40
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jun 20, 12:15 PM CDT ...New Aviation...---------------
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