[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 22, 6:00z for portions of PBZ

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 22, 6:00z for portions of PBZ

196 
WUUS01 KWNS 220601
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT SUN JUN 22 2025

VALID TIME 221200Z - 231200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   48438732 47698914 46719084 45279320 43599557 41129829
       40349936 40150002 40330040 40830061 41530046 42090028
       43629966 47189823 49429897
0.05   48608987 47449169 46279350 45449517 45229637 45379725
       45759738 46589737 47739741 49439790
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   47838610 47128790 46138968 44659196 43369383 40459707
       37709959 34590245 34300309 34280370 34510401 35050410
       35930387 37880317 39490265 40740244 41990312 42580413
       42980507 43770587 44550588 45480501 46360390 46780316
       47750257 48620256 49720247
0.05   46117172 44997066 43217002 40886956 99999999 37217474
       38087613 39047730 40267862 41577942 42497982 43718022
0.15   48428736 47478955 44889343 43269548 42019690 40869818
       40239936 40240020 41120067 47099824 49579898
0.15   44127860 41697786 40797672 40437491 41037324 41657260
       42317240 43007280 43487438 43997539 44737633
SIGN   49159270 48169308 46159402 45899421 45529508 45259628
       45409717 46029734 47049775 49619865
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   31150708 34780522 37180395 39450287 40680258 41970312
       42530408 43000515 43710582 44270580 44640582 46090425
       46860308 47710263 49010247 49720241 99999999 47858615
       46838858 45339099 43209416 39889762 38789852 36560007
       34300161 28670454
0.05   47147021 45686852 43516829 99999999 37327456 38557638
       40157850 41787955 43648027
0.15   48438735 47658917 45039322 43269545 40419821 40269836
       38489971 35850155 34620256 34290327 34280381 34510399
       34700403 35130408 35940369 41530104 44839930 47169820
       49519900
0.15   44167859 41647782 40797677 40427496 40967329 41647261
       42287244 43057286 43557446 43977538 44807638
SIGN   48398948 46879219 46209378 46329546 47049611 48629668
       49479690
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   48368744 47658917 46019183 44909340 43149555 40229835
       36680091 35280201 34580260 34280326 34290372 34510399
       35050410 35600381 41380112 44869926 47169824 49429902
SLGT   44717625 44497602 43917532 43497441 43307369 43037285
       42357244 41677260 40907343 40437496 40797672 41647783
       43227835 44127861
MRGL   31110709 37140401 39480287 40690250 41950309 42610427
       43040523 43750587 44610585 45990442 46790316 47700262
       49670245 99999999 47798626 46958828 46248957 44659196
       43349389 39689785 34300161 29880389 28600455
MRGL   47147011 45666854 43416832 99999999 37347458 38327607
       39267733 40227861 41537946 43628024
TSTM   37057507 38047663 39207825 40517989 41418056 43048130
       99999999 46078295 45428784 43959108 42199377 39719641
       37139878 34230045 31680127 30450144 29830096 28809973
       28839885 29689811 31429759 33299655 34739511 36589271
       37668951 38248662 38498439 38038232 37458095 36838019
       36287996 35628021 35068059 34648122 34028225 33448266
       32678270 31938234 31438179 31208128 31078056 99999999
       31050962 33260821 36300621 38120445 38950408 41060331
       41540350 41780373 42300469 42690576 42940735 42770873
       42250995 41531160 41321248 41411319 41831373 42741443
       43221527 45111717 46411773 46791822 46871879 46871960
       46632041 46432096 46722172 47702166 49352138 99999999
       49601279 48361317 47661301 47041183 47081048 47210925
       47220807 47030672 47020475 47110441 47350405 47930370
       48670360 49630392

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NNE
CMX 45 NW CMX 55 SW ASX 10 W MSP 20 W SPW 25 S HSI 25 S LBL 15 WNW
AMA 45 ENE CVS 10 SSE CVS 25 WSW CVS 40 WNW CVS 30 WSW TCC 30 NNW
TCC 30 NW LBF 60 SW ABR 25 NE JMS 90 N DVL.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW
ART 35 N ART 35 E ART 40 WNW GFL GFL 30 WNW EEN 20 NE BAF 20 S BDL
20 WNW ISP 15 NW TTN 35 SSE IPT 45 ESE BFD 30 NE BUF 80 N BUF.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SW
ELP 20 ESE TAD 35 WNW ITR 40 SE SNY 15 WSW AIA 40 N TOR 20 NNE DGW
45 SSW GCC 25 NW GCC 25 SSW BHK 15 W DIK 55 W N60 110 NNW MOT
...CONT... 105 NE MQT 20 SSE CMX 35 SE IWD 30 WSW EAU 30 WNW MCW 15
NW CNK 10 NE PVW 35 SSE MRF 125 SSW MRF.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100
WNW CAR 50 SW HUL 70 S BHB ...CONT... 65 SE WAL 20 E NHK 30 NNW DCA
15 WSW AOO 25 ENE FKL 90 WNW BUF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 E ORF 20 SW NHK 20
SW MRB 20 E PIT 15 NNE YNG 85 ENE MTC ...CONT... 75 ESE ANJ 30 SSE
IMT 10 ENE LSE 35 SE FOD 45 NNE MHK 15 SW P28 15 SW CDS 40 SSE BGS
55 ENE 6R6 30 N DRT 40 NW COT 35 NE COT BAZ 20 NNW TPL 30 SSE GYI 35
SW RKR 30 NNW FLP 15 WSW MDH 45 NE OWB 35 NNE LEX 25 SSE HTS 20 NE
BLF 35 SE PSK 15 N GSO 35 SSW GSO 25 ESE CLT 45 SSW CLT 45 SE AND 40
W AGS 40 NNW VDI 20 S VDI 30 NW SSI 10 ENE SSI 55 E SSI ...CONT...
30 S DUG 45 N SVC 45 ENE 4SL 10 SSE PUB 30 SW LIC 20 W SNY 25 SSE
BFF 10 SW BFF 30 WNW TOR 20 WSW DGW 45 W CPR LND 25 SSE BPI 30 NE
OGD 25 WNW OGD 65 WNW OGD 50 S BYI 20 N TWF 55 WSW SUN 35 ENE BKE 35
W LWS 50 N ALW 45 SE EPH 30 S EPH 10 NE YKM 20 WSW YKM 55 W YKM 35
ENE SEA 65 NE BLI ...CONT... 70 NNW CTB 40 WSW CTB 70 N 3DU 30 NNE
HLN 50 W LWT 15 NE LWT 65 E LWT 55 NW MLS 10 SSE GDV 20 E GDV 25 SSE
SDY 20 S ISN 35 N ISN 100 N ISN.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 22, 6:00z for portions of PBZ

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