MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jun 18, 6:35 PM CDT ...New Aviation...362
FXUS64 KMOB 182335
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
635 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 419 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025
...Tonight through Thursday Night...
Weak upper troughing overhead persists through the day Thursday
allowing for the area to continue to have showers and thunderstorms
affecting the region during the afternoon into early evening hours.
Coverage becomes more focused nearer the coast and areas along and
east of the I-65 corridor for Thursday. A few strong to severe
storms can't be ruled out once again with ample CAPE and relatively
weak shear across the area with primary hazards being gusty winds,
small hail, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall. Nuisance,
localized flash flooding can't be ruled out in any spots that see
training thunderstorms. Temperatures remain warm in the upper 80's
and lower 90's for highs with lows in the lower to middle 70's. A
moderate risk of rip currents remains in place through Thursday
night. MM/25
Friday Through Tuesday...
Ridging aloft builds into the region through the weekend before
expanding up into the East Coast early next week. Rain chances
decrease markedly (in comparison to the past few days) in this
pattern. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are possible each
afternoon, especially along the sea breeze, over the weekend and
into early next week. The highest rain chances throughout the period
will be on Friday afternoon (generally east of I-65) as the
lingering trough finally kicks out of the region as ridging begins
to build in. The heat starts to ramp up this weekend into next week
under ridging aloft. Heat indices will generally range from 101-
107F this weekend and early next week with a few locations
potentially hitting 108-109F for an hour or so.
Beach Forecast - The rip current risk remains LOW Friday through
Sunday for the coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. The
rip current probability guidance remains LOW on Monday and Tuesday.
07/mb
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 613 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025
Mostly VFR conditions across the area with only a couple isolated
showers and thunderstorms noted. Storms should subside over the
next few hours leading to widespread VFR conditions. Scattered
showers will develop along the immediate coast during the morning
and spread inland tomorrow around noon leading to temporary
reductions in visibilities and ceilings to MVFR and even IFR.
Winds will remain light out of the south. BB-8
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 419 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025
A generally light and predominately onshore flow is expected through
the weekend outside of a temporary westerly flow on Thursday. The
environment continues to be supportive of waterspouts in morning
shower or storm activity near the coast. MM/25
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 74 91 73 93 74 93 74 92 / 10 60 30 50 20 40 10 40
Pensacola 77 90 78 92 77 91 77 90 / 20 50 40 50 20 40 10 40
Destin 80 89 80 92 80 92 79 91 / 30 50 40 50 30 40 20 40
Evergreen 71 92 72 94 72 96 72 95 / 10 60 20 50 10 40 10 40
Waynesboro 72 92 70 93 72 95 72 95 / 10 50 20 50 10 30 10 40
Camden 71 90 72 91 71 94 72 93 / 10 50 20 30 10 20 10 30
Crestview 72 92 73 94 72 95 72 94 / 10 60 30 60 20 50 10 50
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jun 18, 6:35 PM CDT ...New Aviation...---------------
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