[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 16, 19:54z for portions of MOB

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 16, 19:54z for portions of MOB

205 
WUUS01 KWNS 161956
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0254 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2025

VALID TIME 162000Z - 171200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   41749548 41269704 40779849 40360055 40270258 40500366
       41070479 42020567 42810623 43670685 44430782 44870935
       45231068 45621129 46191102 46480960 46410864 46120759
       45540637 44340408 43460287 43190110 43220000 43239802
       44049674 46169625 46329585 47739457 47809323 47609215
       46889131 46189093 45589073 44719074 43859152 42969244
       42419372 41749548
0.05   45589214 44379274 43779366 43529477 43579591 43889607
       45179534 46809493 47199460 47219334 46909255 46279214
       45589214
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   48529041 47699056 47158975 46598878 45898823 45088808
       44058831 42708916 41909019 41539154 41249337 41009467
       40019566 38619649 37319714 36399845 35970067 35890153
       36260197 37970272 38710312 39750450 40780562 41590666
       42830845 44391091 44951167 45341201 45771217 46161203
       46491163 46871101 47130993 47220846 47110620 46620403
       45440215 45180180 44209996 44209866 44479749 45999718
       46229644 47899474 48889305
0.15   41299777 40719863 40470026 40630207 41360334 43080590
       43870694 44530781 44850916 45220980 45861022 46311003
       46660932 46420636 46110586 44580375 44120239 43219992
       43209798 44079678 45319661 45999663 46349584 47829450
       48069374 47889280 47629188 47329143 46209096 45609076
       44959093 44029152 43209261 42389430 41799621 41299777
0.30   43519472 43569580 43799608 44149609 44579587 44909560
       45199536 45919498 46509472 47149457 47219394 47059328
       46819283 46409235 45829206 45259220 44369288 43769369
       43719390 43519472
0.30   42300058 42409841 41789798 41319996 41310143 41450253
       41820256 42300058
SIGN   47779385 47129231 46149236 45759344 45779441 46149483
       47139462 47779385
SIGN   42290188 42159923 43049677 44289564 44189467 43329448
       42439559 41879760 40989953 41300207 41710314 42140399
       43220574 44030667 44650680 45160648 45420552 44340432
       43340336 42290188
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   48529042 47699055 47148973 46588877 45898824 45098808
       44058831 42708916 41919018 41539156 41269326 41009468
       40019566 38629648 37319713 36399844 35970069 35900153
       36260197 38300283 38840324 39970471 41240618 42820842
       44361086 44971168 45361202 45771218 46161202 46471163
       46861102 47130992 47220846 47120620 46610399 45170177
       44209992 44209874 44479749 45989712 46259642 47409524
       47919471 48089439 48779323 48939303
0.05   32029184 35128959 35388861 34998717 33508732 31748851
       30998974 31369150 32029184
0.15   42879319 41309576 38809778 38019967 38390116 39900255
       41410407 42800555 43880697 44530781 44800893 45040927
       45530960 46040950 46610866 46430636 45910440 43250000
       43219802 44039678 45949661 46349585 46989530 47829455
       48059375 47879277 47629188 46859074 46109025 45429016
       44599055 43659180 42879319
0.30   41180306 41740278 42310067 42369835 41639790 41249796
       40799851 40479911 40360016 40370194 40580242 41180306
SIGN   41869849 41409830 40819839 40269886 40019972 40040199
       40240281 41030363 41990371 42480238 42430059 42209889
       41869849
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    41740278 42310067 42409841 41639790 41249796 40799851
       40479911 40360016 40370194 40580242 41180306 41740278
ENH    44579587 45199536 45919498 46509472 47149457 47219394
       47059328 46819283 46409235 45829206 45259220 44369288
       43769369 43519472 43569580 43799608 44149609 44579587
SLGT   46311003 46660932 46430636 45910440 43250000 43219802
       44079678 45999663 46349585 47829455 48069374 47629188
       46859074 46109025 45429016 44599055 43659180 41309576
       38809778 38019967 38390116 39900255 42800555 44530781
       44850916 45220980 45861022 46311003
MRGL   35128959 35388861 34998717 33508732 31748851 30998974
       31369150 32029184 35128959
MRGL   48529041 47699055 46598878 45898823 45088808 44058831
       42708916 41909019 41539154 41009467 40019566 38629648
       37319713 36399844 35970067 35890153 36260197 37970272
       38750317 39750450 41470650 44951167 45341201 45771218
       46161203 46871101 47130993 47220846 47120620 46610399
       45170177 44209992 44209874 44479749 45999718 46259642
       46499617 46849582 47179551 47469518 47889474 48079439
       48929304
TSTM   29690546 32670600 33660576 33870543 33720478 33130446
       31980390 30900336 30180323 28890368 99999999 27610043
       29939947 31549828 33319480 34369442 36979339 38269145
       38889067 39668903 40928565 40998520 41348305 40967968
       40567917 39907893 39427891 38507924 37747954 37257924
       36877827 36927697 36717547 36447496 99999999 47258359
       46118522 44888618 42778774 41618929 40619194 40129290
       39759354 36419565 35429656 35159764 35159888 34960078
       35190205 36250307 37640322 38570358 39110415 40080537
       41020635 41610723 42510914 43491018 43831419 44031768
       43891866 44271934 44741928 45231882 46181704 46541588
       47471476 48341364 48651248 48311026 48110740 48240688
       48510662 49480793

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S
AIA 25 NE MHN 15 ESE ONL 30 WNW OLU 25 NE GRI 15 NNW HSI 20 SSW EAR
25 ENE MCK 20 WSW IML 40 W IML SNY 20 S AIA.

THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W
RWF 45 NNW RWF 20 E AXN 30 WNW BRD 30 SSE BJI 50 ESE BJI 30 SW HIB
30 W DLH 30 SSW DLH 70 S DLH 45 NW EAU 35 NNW RST 35 SSE MKT 20 WSW
FRM 15 WSW OTG 25 WNW OTG 40 ESE BKX 40 W RWF.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW
3HT 30 SSE LWT 25 W MLS 30 SSW BHK 40 NE VTN 40 WNW YKN 15 S BKX 50
NNW VVV 35 S DTL 25 NE BJI 40 SSW INL 20 S ELO 25 NNE ASX 30 S IWD
35 WSW RHI 45 WSW CWA 30 WSW LSE OMA SLN 25 NE DDC 40 NW GCK 40 ESE
AKO 10 WNW DGW 40 NNE WRL 25 NNW COD 45 SE LVM 15 NE LVM 15 SW 3HT.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE
MEM 25 SE MKL 30 ENE MSL 25 NE TCL 45 SSE MEI 40 SW PIB 20 SSW HEZ
35 SSE MLU 25 ENE MEM.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 N
GNA 10 WSW GNA 40 SSW CMX IMT 40 N GRB 15 ENE OSH 10 NW JVL 35 NNE
MLI 25 SSE CID 45 ENE SDA FNB 25 NW EMP 30 SE ICT 30 W END 45 ENE
BGD 15 NNW BGD 35 ENE DHT LAA 45 SE LIC 20 E DEN 45 ESE RWL 35 NW
WEY 25 ENE DLN 20 SE BTM 25 ENE BTM 45 SSE GTF 20 WNW LWT 50 ENE LWT
50 NNW MLS 20 NE BHK 55 SSE Y22 20 SE PIR 30 WSW HON 35 WNW BKX 60
NW VVV 50 SSW DTL 25 SSW DTL DTL 30 NE DTL 10 WSW BJI 25 NNE BJI 45
NNE BJI 30 NE INL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 WSW MRF 15 SSE
ALM 20 NW SRR 20 SE 4CR 35 NNW ROW 10 SSE ROW 35 SE CNM 25 W FST 50
ESE MRF 105 SSE MRF ...CONT... 60 W LRD 45 NNW HDO 45 ESE BWD 45 ESE
PRX 20 N DEQ 15 S SGF 20 ENE VIH 20 WNW STL 15 SW DEC 25 W FWA FWA
40 NE FDY 30 SSE FKL 25 NNE LBE 35 SE LBE 50 W MRB 25 NW SHD 35 NNW
LYH LYH 15 NW AVC 45 W ORF 45 ESE ORF 70 E ECG ...CONT... 65 NE ANJ
45 NNW PLN 30 WNW TVC RAC 35 WNW MMO 45 SE OTM 20 W IRK CDJ 20 NE
TUL 25 SE CQB 20 S OKC 20 SE CSM 45 NW CDS 20 W AMA 15 SSE CAO 30
SSE LHX 35 N LHX 30 WSW LIC 30 SW FCL 40 WSW LAR 15 S RWL 30 SW LND
30 ESE JAC 25 NNE SUN 55 S BKE 25 NE BNO 50 NNW BNO 70 SSW PDT 35 S
PDT 15 S LWS 30 NNW P69 30 ESE 3TH 30 E GPI CTB 30 SW HVR 35 WSW GGW
10 W GGW 20 N GGW 105 NE HVR.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 16, 19:54z for portions of MOB

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