[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 13, 16:26z for portions of LIX

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 13, 16:26z for portions of LIX

190 
WUUS01 KWNS 131628
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1126 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2025

VALID TIME 131630Z - 141200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   49310922 47280714 45230486 43350336 41660184 40750161
       39660262 39760397 40770435 42860598 44130745 44980844
       45651321 46821372 49431137
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   49380782 47810678 42199899 38619769 36989585 35519332
       33959351 33249759 32819942 30930139 28900194 99999999
       29290459 33940417 37150333 40410499 42990745 44220962
       44741388 46281511 47891398 49471244
0.15   49350922 47470728 45280497 41650013 39439928 37599926
       36469977 35960049 35920170 36150256 37140264 40830424
       43310649 44940848 45661322 46871368 49421135
0.30   48050961 46900816 45810703 45430805 45981063 46211228
       47191253 48071088 48050961
SIGN   44960844 45701279 46991323 48331136 48350944 47210786
       45680595 44820534 43990584 43940685 44960844
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   49390782 47820678 42209900 38619768 37009588 35519332
       33959350 33269750 32819942 30930139 28900194 99999999
       29290459 31160444 33900437 37030357 40310497 42990745
       44210961 44741388 46281510 47931394 49471245
0.05   31568792 29678974 29869051 30409051 31629011 32489049
       33369044 37798625 39078475 38698326 37748257 36878291
       34408548 32788683 31568792
0.05   39217616 38647548 38187552 38007632 38157714 38057897
       38387962 39097917 39427871 39487744 39217616
0.15   49350921 47490730 45300499 41660014 39519932 37629927
       34989959 34760034 34780173 35110255 37170263 40830424
       43140638 44950846 45661320 46871369 49421136
SIGN   47740918 46890753 45640634 45240804 45871037 46211186
       47041202 47781092 47740918
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    47191253 48071088 48060962 46960822 45800703 45430805
       45931039 46211227 47191253
SLGT   49350923 47480728 45280497 41660014 39439928 37599926
       34979958 34740038 34740165 35110253 37160263 40830424
       43190639 44940847 45651321 46871368 49421135
MRGL   29300459 31180440 33880437 37080356 40370498 42990745
       44220962 44741388 46281511 47951393 49471244 99999999
       49390782 47810678 42199900 38619769 36979585 35509332
       33969350 33269748 32819941 30930139 28900194
MRGL   31568792 29678974 29849050 30409049 31609009 32509048
       33419042 37358669 39078475 38698326 37738255 36828294
       34408548 32788683 31568792
MRGL   38007631 38167714 38047896 38397960 39087918 39427871
       39487744 39217616 38627547 38197551 38007631
TSTM   30860952 31700875 31750802 31440722 31340667 31150625
       31190576 31710573 32200607 32530662 32900796 33290875
       33610899 34300917 34720887 34830836 34790773 34500709
       34390670 34550633 35330611 35710619 36120627 36560654
       36870681 37240714 37890740 38480754 39140751 39370757
       39670771 40060781 40660769 41110761 41430785 41730804
       41790806 41900833 41920877 41660945 41580991 41571046
       41621088 41751132 42221197 42621241 43531284 43751356
       43851450 44231570 44541644 44591699 44531758 44591829
       44681865 45021893 45601904 46101886 46541832 47001782
       47521701 47841690 47981726 48021801 47961871 48201979
       48572033 49452055 99999999 49730434 48940414 48160358
       47489978 46179752 46089665 46319582 46509494 46629397
       46629313 46519222 46199148 45679082 45009041 44209083
       43419274 42959371 42389502 41649603 40669639 39809614
       39749581 39859543 40419492 40909421 41629331 42019241
       42279151 42479065 42468989 42228870 41848739 41708572
       41818418 42108202 42668091 42827930 42687785 41337313
       40787076 99999999 26769654 27039765 27639922 28140006
       28940007 29230003 29609991 29849968 30229943 30709899
       30959866 31229827 31419805 31659797 31819806 31869832
       31919854 31859885 31739913 31629943 31339989 30650031
       29660072 28810095

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE
3DU 45 NNE GTF 35 SSE HVR 60 E LWT 70 SW MLS 35 SE BIL 15 N LVM 20
NNE BTM 45 NE 3DU.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE
HVR 60 SSW GGW 25 ESE 4BQ 30 WNW BBW 30 E HLC 40 ESE DDC 30 NW LTS
20 NNW CDS 35 S AMA 45 W AMA 10 S SPD 35 SE CYS 20 NNE CPR 40 NE COD
40 WSW BTM 20 E MSO 70 NE CTB.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SSW
MRF 50 SSE GDP 40 NNE ROW 45 ESE TAD FCL 50 W CPR 35 SW COD 25 S SMN
25 ENE P69 30 SSE GPI 60 N CTB ...CONT... 100 NNW GGW 30 SSW GGW 25
SW ONL 15 S SLN 15 NNE BVO 20 NW RUE 40 SSW HOT 30 NNW FTW 30 NNE
ABI 60 WSW SJT 70 WSW DRT.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W
GZH 30 NW BVE 20 SW MSY 30 NNW MSY 35 NE MCB 75 SSE GLH 20 WSW GWO
30 NNW BWG 20 W LUK 45 WNW HTS 45 S HTS 40 NW TRI 20 W RMG 30 NNE
SEM 50 W GZH.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE
NHK 40 WSW NHK 15 SSW SHD 35 SSE EKN 40 ENE EKN 40 W MRB 20 SE HGR
25 E BWI 20 N SBY 10 S SBY 20 SSE NHK.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S DUG 55 ENE DUG
40 SSW DMN 55 WSW ELP 35 SSW ELP 45 S ELP 55 SE ELP 40 E ELP 35 NNE
ELP 35 SW ALM 20 NNE SVC 55 NW SVC 65 NE SAD 45 E SOW 55 S GUP 35 SW
GNT 30 SSE GNT 35 NNW ONM 30 NNE ONM 35 SSE ABQ 20 S SAF 10 NW SAF
35 NNW SAF 45 NNE 4SL 55 ESE DRO 35 ENE DRO 50 SSE MTJ 20 E MTJ 35 W
ASE 40 WNW ASE 40 W EGE 35 SSW CAG 15 NW CAG 45 N CAG 40 SW RWL 45 W
RWL 45 W RWL 45 ENE RKS 25 NE RKS 20 WNW RKS 45 W RKS 35 NE EVW 25
NNE EVW 35 NNW EVW 15 ENE MLD 25 SSE PIH 40 W IDA 40 ENE SUN 25 NNW
SUN 50 SSE MYL 30 SW MYL 45 ESE BKE 25 SSE BKE 30 SW BKE 40 WSW BKE
45 S PDT 10 SW PDT 30 W ALW 30 N ALW 35 WNW PUW 25 ESE GEG 35 ENE
GEG 30 NNE GEG 35 NW GEG 50 SE OMK 20 SW OMK 40 WNW OMK 85 NW OMK
...CONT... 110 NNW ISN 55 NNW ISN ISN 60 SW DVL 60 SSW FAR 55 NNW
VVV 35 S DTL 40 W BRD 15 NNE BRD 45 WSW DLH 20 S DLH 35 SW ASX 60 S
ASX 40 W AUW 30 NE LSE 35 ENE MCW 25 SW MCW 20 SE SLB 10 SE TQE 25
ESE LNK 35 WSW FNB 25 SSW FNB 20 SSE FNB 35 SE SDA 25 NW LWD 20 ENE
DSM 35 WNW CID 30 NNE CID DBQ 45 E DBQ 20 E RFD 35 NW VPZ 30 E SBN
25 NW TOL 50 NNW CLE 55 NW ERI 30 WSW BUF 30 SSW ROC 10 N BDR 50 SW
ACK ...CONT... 80 NE BRO 50 S CRP 15 ENE LRD 55 NW LRD 60 ESE DRT 50
W HDO 45 WNW HDO 45 NW HDO 30 SE JCT 50 ENE JCT 60 SSE BWD 50 W TPL
40 WNW TPL 40 SSE SEP 30 SSE SEP 25 SSW SEP 25 ENE BWD BWD 10 WSW
BWD 30 WSW BWD 35 E SJT 35 WNW JCT 25 NNE DRT 40 S DRT.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 13, 16:26z for portions of LIX

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