The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 12, 19:52z for portions of PAH359
WUUS01 KWNS 121953
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0252 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2025
VALID TIME 122000Z - 131200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 30619171 30319196 29949221 29599277 29509306 29639343
30009361 30789296 32229280 34319331 34699325 36069204
36959030 36388861 34948826 34058843 33068896 32019017
30619171
0.02 43110170 42790140 42210198 41590379 41900505 42950546
43260490 42870394 43180212 43110170
0.02 27659639 27279739 27039820 27149870 27269908 27619931
28039936 28409931 28769883 29079810 28919609 28729567
28599554 28369541
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 44400501 45010023 45399810 44689308 44239201 43459082
42559189 42909479 42989673 41579940 40370173 39570350
40560438 41070520 43740557 44400501
0.05 29220461 30470422 30430305 28930160
0.05 41737641 41617496 41187366 40587368 40257469 40537673
40947773 41437756 41737641
0.15 41100374 41980454 42500446 42560330 43110172 44389946
44439878 44279770 43389821 42360027 41870209 41100374
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 29380453 30490419 30410311 28820151
0.05 41737639 41637506 41167363 40647369 40057399 40537670
40927773 41437756 41737639
0.05 30679116 29839240 29549285 29489305 29639341 29999362
30779295 32199277 34309332 34679324 36069206 36979030
36398864 34908826 34028848 32928910 30699106 30679116
0.05 35278540 36448284 36298071 35118041 32198236 31278221
30198197 29928305 31658456 32628558 33698592 35278540
0.05 44370504 45090024 45369806 45129619 44709300 44099169
43459079 42569190 42919486 42969683 41859891 40380159
39020247 37940270 35710260 33160321 33110458 33180490
33520527 34720540 35170534 36150487 37480471 39050468
39990509 41040520 43760561 44370504
0.05 27639638 27419701 27259750 27039817 27279901 27519923
27689931 28019933 28459927 28809878 29089796 28949616
28729569 28549549 28329538
0.15 43379822 41460139 40940204 40260249 40190324 41150380
41670372 42830178 44499870 44249770 43379822
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 42500446 42560330 43110172 44389946 44499870 44279770
43379822 41460139 40940204 40260249 40190324 41160380
41980454 42500446
MRGL 29280459 30490419 30430305 29330199
MRGL 41437756 41737641 41617496 41167363 40587368 40057399
40537673 40927773 41437756
MRGL 30749105 29589281 29529302 29629346 29989361 30789297
32219279 34359332 34699323 36069206 36979030 36388861
34908826 34058843 33068896 30749105
MRGL 35278540 36448284 36298071 35118041 32198236 30198197
29928305 31658456 32628558 33698592 35278540
MRGL 44400501 45399810 44709300 44099169 43459079 42559189
42909479 42969677 40380159 39020247 37940270 35710260
33170323 33090455 33190493 33500527 34650539 35240531
36150487 37480471 39050468 39990509 43760561 44400501
MRGL 27649639 27319729 27049817 27279905 27609931 28039935
28459927 28799878 28939844 29089797 28939611 28729568
28579552 28289536
TSTM 45976706 47337057 99999999 49690698 48550626 47730528
47460427 47200239 47619956 47819541 46749109 45299020
44438904 43808717 42618413 42088105 42167718 42257473
41997312 41607225 40997195 40197276 39537463 39937904
40708361 40548591 40318757 39958855 39638873 38888846
38048746 37468475 37958348 37718201 37408013 37127899
36847525 99999999 31160679 32620715 33870759 35330765
36320767 37300809 39220869 39960882 40150929 40090966
40041041 40091228 39901357 39831448 40021531 40581583
41321686 41871767 43541829 45661751 46521677 47151615
47721659 48111714 48091761 48001834 48411948 48852006
49732085
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW
TOR 20 SSW CDR 60 WNW VTN 40 E PIR 25 WNW HON 25 ESE HON 30 SSW MHE
45 WNW LBF 35 NW IML 40 E AKO AKO 45 W SNY 20 WSW TOR 35 NNW TOR.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SSW
MRF 15 NW MRF 35 SSW FST 50 SSE 6R6.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW
IPT 40 SW BGM 10 SW MSV 25 W BDR JFK 20 E NEL 20 NNE CXY 10 NE UNV
35 WNW IPT.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW
MCB 45 WSW 7R4 45 SSE LCH 40 SSW LCH 25 E BPT 20 SSE POE 35 NNE IER
15 SW HOT 15 NNW HOT 25 ESE FLP 15 NE POF 50 S PAH 40 WNW MSL 25 SE
TUP 50 SW CBM 45 SW MCB.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW
CHA 25 W TRI 45 WNW GSO 30 ESE CLT VDI 30 SW JAX 20 N CTY 25 WNW ABY
10 W AUO 10 NNW ANB 20 NW CHA.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E
GCC 15 ESE ABR 15 SE MSP 25 WNW LSE 35 WNW LNR 25 E ALO 25 SE SPW 30
E YKN 10 S IML 20 SW ITR 10 S LAA 20 S DHT 35 N HOB 15 S ROW 25 WSW
ROW 15 E SRR 40 NNE 4CR 30 SSW LVS 40 NNE LVS 25 NW TAD 15 N COS 20
NW DEN 40 S GCC 25 E GCC.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 E
CRP 35 SSE CRP 50 S ALI 30 SE LRD 10 ENE LRD 30 SSW COT COT 35 NE
COT 40 S SAT 45 SE SAT 15 NNE PSX 30 SSW LBX 40 S LBX 60 S LBX.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE HUL 125 WNW
CAR ...CONT... 105 N GGW 30 NE GGW 30 SSE OLF 15 SSW SDY 35 NE DIK
45 SW DVL 30 NW BJI 15 NNW ASX 35 NW AUW 40 SE CWA 35 SE MTW 25 ESE
LAN 45 W ERI 15 W ELM 40 N MSV 25 WSW BAF 20 NNW GON 25 WSW BID 45
SSE ISP ACY 30 SE LBE 25 S FDY 35 NW MIE DNV 15 WSW CMI 15 SSE DEC
30 ENE SLO EVV 40 SSW LEX 30 N JKL 50 W BKW 10 NW ROA 20 SE LYH 55 E
ORF ...CONT... 50 SSW ELP 40 NE DMN 40 WSW ONM 20 NE GNT 45 SE FMN
20 WNW DRO 10 NW GJT 50 SE VEL 25 SSE VEL 25 SSW VEL 35 NNE PUC 35 E
DPG 40 WSW DPG 40 NNE ELY 50 NE P68 15 S EKO 50 N BAM 50 SSE REO 35
E BNO 50 SE ALW 15 NE LWS 50 SW 3TH 45 E GEG 40 NNE GEG 30 N GEG 45
NW GEG OMK 35 NW OMK 100 NE BLI.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 12, 19:52z for portions of PAH---------------
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