The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 10, 0:49z for portions of MOB583
WUUS01 KWNS 100050
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0749 PM CDT MON JUN 09 2025
VALID TIME 100100Z - 101200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 38047975 38408054 38878079 39608054 40437976 41467886
42037831 42597746 42757694 42577642 42177623 41687628
38697828 38177897 38057927 38047975
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 32887849 31748182 30658480 30288633 30188825 30178894
30429046 30909096 31759098 33519068 34329010 34908822
35308705 35838595 38348295 40678026 42487869 43227753
43447671 43167578 42567532 41757533 40707593 38597737
37517851 36787962 36217990 35687960 35457841 35137678
34487584
0.05 29310245 30150335 32170479 34620630 35470653 36140633
36810556 37250440 37310329 37160288 36850251 36230228
35070165 34000059 31999778 31519719 30949617 30599487
30289383 29919312 29619303 29149285 99999999 28809409
29409750 29669964 29510075 29130125
0.15 30780174 31050244 31370277 31840302 32470311 32880281
32980250 33000220 32920154 32340072 31980041 31570046
31220065 30990093 30780174
SIGN 30790178 31020237 31380279 31790300 32440313 32870281
32980252 32990208 32900153 32660114 32350073 31960041
31550047 31210065 30980097 30790178
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 32867851 31488259 30658482 30248643 30198900 30429047
30869092 31649100 33509071 34299010 35018786 35218724
35818598 38168314 39198191 40668024 42447876 43197760
43427669 43177583 42617539 41787531 40737590 38577741
37687834 36747960 36257986 35717959 35387820 35147681
34507584
0.05 29310245 30110329 32210479 34610629 35500652 36130631
36810557 37240446 37320337 37140288 36880253 36120225
35060164 34040065 32789890 31569723 30919614 30569462
30259379 29959317 29639304 29129294 99999999 28829414
29199617 29459768 29659960 29510070 29180119
0.15 38037975 38408057 38908077 39598053 40367981 41957838
42607743 42767695 42577638 42157624 41687627 40607698
38757823 38237892 38057923 38037975
0.15 30420205 30540253 31310329 33470467 34650526 35310528
35830499 36090433 36060370 35830312 35110278 33740178
32309995 31509996 30810051 30370161 30420205
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 38037972 38408057 38908079 39558056 40397981 41197911
41967838 42607744 42757697 42577639 42187624 41707625
38707824 38197894 38047926 38037972
SLGT 30430206 30550253 31290327 33470468 34600525 35300527
35810503 36090431 36060373 35830313 35120277 33730177
32319994 31499995 30800051 30370163 30430206
MRGL 32867852 31918130 30658484 30258641 30188809 30188896
30409046 30849095 31649100 33509070 34249017 34558919
35188734 35818602 38468277 40648027 42417876 43237754
43447668 43167586 42597537 41867529 40807586 38637733
37607840 36767962 36237990 35717959 35427838 35117674
34577595
MRGL 28809421 29359721 29679964 29520072 29190117 99999999
29300243 30090328 32140475 33360547 34600628 35470652
36100636 36840553 37260442 37310334 37170292 36850251
36240230 35110170 34070067 32659871 31479709 30899608
30519456 30259379 29939314 29619303 29149288
TSTM 28820364 30410487 31310558 31880641 32780764 33180936
33681044 34501163 35381278 36521377 37221517 37331659
37481861 37911952 38772105 39382283 39872330 40602374
41492377 42232336 42712200 42892037 42681836 43371615
44041531 44101494 44081433 43561318 42821251 41851207
41281135 40770923 40190568 40040516 38640236 37750151
36710078 35700004 34969939 34449864 33629741 32719624
31999479 31879382 31739289 31989248 32709235 33569269
34249269 34779207 35089110 35518815 36458627 38368389
40128188 41468041 42207993 42358002 42428032 42348109
42048197 41668311 41688390 42048443 42728455 44098433
45368445 46768399 99999999 45377369 43997363 40217209
99999999 27639648 27789726 28069810 28219918 28250005
28010073
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE
SSU 45 NNW SSU 45 SE PKB 35 WSW MGW 25 WNW LBE 10 W DUJ 15 NE BFD 40
SSE ROC 30 NW ITH ITH 15 W BGM 35 SSW BGM 40 NNE CHO SHD 25 SW SHD
35 ENE SSU.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE
6R6 35 SE FST 35 NW FST 15 NW ROW 45 NE 4CR 25 SSW LVS 15 NNE LVS 45
SSE RTN 40 SW CAO 35 WSW DHT 45 E TCC LBB 15 WSW ABI 35 ENE SJT 40 S
SJT 40 ENE 6R6 30 NNE 6R6.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE
CRE 15 SSW SAV 25 SE MAI 35 S CEW 35 SSE MOB 15 SSE GPT 30 NNW MSY
35 SW MCB 20 E HEZ 15 E GLH 40 WSW UOX 25 ENE UOX 35 NNE MSL 45 ESE
BNA 15 WNW HTS 10 NNW PIT 30 NE JHW 10 NE ROC 35 NW SYR 15 E SYR 40
S UCA 25 WNW MSV 25 WNW ABE 20 SW DCA 35 S CHO 20 NW DAN 10 NNE GSO
35 SE GSO 25 W GSB 20 E EWN 50 SSW HSE.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE
GLS 40 NNW VCT 35 NW HDO 15 NE DRT 20 SW DRT ...CONT... 55 SSW 6R6
50 ESE MRF 20 N GDP 10 SSE SRR 35 SSE ABQ 25 WSW SAF 35 E 4SL 45 SSE
ALS TAD 40 W SPD 20 WSW SPD 30 S SPD 20 NE DHT AMA 35 SW CDS 40 WSW
MWL 15 SE ACT 25 NE CLL 50 NW BPT 25 NNE BPT 15 SSE LCH 40 SSE LCH
65 SW 7R4.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 SSE MRF 50 W MRF
60 SE ELP ELP 30 ENE SVC 30 NE SAD 50 SSW SOW 45 S FLG 55 SW GCN 40
SSW SGU 45 SW P38 55 NW DRA 15 WNW BIH 70 NE MER 30 NE SAC 25 NE UKI
50 N UKI 25 ESE EKA 30 SE CEC 25 WSW MFR 40 NNW LMT 50 N LKV 25 WNW
REO 15 SSE BOI 55 NE BOI 50 NW SUN 40 N SUN 55 NNW PIH 10 SSE PIH 25
SSE MLD 15 W EVW 30 NNE VEL 40 WSW FCL 25 NW DEN 40 S ITR 45 WSW GCK
25 SSE LBL 55 WNW CSM 20 NNW LTS 20 SW FSI 45 W GYI 35 ESE DAL 25 S
GGG 40 S SHV 15 E IER 40 ENE IER 20 WNW MLU 25 NNE ELD 30 SE HOT 10
ENE LIT 55 SE BVX 45 E MKL 30 NE BNA 45 ENE LEX 10 N ZZV 20 NE YNG
15 ENE ERI 20 NNE ERI 25 NNW ERI 50 WNW ERI 45 N CLE 35 E TOL 10 NW
TOL 15 S JXN LAN 25 SE HTL 20 SE PLN 25 NE ANJ ...CONT... 65 ENE MSS
40 SE SLK 65 SE ISP ...CONT... 65 E CRP 15 E CRP 25 N ALI 15 S COT
55 WSW COT 85 WNW LRD.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 10, 0:49z for portions of MOB---------------
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