The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Convective Risk at May 15, 19:20z for portions of MOB641
WUUS03 KWNS 151922
PTSDY3
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2025
VALID TIME 171200Z - 181200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3
... ANY SEVERE ...
0.05 45877177 44777167 42297056 40587061 99999999 33687701
33397857 33068011 32798114 31798416 31668777 31899082
31769422 31089721 30499848 29769919 27920050 99999999
29160198 32280100 33620036 35859926 36579907 37039821
37289638 37079405 36419221 35979085 35268853 34978714
34938470 35608267 37407964 38787859 40147783 41557795
42587816 43977893
0.15 30510039 30910067 31420053 32020004 33769862 35159733
35709681 35869657 36329574 36359420 35339155 34289084
33659092 33089127 32729210 32699383 32119511 31569675
31129791 30509987 30510039
0.15 34127657 34607780 35197881 35727909 37007814 38837716
39997656 40767650 42357647 42917649 43327598 43397501
43257390 43067332 42817306 42017311 41677313 39677306
SIGN 30950063 31490046 33549880 35029746 35649610 35749496
35649382 35489285 34659129 34309090 33629098 33119125
32739206 32689382 31969562 31379722 30609974 30520029
30560047 30950063
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 35369155 34269084 33639091 33099127 32749204 32689379
32109516 31149792 30509990 30520039 30890068 31430051
33799858 35839664 36339575 36369424 35369155
SLGT 34147660 34627783 35217882 35727911 37017814 38537732
39957657 41247646 42927649 43317599 43397504 43257394
43057330 42797306 41687314 39707307
MRGL 33587764 32948059 32658162 31778416 31668774 31889082
31749435 31059728 30519843 29819913 27870052 99999999
29140198 32260101 35959921 36569907 37039822 37299643
37109417 36129135 35268857 34968714 34958463 35618266
37377965 38817857 40157783 41517793 42557815 43947891
99999999 45837177 44747166 42257054 40607060
TSTM 28650417 30590360 32570231 34640095 35500075 36250067
36930097 37690257 38280452 38800666 40030819 40040918
39731000 38741165 37991504 38151677 38931959 39752130
41342235 44632199 47252150 49772178 99999999 49690907
48140862 46270719 44180359 41950032 40409756 38559241
37208800 36728619 36868428 37138287 38118156 40098052
43238028 99999999 32847842 32108151 31308444 31038802
31029130 31219444 30929648 30019847 28349977 27300054
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE
BVX 55 N GLH 10 NNE GLH 30 SSW GLH 15 N MLU 15 N SHV 20 SE TYR 30 W
TPL 10 WSW JCT 35 W JCT 35 SSW SJT SJT 15 SSW SPS 15 NE CQB 10 NE
TUL 25 N FYV 25 SSE BVX.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSE
EWN 20 SW OAJ 15 NNE FAY 20 WSW RDU 20 NNW AVC 25 SW DCA 25 SE CXY
25 E IPT 25 SW SYR 15 NNE SYR 25 NE UCA 15 WSW GFL 25 SE GFL 30 NNE
PSF 30 WSW BDL 70 ESE NEL.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE
ILM 35 W CHS 45 NW SAV 15 N ABY 45 WNW GZH 35 ENE HEZ 40 NE LFK 10
SE TPL 45 WNW AUS 30 N HDO 70 WNW LRD ...CONT... 65 SSE 6R6 30 E BGS
45 N CSM 25 WSW AVK 25 SE P28 40 NNW BVO 20 ESE JLN 25 W ARG 30 SE
MKL 30 NW HSV 35 E CHA 15 NNW AVL 20 E ROA 40 NNE SHD 25 ESE AOO 40
ESE BFD 40 SE BUF 70 N BUF ...CONT... 70 NNE EFK 25 WNW BML 25 ESE
BOS 55 SSW ACK.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 120 S MRF 30 ENE MRF
45 N MAF 40 WNW CDS 40 ESE BGD 55 ESE GUY 10 S LBL 25 SSE LAA PUB 25
NE GUC 50 SW CAG 30 SE VEL 40 ENE PUC 55 WNW 4HV 40 NW P38 20 ENE
TPH 20 E TVL 60 ESE RBL MHS 50 WNW RDM 40 ESE SEA 75 NNE BLI
...CONT... 85 NNE HVR 60 ESE HVR 65 W MLS 30 WNW RAP 40 E MHN 45 W
BIE 15 WSW JEF 45 ENE PAH 20 SE BWG 20 SW LOZ 40 SE JKL 20 S CRW 10
SE HLG 80 N ERI ...CONT... 65 SSE CRE 20 W SAV 20 SW ABY 30 NNE MOB
40 S HEZ 20 E LFK 25 NNW CLL 35 N SAT 35 WSW COT 70 WSW LRD.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Convective Risk at May 15, 19:20z for portions of MOB---------------
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