Author Topic: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Apr 29, 1:12z for portions of IWX  (Read 416 times)

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Apr 29, 1:12z for portions of IWX

736 
WUUS01 KWNS 290114
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0812 PM CDT MON APR 28 2025

VALID TIME 290100Z - 291200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   46248331 44888378 43398530 40758820 36879477 33999674
       30670054 30520166 30710263 31700249 32220230 32920193
       34350069 38779756 41409580 42659605 43339609 44749516
       46359500 48799224 48889212
0.05   47288931 46938765 46308572 45628493 44618555 42698753
       41778876 40588981 36889519 35359686 33939759 33059873
       32320015 32310049 32450086 32670112 34619993 35789936
       37069854 38709747 39919671 40349615 40829566 41589531
       43129493 43769445 44759412 46399435 47169315 47109224
       47169056 47288931
0.10   41189087 39719406 39319505 39339599 40099614 40799544
       41499504 42729489 43299438 44709204 45709163 46709120
       46689010 46198827 45908766 44768732 43698773 42668834
       42048948 41189087
0.15   42599177 42299369 42499411 43319410 43749317 44199230
       45069153 45809138 45709041 44778973 44068931 43228947
       42599177
SIGN   41159090 39799391 39329503 39359597 40099614 40799544
       41509507 42699489 43299438 44679204 45459170 46679124
       46668998 46308847 45908782 44718742 43668771 42598839
       42078943 41159090
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   29010371 31730250 34440059 37069920 38819807 40129707
       41009635 41569670 41609713 41459855 41839898 43149752
       44669700 46849588 49509299 99999999 45498169 43148459
       41118778 38569036 36749327 35199413 33979520 30640005
       28390059
0.15   47448486 45618428 43318550 41768879 39249100 36899467
       35329487 33939593 31250009 30660060 30530166 30870225
       31610230 33190127 34240032 36939891 39109748 40229667
       41239589 41409579 42639606 44189643 46609412 47529250
       48559067
0.30   32749921 32399973 33280051 35679934 36159895 35959829
       34969749 34469727 33859747 32749921
0.30   40199599 41249497 42769417 44229227 45069154 45779130
       45639028 44128930 43298942 41739152 40379286 39459475
       39379590 40199599
SIGN   34290029 35759953 36879887 40139664 40299611 41139533
       42669489 43189450 43549394 44359287 45909158 45588995
       44848891 42808889 41519049 39849311 38129467 36049645
       33859748 32729918 30660057 30540166 30900225 31570232
       32270188 33220124 34290029
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   28930367 31700246 34460070 36899923 39269773 41009631
       41709704 41549843 41919867 43309728 44779679 46919550
       49719216 99999999 45288200 43498431 43008476 40998796
       38619034 36749323 35099385 33849510 32239769 30570012
       28070062
0.15   47238469 45628427 43368549 41718879 39199104 36949462
       35329487 33979589 31260007 31120194 31740217 32470179
       34390023 36359928 37199864 38509725 40229614 41599540
       42359562 44249634 46279396 47279219 47918913 48008692
0.30   43378793 43099058 42599294 42789406 43419374 44609201
       46699120 47168819 46278718 45648710 44918732 44328742
       43378793
0.30   34439726 33899746 32849919 32599988 33270048 33670001
       34529949 35169899 35259827 35049754 34439726
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MDT    43319410 44199230 45069153 45809138 45709041 44068931
       43228947 42599177 42299369 42499411 43319410
ENH    35679934 36159895 35959829 35049754 34469727 33859747
       32399973 33280051 35679934
ENH    40799544 41499504 42729489 43299438 44709204 46709120
       47168819 46278718 45648710 44328742 42668834 41189087
       39319505 39339599 40099614 40799544
SLGT   47238469 45628427 43318550 41718879 39199104 36929462
       35329487 33939593 31250009 30660060 30530166 30870225
       31610230 32470179 33190127 34350026 36359928 39109748
       41409579 44189643 46609412 48559067
MRGL   29010371 32920193 34000099 37069920 38819807 41009635
       41589691 41459855 41839898 43149752 44669700 46849588
       49119342 99999999 45298193 43008476 41098780 38569036
       36749323 35099385 33849510 32239769 30610006 28070062
TSTM   27217963 27158121 27068197 27198253 28718356 29318419
       29828544 30448742 30868836 31778908 32568924 32898918
       33358873 33478814 33248764 32838724 32368672 31708562
       31318253 31438048 99999999 42538223 40438408 39048643
       37658841 36279112 34829284 32799568 30459873 29139928
       27259989 99999999 29190422 32690315 34640128 36999986
       39079829 40099754 40519734 40989725 41149772 40620025
       40250225 39950353 39570609 38380872 37241059 37091131
       37061217 37521272 38411305 39551317 40401291 41261208
       41851087 41790751 42030389 42929919 44369766 47449727
       49339409

&&
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE
FRM 20 NNE RST 15 N EAU 55 SSW ASX 45 W RHI 40 W OSH 10 NW MSN 30 E
ALO 30 SE FOD FOD 30 SE FRM.

THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW
CSM 45 SSW AVK 35 SW END 25 E CHK 20 NW ADM 40 SW ADM ABI 75 NW ABI
25 NNW CSM.

THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM SDA 40
SSE DNS 20 ENE SLB 25 S FRM 30 WSW EAU 15 NW ASX 15 E CMX 25 SE MQT
ESC 20 NE MTW 30 WSW RAC 25 SW MLI 10 WSW FLV 25 NW TOP 30 W FNB
SDA.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW
ANJ 25 E PLN 30 N GRR 25 NNW MMO 45 NW STL 15 SSW JLN 25 NW RKR 25 E
DUA 25 ESE SJT 50 S SJT 45 NE 6R6 40 E FST 25 SSW MAF 25 NW BGS 45
SE LBB CDS 45 SW AVK 25 NNE SLN 10 NE OMA 20 ESE BKX 15 N BRD 55 NNW
GNA.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 SSE
MRF 50 S LBB 45 ESE PVW 35 NW AVK 25 W SLN 25 ENE LNK 25 ENE OLU 35
NNW GRI 10 ENE BUB 15 NNW YKN 20 SSE ATY DTL 35 N INL ...CONT... 80
E APN 20 NNW LAN 50 WSW VPZ 15 S STL 35 N HRO 35 ESE FSM 25 NE PRX
30 E SEP 20 WNW JCT 80 WNW LRD.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE PBI 35 SSE AGR
35 N FMY 15 S SRQ 70 SSW CTY 60 ESE AAF 25 WNW AAF 15 W PNS 15 NNW
MOB 25 NE PIB 35 WNW MEI 45 NNW MEI 25 SW CBM 20 ESE CBM TCL 35 SE
TCL 15 E SEM 25 ESE TOI 10 WNW AYS 60 ENE SSI ...CONT... 30 E MTC 35
N DAY 10 SE BMG 45 NNE PAH 15 NW ARG 30 NNE HOT 35 NNW TYR 60 E JCT
15 SSW HDO 35 SW LRD ...CONT... 80 S MRF HOB 40 NE PVW 55 S DDC 30
ENE RSL 40 N CNK 35 WNW BIE 25 WNW LNK 30 SW OLU 35 NNE MCK 40 WSW
IML 25 SW AKO 45 E EGE 45 W MTJ 20 SSE U17 15 NNE PGA 40 WNW PGA 25
ESE CDC MLF 35 WNW U24 15 N DPG OGD 40 NNE EVW 15 W RWL 15 E TOR 40
NW ONL 30 E HON 35 S GFK 60 NNW INL.


Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Apr 29, 1:12z for portions of IWX

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