The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Apr 19, 5:29z for portions of IWX505
WUUS01 KWNS 190531
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1229 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2025
VALID TIME 191200Z - 201200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 29060276 31600319 32240300 32680146 34779790 35829496
36259333 36249223 35689177 34349265 31839556 29369843
27870044
0.05 31840210 32220089 34569697 35299481 34939393 33939412
31979637 30499907 29100102 29190254 30970263 31840210
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 29040277 31590319 32280294 32880141 34030004 37139546
38489213 40698367 41488093 43177768 43717617 43827501
43487372 42787353 41537540 40417818 39678088 36518904
35789036 32949431 29069821 27900041
0.15 29010253 31000262 31810207 33509988 35209739 37279339
37709231 37859170 37809103 37599061 37239061 36829069
35959167 34399350 32919521 30419806 28220069
SIGN 32420116 33199999 33949873 34539670 34609541 33779488
32539579 30139960 29450123 29900251 30940262 31890204
32420116
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 29030277 31600319 32210303 32870151 34129992 37139546
38419229 40698367 41498089 43137771 43747616 43847496
43487370 42747350 41527540 40427820 39738067 38928317
36448919 36078991 34469231 33559353 32819445 31259607
29089821 27980027
0.15 29010253 30970263 31860210 33410000 35249735 36629476
37239349 37719231 37859167 37799101 37599059 36889065
35959161 34189375 32449573 30269823 29589908 28030088
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 29190255 31000263 31830216 33479991 35239736 37259347
37719232 37859170 37809103 37609062 37299060 36879066
36089149 34329359 32719544 30419806 28190072
MRGL 29050277 31580320 32190302 32870147 34209983 37149549
38409232 40698366 41498093 43157770 43747615 43837505
43497371 42777353 41527541 40407823 39528131 36128983
32899438 29059824 27950032
TSTM 28720257 29730329 30690363 31360394 31780425 32030467
31970561 31840632 31280666 99999999 30590967 31111003
32531127 34371181 35401092 36520984 38230909 39820741
40090656 39590615 38480530 37690412 37770327 38840196
40259831 40879482 40719304 40299107 40308959 41308575
42508279 43188130 99999999 42126907 41357134 40687335
39707547 38938064 37288613 35139060 33129345 30369615
28699820 27520062 99999999 49551366 48851426 48361476
47851604 47811688 48361767 49861840
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW
6R6 20 ENE FST 10 SSE MAF 70 SSE CDS 20 SE OKC SGF 10 WSW TBN 20 S
VIH 35 W FAM 15 SW FAM 35 SSW FAM 10 NW POF 25 NNE BVX 30 WSW HOT 25
N TYR 25 WNW AUS 80 S DRT.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSW
6R6 15 S INK 30 NNE INK 45 N BGS 30 ESE CDS 35 S CNU 15 SW JEF 25 S
FDY 20 NW YNG ROC 20 SSW ART 50 ESE ART 10 NNW GFL 15 E ALB 20 NE
AVP 10 NNE AOO 15 NNE PKB 25 WNW DYR 40 NNE GGG 35 SSE SAT 60 WNW
LRD.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 SSW 6R6 60 SE MRF
30 NE MRF 50 SW INK 30 E GDP 15 NNE GDP 45 ENE ELP ELP 40 SSW ELP
...CONT... 60 S DUG 35 SW DUG 35 NNW TUS 40 ESE PRC 30 NNW INW 75
SSW 4BL 50 NNE 4BL 30 WNW EGE 35 NNE EGE 40 E EGE 40 SW COS 30 NNE
TAD 25 SE LHX 35 SSE ITR 25 SSE HSI 30 ENE SDA 40 SW OTM 25 NNE UIN
25 S PIA 35 NW FWA MTC 85 ENE MTC ...CONT... 70 ENE HYA 15 NE BID 15
WSW ISP ILG 45 W EKN 25 NE BWG 35 W MEM 35 W ELD 20 SE CLL 40 NW NIR
70 W LRD ...CONT... 85 NW CTB 35 N GPI 25 W GPI 35 WNW 3TH 35 ENE
GEG 50 N GEG 110 NNE OMK.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Apr 19, 5:29z for portions of IWX---------------
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