The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Mar 31, 19:52z for portions of BOX431
WUUS01 KWNS 311954
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0252 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2025
VALID TIME 312000Z - 011200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 30168074 28508347 99999999 29708584 32308351 33688272
34228268 35168284 35998134 38157955 39077847 39717755
40577671 41647561 41927425 41637375 40687407 39177402
0.05 31398395 32638297 33468254 34718256 35178190 34878084
34498055 33778051 31238292 31218401 31398395
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 29748635 31188468 33038312 33918261 34878303 37498068
39437854 41457602 41747458 41607365 41177339 39457356
99999999 30068083 28478345
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 29678651 30428569 31658433 33378296 35098298 36658303
39857859 41907612 42687487 42527316 41657265 40887280
39847314 99999999 30078083 28938240 28478345
0.05 25618022 25918062 26768083 27748104 27818033 26687991
25918005 25618022
0.15 29318586 30138512 33138277 33608255 34578261 36078270
38257941 39707762 41737571 41847449 41437334 40787326
39897352 99999999 31398052 30428186 28988373
0.30 31928176 31598335 31928352 33098255 33638222 34878241
35638097 36547982 36557851 36087735 33527974 31928176
31928176
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
ENH 33098255 33638222 34878241 35638097 36547982 36557851
36087735 33527974 31928176 31598335 31928352 33098255
SLGT 31388054 28988373 99999999 29318586 30138512 33138277
33608255 36078270 38257941 39707762 41737571 41847449
41437334 40787326 39897352
MRGL 27818033 26687991 25918005 25618022 25918062 27748104
27818033
MRGL 30018091 28938240 28488344 99999999 29748644 31658433
33378296 36658303 39857859 41907612 42687487 42527316
41657265 40887280 40017308
TSTM 49780954 48380670 46570532 45540373 45240021 44279778
42959740 42259778 41229972 39700457 38860708 38180940
38241237 38571521 38131714 37571771 37221770 36691759
36341806 36291951 38222459 99999999 45382505 46172274
47282176 48462106 50142060 99999999 28429060 29908986
32568781 34878576 37558350 40157964 42467584 43347436
43987243 44236966 44136701 99999999 24658014 25848141
27988223 28488271 28068370
&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW
AGS 25 NW AGS 10 W GSP 25 ESE HKY 25 W DAN 25 WSW AVC 30 SE RZZ 45 S
FLO 35 WSW SAV 45 NE MGR 50 NE ABY 40 WSW AGS.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE
SSI 60 SW CTY ...CONT... 60 WSW AAF 30 N AAF 50 WSW AGS 35 WNW AGS
15 NNE HSS 30 W SHD HGR 30 N AVP 20 ENE MSV 20 NNW BDR 10 W ISP 45
ESE NEL.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNE
VRB 10 E PBI 15 ENE MIA 15 SSE MIA 20 WNW MIA 20 ENE AGR 10 NNE VRB.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E
SGJ 20 SSW OCF 60 NW PIE ...CONT... 55 SW PFN 10 NW ABY 45 SSE AHN
35 WNW TRI 35 SSW AOO 20 SSW BGM 40 SE UCA 10 NE PSF 20 S BDL 15 ENE
ISP 55 S ISP.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 N HVR 10 NNW GGW
30 ENE MLS 10 WSW 2WX 20 SSE MBG 25 ESE HON YKN 25 NW OFK 15 SSW BBW
15 ESE DEN 25 NNW GUC 40 N 4BL 35 ESE MLF 55 SSW ELY TPH 40 ENE BIH
40 ESE BIH 65 SE BIH 50 NNW NID 35 SSE FAT 100 SW UKI ...CONT... 75
NW ONP 40 N PDX 30 ESE SEA 70 W OMK 125 NNW OMK ...CONT... 80 S HUM
25 ESE MSY 45 SSW TCL 35 WSW CHA JKL 15 SW LBE 20 NNE BGM 35 W GFL
15 SSE MPV 10 SE AUG 55 S EPM ...CONT... 55 E MTH 30 SE APF 30 E PIE
40 N PIE 65 W PIE.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Mar 31, 19:52z for portions of BOX----------------
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